Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Jun 2012

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 85-77

16-21 25-16 24-12 20-28

Position#7

Record22-17

FormWWWLL

Points / game75.1

Allowed / game75.3

Pesaro 🏆

Olimpia Milano

Position#3

Record27-10

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.1

Allowed / game73.7

Lega ALega A - Semi-finals

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Pesaro v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

64-73

-9

A29/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

83-75

H02/05

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

77-82

-5

A06/05

Lega A

Cantu

72-78

-6

A18/05

Lega A

Cantu

47-74

-27

A20/05

Lega A

Cantu

91-78

+13

H22/05

Lega A

Cantu

80-68

+12

H24/05

Lega A

Cantu

78-69

A26/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

75-84

-9

A29/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

68-84

-16

A31/05

Lega A

20-18

12-18

18-15

14-22

22-20

20-18

16-20

25-17

22-14

15-26

21-19

19-23

10-27

20-18

23-18

19-15

14-19

9-15

14-17

10-23

26-26

24-22

20-17

21-13

20-8

20-13

25-24

15-23

17-17

22-22

21-16

18-14

16-26

15-15

23-12

21-31

16-17

21-18

18-29

13-20

150.0Avg total

73.5Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	75.1	75.3	150.4	-0.2	56%
Season at home (18)	78.3	73.6	151.9	+4.7	72%
Season away (21)	72.4	76.7	149.1	-4.3	43%
Last 10 (10)	73.5	76.5	150.0	-3.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	76.6	155.0	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	73.8	76.8	150.6	-3.0	45%
vs Similar (18)	77.7	75.2	152.9	+2.6	61%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

90-77

+13

A22/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

91-78

+13

A25/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

83-64

+19

H29/04

Lega A

Treviso

#14

84-76

A02/05

Lega A

Biella

#12

97-77

+20

H06/05

Lega A

Venezia

92-63

+29

H18/05

Lega A

Venezia

89-83

H20/05

Lega A

Venezia

82-80

A22/05

Lega A

Pesaro

84-75

H29/05

Lega A

Pesaro

84-68

+16

H31/05

Lega A

23-23

27-19

16-17

24-18

18-18

30-22

26-17

17-21

18-14

23-11

31-19

11-20

28-19

17-22

21-21

18-14

23-11

19-26

23-15

32-25

18-19

24-14

26-14

24-16

26-18

19-22

20-27

24-16

19-18

22-28

14-16

27-18

26-16

15-15

12-23

31-21

17-16

18-21

29-18

20-13

161.7Avg total

87.6Scored

74.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (37)	80.1	73.7	153.8	+6.4	73%
Season at home (20)	83.1	72.1	155.2	+11.0	90%
Season away (17)	76.5	75.6	152.2	+0.9	53%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	74.1	161.7	+13.5	100%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	73.8	160.0	+12.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	64.2	70.0	134.2	-5.8	25%
vs Similar (7)	68.3	66.7	135.0	+1.6	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	84.7	75.4	160.1	+9.3	83%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PesaroOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	27%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.2	18.6	38.7	+1.6	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.1	37.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	18.5	39.1	+2.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.4	38.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	13.0	18.5	31.5	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.7	17.7	34.4	-1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.8	18.4	40.2	+3.3	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.2	36.4	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	17.9	36.8	+0.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	64%	-
vs Similar (18)	18.2	19.3	37.4	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.4	37.0	+0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	16.5	35.5	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.3	38.6	-2.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	17.5	34.2	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.9	16.4	33.3	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	39%	-

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Virtus Bologna

32-36

-4

A29/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

42-38

H02/05

Lega A

Casale Monferrato

#18

37-40

-3

A06/05

Lega A

Cantu

30-45

-15

A18/05

Lega A

Cantu

23-34

-11

A20/05

Lega A

Cantu

50-48

H22/05

Lega A

Cantu

40-21

+19

H24/05

Lega A

Cantu

39-39

A26/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

31-41

-10

A29/05

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

37-35

A31/05

Lega A

73.8Avg total

36.1Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	36.9	74.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.5	35.9	75.4	+3.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.6	37.6	74.3	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	37.7	73.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	36.8	76.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	36.2	35.6	71.8	+0.5	64%	-
vs Similar (18)	38.3	37.8	76.2	+0.5	56%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

