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Pesaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 85-82 (OT)
24-20 16-18 12-17 25-22 8-5
Position#9
Record5-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game80.0
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#1
Record13-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game69.1
ItalyLega ARound 14
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Pesaro v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2024
PES65
MIL85
20 May 2023
PES80
MIL94
18 May 2023
PES88
MIL83
06 Nov 2022
PES71
MIL85
16 Jan 2022
PES85
MIL82
25 Apr 2021
PES81
MIL88
08 Dec 2019
PES65
MIL71
28 Oct 2018
PES82
MIL97
02 Jan 2018
PES64
MIL78
30 Apr 2017
PES90
MIL79
23 Dec 2015
PES69
MIL66
23 Mar 2015
PES61
MIL84
16 Dec 2013
PES73
MIL94
10 Dec 2012
PES70
MIL72
04 Jun 2012
PES67
MIL73
02 Jun 2012
PES85
MIL77
15 Oct 2011
PES69
MIL66
15 May 2011
PES82
MIL71
29 Mar 2010
PES83
MIL77
12 Oct 2008
PES62
MIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
72avg 71
H17/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
68-77
68
77
-9
65avg 71
A23/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 71
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
75-88
75
88
-13
68avg 71
A06/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
83-100
83
100
-17
64avg 71
H13/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
88-84
88
84
+4
89avg 71
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
94-75
94
75
+19
84avg 71
H05/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
73-63
73
63
+10
70avg 71
A11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
63avg 71
H19/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
91-89
91
89
+2
80avg 71
A26/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
20-26
12-12
30-26
19-14
21-16
19-21
9-26
17-15
10-25
26-21
22-18
21-18
20-30
18-17
16-23
15-25
30-28
15-23
23-24
19-18
19-20
25-18
25-28
25-19
28-18
23-22
18-16
26-17
17-15
12-19
18-12
7-20
23-19
23-13
16-20
25-27
16-16
25-17
25-29
161.4Avg total
79.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.780.0157.7-2.338%
Season at home (6)79.379.5158.8-0.233%
Season away (7)76.380.4156.7-4.143%
Last 10 (10)79.781.7161.4-2.040%
Last 5 (5)83.076.6159.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.881.3152.1-10.510%
vs Similar (18)81.483.1164.6-1.744%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#14
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 74
A03/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
W
79-53
79
53
+26
74avg 74
A05/12
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 74
A10/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 74
H12/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#16
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 74
H14/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 74
H16/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
L
68-71
68
71
-3
58avg 74
A19/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
no box
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
72-60
72
60
+12
69avg 74
H09/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 74
A11/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
18-24
23-24
20-14
9-21
18-6
22-13
30-13
26-14
13-13
18-17
14-21
15-12
17-20
20-17
24-13
15-19
18-10
24-13
18-12
19-18
8-17
21-20
25-20
14-16
24-22
21-15
9-18
24-21
30-24
21-20
20-30
4-19
28-12
19-16
21-13
14-14
20-14
13-26
28-19
146.0Avg total
76.7Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.269.1152.3+14.193%
Season at home (8)85.567.5153.0+18.0100%
Season away (6)80.271.2151.3+9.083%
Last 10 (10)76.769.3146.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)78.075.6153.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.372.7147.0+1.767%
vs Similar (11)77.575.7153.2+1.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.867.2148.0+13.588%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.6+3.6
PesaroOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H17/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A23/10
Lega A
Trento
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A06/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
L
45-53
45
53
-8
H13/11
Lega A
Cremona
#16
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H05/12
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A11/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/12
Lega A
80.9Avg total
39.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.979.2-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.040.877.8-3.846%-
Last 30 away (17)39.241.080.2-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)39.741.280.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.878.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.539.074.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (18)40.641.181.7-0.644%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A05/12
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A10/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H16/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A19/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A11/01
Euroleague
68.4Avg total
34.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.335.174.4+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.135.476.5+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)37.034.771.7+2.346%-
Last 10 (10)34.933.568.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.472.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.332.366.7+2.067%-
vs Similar (11)42.537.179.5+5.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.134.272.3+3.956%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.7
50.8%
51.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.2
34.3%
35.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.314.7
76.2%
74.7%14.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.6
48.9%
51.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.5
33.7%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.112.2
75.8%
74.7%12.2
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLWWWLLLLL
Olimpia Milano
WWWLLWWWWL
#9
League position
#1
-2.8
Net rating
+7.3
108.3
Offensive rating
106.0
111.0
Defensive rating
98.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
49.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
33.7%
53.0%
Assist %
51.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 106.0Defence111.0 · 98.7Shooting51.0% · 49.6%3-point %34.3% · 33.7%Ball care16.6% · 16.5%Off. rebounds30.4% · 30.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Pesaro   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
8
Olimpia Milano wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/21ABrindisi91-89
19/12/21HReggiana69-72
11/12/21ATreviso73-63
05/12/21HVarese94-75
21/11/21ACremona88-84
13/11/21HBasket Napoli83-100
06/11/21AVirtus Bologna75-88
31/10/21HTrento75-79
23/10/21AVenezia68-77
17/10/21HTortona81-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/22ABarcelona75-73
09/01/22HTortona72-60
05/01/22HVirtus Bologna102-99 OT
19/12/21ATrieste68-71
16/12/21HReal Madrid73-75
14/12/21HPanathinaikos75-54
12/12/21HBrescia76-62
10/12/21AMonaco71-65
05/12/21ABrindisi79-53
03/12/21AAlba Berlin76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW38%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game77.779.376.3
Allowed / game80.079.580.4
Point differential-2.3-0.2-4.1
Avg total157.7158.8156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %93%100%83%
Points / game83.285.580.2
Allowed / game69.167.571.2
Point differential+14.1+18.0+9.0
Avg total152.3153.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%88%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1413193%83.269.1+14.1
2 Virtus Bologna1512380%90.779.9+10.9
3 Trento138562%79.579.5+0.0
4 Trieste138562%75.477.4-2.0
5 Basket Napoli137654%83.383.2+0.1
6 Brindisi137654%81.982.0-0.1
7 Tortona158753%80.181.3-1.2
8 Venezia157847%77.978.0-0.1
9 Brescia136746%78.578.2+0.4
10 Reggiana146843%80.578.9+1.6
11 Sassari146843%81.283.6-2.4
12 Treviso146843%77.281.1-3.9
13 Pesaro135838%77.780.0-2.3
14 Fortitudo Bologna1441029%81.984.4-2.5
15 Varese1441029%79.188.7-9.6
16 Cremona1541127%80.684.3-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pesaro24161225885
Olimpia Milano20181722582
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