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Pesaro vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 80-72 (OT)
27-14 16-19 16-24 10-12 11-3
Position#15
Record5-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game84.4
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record9-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game81.0
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pesaro v Pistoia
30 Dec 2026
PES v PIS
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
PES82
PIS73
13 Apr 2024
PES89
PIS82
13 Apr 2020
PES v PIS
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
PES83
PIS77
08 Apr 2018
PES80
PIS72
27 Dec 2016
PES57
PIS59
11 Oct 2015
PES73
PIS74
26 Apr 2015
PES82
PIS86
09 Mar 2014
PES75
PIS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
111avg 106
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
91avg 106
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
96-104
96
104
-8
120avg 106
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-85
67
85
-18
166avg 106
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
116avg 106
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
103avg 106
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
no box
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
106avg 106
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
62-77
62
77
-15
no box
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
68-88
68
88
-20
95avg 106
A31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
21-18
18-23
23-21
20-21
20-16
13-27
17-24
22-22
23-26
20-25
31-31
12-30
20-21
15-15
20-19
24-25
19-24
24-26
23-20
26-33
15-21
18-20
20-18
18-16
13-29
24-17
15-8
17-23
19-29
24-17
23-24
17-15
10-28
14-17
21-17
12-26
16-22
19-14
21-26
167.5Avg total
78.7Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.484.4160.8-8.021%
Season at home (12)77.481.8159.2-4.433%
Season away (12)75.486.9162.3-11.58%
Last 10 (10)78.788.8167.5-10.120%
Last 5 (5)75.286.2161.4-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)78.085.3163.2-7.323%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.082.0162.0-2.033%
vs Weaker (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
72-76
72
76
-4
98avg 111
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
91-69
91
69
+22
127avg 111
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
74-88
74
88
-14
164avg 111
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
76-65
76
65
+11
176avg 111
H04/02
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
71-101
71
101
-30
171avg 111
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
74-65
74
65
+9
108avg 111
H04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
85-106
85
106
-21
116avg 111
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
96avg 111
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
93-83
93
83
+10
123avg 111
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
114avg 111
A31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
16-24
19-14
17-16
27-17
19-17
29-19
16-16
21-20
23-19
19-33
11-16
24-13
11-21
22-17
19-14
17-24
18-27
21-29
15-21
17-16
16-14
22-18
19-17
20-26
22-33
22-19
21-28
18-21
21-20
27-17
8-20
27-13
18-20
25-24
23-26
31-11
12-16
20-28
21-22
160.2Avg total
79.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.381.0157.3-4.738%
Season at home (12)79.377.4156.8+1.958%
Season away (12)73.284.6157.8-11.317%
Last 10 (10)79.480.8160.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.081.8163.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.184.0158.1-9.918%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.977.5156.4+1.555%
vs Weaker (2)82.063.0145.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -5.8-5.8Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
PesaroPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A31/03
Lega A
83.8Avg total
37.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.780.5-4.827%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.340.277.5-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)38.445.183.5-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)37.046.883.8-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.648.481.0-15.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)37.743.080.8-5.323%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.842.082.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker (2)30.040.570.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A14/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H21/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A28/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H04/02
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A11/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H04/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A11/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/03
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H25/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A31/03
Lega A
79.2Avg total
39.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.779.1-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.638.678.2+1.053%-
Last 30 away (15)37.142.879.9-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.479.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.078.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.642.979.5-6.418%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.538.779.3+1.855%-
vs Weaker (2)41.532.574.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.9
52.8%
51.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.6
30.0%
34.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.6
76.8%
73.0%12.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.9
48.1%
51.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.1
33.7%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.711.3
63.8%
73.0%11.3
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLLW
Pistoia
WWLLWLWLWL
#15
League position
#13
-14.8
Net rating
-2.3
101.6
Offensive rating
104.7
116.4
Defensive rating
106.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.0%
3-point %
33.7%
43.5%
Assist %
56.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 104.7Defence116.4 · 106.9Shooting50.1% · 49.0%3-point %30.0% · 33.7%Ball care19.3% · 16.8%Off. rebounds29.0% · 34.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
8
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
09/12/17Pistoia v Pesaro86-83
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
11/10/15Pesaro v Pistoia73-74
26/04/15Pesaro v Pistoia82-86
29/12/14Pistoia v Pesaro84-53
09/03/14Pesaro v Pistoia75-74
24/11/13Pistoia v Pesaro115-110 OT
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/18AVarese68-88
25/03/18HTrento62-77
18/03/18ABrindisi83-93
11/03/18HCapo d'Orlando84-81 OT
04/03/18ACremona79-92
11/02/18HTorino90-95
03/02/18AVirtus Bologna67-85
27/01/18HReggiana96-104
21/01/18ABrescia70-88
13/01/18HSassari88-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/18ATorino84-77
25/03/18HVenezia93-83
17/03/18HReggiana74-78
11/03/18ACantu85-106
04/03/18HVarese74-65
11/02/18AAvellino71-101
04/02/18HCremona76-65
28/01/18ABrindisi74-88
21/01/18HCapo d'Orlando91-69
14/01/18ABrescia72-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL21%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %21%33%8%
Points / game76.477.475.4
Allowed / game84.481.886.9
Point differential-8.0-4.4-11.5
Avg total160.8159.2162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)57% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW38%
HomeWWWLW58%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%58%17%
Points / game76.379.373.2
Allowed / game81.077.484.6
Point differential-4.7+1.9-11.3
Avg total157.3156.8157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2520580%80.973.0+7.9
2 Venezia2519676%82.278.8+3.3
3 Brescia2518772%79.274.2+4.9
4 Avellino2516964%83.977.6+6.2
5 Trento24131154%79.376.2+3.1
6 Virtus Bologna25131252%79.276.8+2.4
7 Cantu25131252%87.188.0-0.9
8 Cremona24121250%83.281.9+1.2
9 Varese25121348%78.575.7+2.8
10 Sassari25121348%86.083.7+2.3
11 Torino25121348%80.482.6-2.2
12 Reggiana24101442%75.677.2-1.6
13 Pistoia2491538%76.381.0-4.7
14 Brindisi2481633%78.281.8-3.5
15 Pesaro2451921%76.484.4-8.0
16 Capo d'Orlando2552020%70.284.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pesaro271616101180
Pistoia14192412372
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