Pesaro vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 75-74

19-25 24-14 7-20 25-15

Position#15

Record5-16

FormLWLWL

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game89.0

Pesaro 🏆

Pistoia

Position#9

Record9-12

FormLWLLW

Points / game76.7

Allowed / game79.2

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2013-14

Meetings · Pesaro v Pistoia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pistoia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pesaro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

66-99

-33

H26/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

65-75

-10

A29/12

Lega A

Brindisi

86-91 OT

-5

H05/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

65-89

-24

A12/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

88-82

H19/01

Lega A

Caserta

88-100

100

-12

A26/01

Lega A

Cantu

82-79

H02/02

Lega A

Siena

70-80

-10

A16/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

88-75

+13

H23/02

Lega A

Sassari

78-102

102

-24

A02/03

Lega A

21-21

13-18

16-30

18-25

11-10

18-26

18-14

23-9

23-23

16-23

18-25

11-23

20-13

15-28

19-25

17-19

24-22

23-20

24-21

15-18

30-22

15-25

28-35

23-31

17-13

22-21

20-14

16-24

16-14

14-23

24-19

25-24

25-21

24-15

14-15

20-26

14-34

24-24

20-18

164.8Avg total

77.6Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	79.7	89.0	168.6	-9.3	24%
Season at home (10)	79.0	87.1	166.1	-8.1	30%
Season away (11)	80.3	90.6	170.9	-10.4	18%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	87.2	164.8	-9.6	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	87.2	168.4	-6.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	77.2	88.7	165.9	-11.5	18%
vs Similar (8)	90.0	85.8	175.8	+4.2	75%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pistoia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

93-87

A26/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

76-85

-9

H29/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

80-79

H04/01

Lega A

Caserta

74-80

-6

A12/01

Lega A

Cantu

82-77 OT

H19/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

70-75

-5

A26/01

Lega A

Sassari

81-69

+12

H02/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

79-88

-9

H17/02

Lega A

Cremona

#14

76-81

-5

A23/02

Lega A

Reggiana

74-66

H02/03

Lega A

15-19

21-20

28-22

29-26

18-19

18-32

9-19

31-15

24-13

18-18

19-26

19-22

14-18

16-14

25-26

19-22

15-24

17-15

21-21

16-9

17-21

15-22

17-16

21-16

14-16

23-15

19-16

25-22

21-18

23-28

23-13

12-29

20-22

21-19

18-15

17-25

20-9

20-13

20-22

14-22

157.2Avg total

78.5Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	76.7	79.2	156.0	-2.5	43%
Season at home (11)	81.5	77.7	159.3	+3.8	73%
Season away (10)	71.4	80.9	152.3	-9.5	10%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	78.7	157.2	-0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	75.8	151.8	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	73.0	79.8	152.8	-6.8	33%
vs Similar (8)	75.6	76.0	151.6	-0.4	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	87.2	84.5	171.8	+2.8	75%

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PesaroPistoia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.1	41.3	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	21.9	42.6	-1.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.6	44.4	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.3	21.8	40.0	-3.5	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	17.2	18.7	35.9	-1.5	29%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.1	16.5	34.5	+1.6	45%	-
Last 30 away (10)	16.2	21.1	37.3	-4.9	10%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	17.9	35.7	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.8	20.6	37.3	-3.8	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	15.5	17.5	33.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.9	41.3	-0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	21.9	42.2	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	55%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.2	19.8	44.0	+4.5	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.0	20.0	38.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.7	20.7	41.5	+0.0	45%	-
Last 30 away (10)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	44%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.5	21.2	39.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	75%	-

PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Reggiana

34-39

-5

H26/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

29-35

-6

A29/12

Lega A

Brindisi

46-32

+14

H05/01

Lega A

Venezia

#11

31-36

-5

A12/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

41-41

H19/01

Lega A

Caserta

45-40

A26/01

Lega A

Cantu

40-44

-4

H02/02

Lega A

Siena

32-38

-6

A16/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

50-45

H23/02

Lega A

Sassari

34-60

-26

A02/03

Lega A

79.2Avg total

38.2Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.9	82.6	-3.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	43.8	84.8	-2.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	42.2	80.6	-3.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	41.0	79.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	45.4	85.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	37.3	43.0	80.3	-5.8	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	46.1	42.6	88.8	+3.5	88%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sutor Montegranaro