50-42

A22/04

Lega A

Virtus Roma

#13

48-40

A25/04

Lega A

Teramo

#17

41-25

+16

H29/04

Lega A

Treviso

#14

45-41

A02/05

Lega A

Biella

#12

42-37

H06/05

Lega A

Venezia

42-33

H18/05

Lega A

Venezia

45-40

H20/05

Lega A

Venezia

41-46

-5

A22/05

Lega A

Pesaro

41-31

+10

H29/05

Lega A

Pesaro

35-37

-2

H31/05

Lega A

80.2Avg total

43.0Scored

37.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.5	74.9	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	34.3	72.1	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	38.8	77.7	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	37.2	80.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	37.4	78.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	29.8	36.0	65.8	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	33.6	34.1	67.7	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	41.8	37.7	79.5	+4.1	67%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	20.5	41.2	+0.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	18.6	37.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	20.4	20.2	40.5	+0.2	55%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.2	37.1	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	17.3	33.6	-0.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.7	40.5	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	16.2	31.8	-0.8	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.6	16.4	33.0	+0.1	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.7	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.6	17.8	38.5	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.5	19.2	35.6	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.2	37.8	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.3	21.0	38.3	-3.7	27%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	61%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	18.0	38.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	17.9	37.7	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	16.8	42.0	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.1	16.1	34.3	+2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.3	18.7	41.0	+3.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	38.0	76.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.4	38.3	79.7	+3.1	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.5	37.8	73.3	-2.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	38.8	76.2	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.8	78.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	37.6	41.2	78.8	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar (18)	38.1	36.2	74.3	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	36.2	75.9	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.2	37.2	80.4	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	35.1	71.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	36.9	81.5	+7.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	36.4	81.8	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	34.5	34.0	68.5	+0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	34.7	32.6	67.3	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	42.9	37.7	80.6	+5.3	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pesaro wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
31/05/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	84-68
29/05/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	84-75
29/01/12	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	81-70
15/10/11	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	69-66
15/05/11	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	82-71
16/01/11	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	94-84
29/03/10	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	83-77
29/11/09	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	89-86 OT
25/01/09	Olimpia Milano v Pesaro	91-81
12/10/08	Pesaro v Olimpia Milano	62-67

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/05/12	A	Olimpia Milano	68-84
29/05/12	A	Olimpia Milano	75-84
26/05/12	A	Cantu	78-69
24/05/12	H	Cantu	80-68
22/05/12	H	Cantu	91-78
20/05/12	A	Cantu	47-74
18/05/12	A	Cantu	72-78
06/05/12	A	Casale Monferrato	77-82
02/05/12	H	Virtus Roma	83-75
29/04/12	A	Virtus Bologna	64-73

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/05/12	H	Pesaro	84-68
29/05/12	H	Pesaro	84-75
22/05/12	A	Venezia	82-80
20/05/12	H	Venezia	89-83
18/05/12	H	Venezia	92-63
06/05/12	H	Biella	97-77
02/05/12	A	Treviso	84-76
29/04/12	H	Teramo	83-64
25/04/12	A	Virtus Roma	91-78
22/04/12	A	Avellino	90-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	56%
Home	WLWWW	72%
Away	LLWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	18	21
Win %	56%	72%	43%
Points / game	75.1	78.3	72.4
Allowed / game	75.3	73.6	76.7
Point differential	-0.2	+4.7	-4.3
Avg total	150.4	151.9	149.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	28%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (13)	60% (5)	62% (8)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2011-12

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	73%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	WWWWW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	37	20	17
Win %	73%	90%	53%
Points / game	80.1	83.1	76.5
Allowed / game	73.7	72.1	75.6
Point differential	+6.4	+11.0	+0.9
Avg total	153.8	155.2	152.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	50% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	91.0	85.0	+6.0
2	Siena	39	30	9	77%	83.1	71.4	+11.8
3	Olimpia Milano	37	27	10	73%	80.1	73.7	+6.4
4	Cantu	37	23	14	62%	74.3	70.4	+3.9
5	Sassari	38	23	15	61%	79.5	78.6	+0.9
6	Virtus Bologna	35	20	15	57%	75.5	74.8	+0.7
7	Pesaro	39	22	17	56%	75.1	75.3	-0.2
8	Varese	36	18	18	50%	75.2	75.7	-0.6
9	Venezia	35	17	18	49%	76.2	76.2	-0.1
10	Avellino	32	15	17	47%	77.5	81.4	-3.9
11	Cremona	32	14	18	44%	72.4	75.8	-3.4
12	Biella	32	13	19	41%	76.7	78.2	-1.5
13	Virtus Roma	32	13	19	41%	78.7	81.3	-2.6
14	Treviso	32	13	19	41%	75.1	77.9	-2.8
15	Caserta	32	12	20	38%	77.5	80.5	-3.0
16	Sutor Montegranaro	32	12	20	38%	77.6	80.9	-3.3
17	Teramo	32	12	20	38%	74.2	77.8	-3.6
18	Casale Monferrato	32	8	24	25%	73.5	76.5	-2.9
19	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	85.0	91.0	-6.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pesaro	16	25	24	20	85
Olimpia Milano	21	16	12	28	77

← all games of the day

Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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