#16

36-39

-3

A26/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

36-51

-15

H29/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#13

42-31

+11

H04/01

Lega A

Caserta

30-32

-2

A12/01

Lega A

Cantu

32-39

-7

H19/01

Lega A

Avellino

#12

32-43

-11

A26/01

Lega A

Sassari

37-31

H02/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

44-46

-2

H17/02

Lega A

Cremona

#14

41-41

A23/02

Lega A

Reggiana

40-22

+18

H02/03

Lega A

74.5Avg total

37.0Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	36.1	38.6	74.8	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.8	37.2	76.0	+1.6	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	33.2	40.2	73.4	-7.0	10%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	37.5	74.5	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.6	75.4	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.0	39.6	74.6	-4.6	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.0	38.4	75.4	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	37.0	37.0	74.0	+0.0	25%	-

This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.9	41.5	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	23.4	42.5	-4.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	23.5	42.2	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.6	22.7	41.3	-4.0	23%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.9	18.8	37.7	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.3	20.6	38.9	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.4	35.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.9	19.6	37.4	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.2	21.1	38.4	-3.9	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	23.0	17.0	40.0	+6.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.9	40.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	21.8	42.1	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.6	41.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	19.3	20.1	39.4	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	23.2	45.1	-1.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.6	19.1	38.7	+0.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.4	18.2	37.5	+1.2	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.8	40.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.7	19.8	38.4	-1.1	56%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.4	16.5	37.9	+4.9	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	42.9	82.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	42.0	82.4	-1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	43.6	82.3	-4.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	45.1	83.9	-6.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	41.8	82.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	37.9	42.8	80.7	-4.9	36%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.9	43.1	87.0	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	38.2	38.8	77.0	-0.5	52%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.3	37.0	75.3	+1.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (10)	38.2	40.7	78.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	40.4	80.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.2	76.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.6	39.3	75.9	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	41.2	39.8	81.0	+1.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pesaro wins

Pistoia wins

Date	Game	Score
24/11/13	Pistoia v Pesaro	115-110 OT

Pesarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/14	A	Sassari	78-102
23/02/14	H	Sutor Montegranaro	88-75
16/02/14	A	Siena	70-80
02/02/14	H	Cantu	82-79
26/01/14	A	Caserta	88-100
19/01/14	H	Avellino	88-82
12/01/14	A	Venezia	65-89
05/01/14	H	Brindisi	86-91 OT
29/12/13	A	Virtus Bologna	65-75
26/12/13	H	Reggiana	66-99

Pistoialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/14	H	Reggiana	74-66
23/02/14	A	Cremona	76-81
17/02/14	H	Olimpia Milano	79-88
02/02/14	H	Sassari	81-69
26/01/14	A	Avellino	70-75
19/01/14	H	Cantu	82-77 OT
12/01/14	A	Caserta	74-80
04/01/14	H	Virtus Bologna	80-79
29/12/13	H	Virtus Roma	76-85
26/12/13	A	Sutor Montegranaro	93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	24%
Home	LLWWW	30%
Away	LLLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	24%	30%	18%
Points / game	79.7	79.0	80.3
Allowed / game	89.0	87.1	90.6
Point differential	-9.3	-8.1	-10.4
Avg total	168.6	166.1	170.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	25% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	14%	20%	9%

Pistoia

Lega A 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	43%
Home	WWWLW	73%
Away	LWLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	43%	73%	10%
Points / game	76.7	81.5	71.4
Allowed / game	79.2	77.7	80.9
Point differential	-2.5	+3.8	-9.5
Avg total	156.0	159.3	152.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (4)	0% (2)
Overtime %	10%	18%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpia Milano	21	16	5	76%	79.9	70.1	+9.8
2	Brindisi	21	15	6	71%	78.1	74.0	+4.1
3	Siena	22	15	7	68%	75.1	68.2	+6.9
4	Cantu	22	15	7	68%	81.6	77.8	+3.9
5	Sassari	22	14	8	64%	85.5	78.5	+7.0
6	Virtus Roma	21	13	8	62%	77.2	75.4	+1.8
7	Reggiana	21	10	11	48%	75.2	72.5	+2.7
8	Caserta	21	10	11	48%	73.9	72.9	+1.0
9	Avellino	22	10	12	45%	75.1	79.3	-4.2
10	Venezia	21	9	12	43%	78.4	79.2	-0.8
11	Pistoia	21	9	12	43%	76.7	79.2	-2.5
12	Virtus Bologna	21	8	13	38%	79.1	80.9	-1.8
13	Varese	21	8	13	38%	80.6	83.5	-2.9
14	Cremona	21	7	14	33%	75.0	82.0	-7.0
15	Sutor Montegranaro	21	6	15	29%	78.2	87.7	-9.5
16	Pesaro	21	5	16	24%	79.7	89.0	-9.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pesaro	19	24	7	25	75
Pistoia	25	14	20	15	74

← all games of the day

Pesaro vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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