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Pesaro vs Pistoia Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 13 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#17
Record1-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game92.5
Pesaro
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
6.2/10
Above normal
Pistoia
Italy
Position#16
Record7-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game83.3
ItalyLega ARound 31
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pesaro v Pistoia
30 Dec 2026
PES v PIS
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
PES82
PIS73
13 Apr 2024
PES89
PIS82
13 Apr 2020
PES v PIS
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
PES83
PIS77
08 Apr 2018
PES80
PIS72
27 Dec 2016
PES57
PIS59
11 Oct 2015
PES73
PIS74
26 Apr 2015
PES82
PIS86
09 Mar 2014
PES75
PIS74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 75
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 75
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
72avg 75
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
76avg 75
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
82-107
82
107
-25
no box
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
76avg 75
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
63avg 75
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
28-28
21-26
18-20
25-24
27-25
20-23
17-16
12-18
22-18
19-16
21-17
18-26
19-25
25-28
19-36
19-18
25-25
22-27
11-29
31-25
18-16
17-29
28-33
14-25
172.4Avg total
79.9Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.292.5171.6-13.35%
Season at home (10)74.688.9163.5-14.30%
Season away (10)83.796.0179.7-12.310%
Last 10 (10)79.992.5172.4-12.610%
Last 5 (5)80.895.0175.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.591.4168.8-13.97%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
80avg 70
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
91-79
91
79
+12
81avg 70
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
60-91
60
91
-31
41avg 70
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
56avg 70
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
60avg 70
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
60-90
60
90
-30
48avg 70
A18/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
no box
H26/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
81-80
81
80
+1
71avg 70
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 70
H09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
80-97
80
97
-17
69avg 70
A07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
11-20
15-23
29-13
27-26
14-20
27-20
23-13
14-26
19-18
15-24
12-23
15-20
24-12
13-23
18-23
22-24
9-18
17-15
23-17
8-19
20-27
20-16
12-28
13-29
20-20
24-9
18-28
21-21
15-27
25-14
20-18
22-20
15-21
26-11
23-27
20-25
19-25
22-22
19-25
158.3Avg total
75.8Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.583.3157.8-8.832%
Season at home (11)78.578.5157.1+0.055%
Season away (11)70.588.0158.5-17.59%
Last 10 (10)75.882.5158.3-6.740%
Last 5 (5)76.486.4162.8-10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)74.183.7157.8-9.622%
vs Similar (2)74.080.5154.5-6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
PesaroPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Lega A
89.0Avg total
42.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.744.680.4-8.97%-
Last 30 away (16)40.146.987.0-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.489.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A18/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H26/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A07/03
Lega A
79.0Avg total
35.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.241.878.0-5.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.940.877.7-3.913%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.878.3-7.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.743.379.0-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.646.881.4-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)36.141.477.5-5.419%-
vs Similar (2)35.544.580.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.9
46.3%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
52.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.6%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLLL
Pistoia
LWWLLLLLWW
#17
League position
#16
-16.6
Net rating
-9.3
103.9
Offensive rating
107.0
120.5
Defensive rating
116.3
47.0%
Effective FG%
45.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.9%
3-point %
28.1%
51.4%
Assist %
49.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 107.0Defence120.5 · 116.3Shooting47.0% · 45.7%3-point %31.9% · 28.1%Ball care15.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · 34.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Pesaro   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
22/12/19Pistoia v Pesaro91-79
20/01/19Pistoia v Pesaro77-81
07/10/18Pesaro v Pistoia83-77
08/04/18Pesaro v Pistoia80-72 OT
09/12/17Pistoia v Pesaro86-83
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
11/10/15Pesaro v Pistoia73-74
26/04/15Pesaro v Pistoia82-86
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HBrindisi77-103
01/02/20AVirtus Bologna89-106
19/01/20HSassari82-107
11/01/20AFortitudo Bologna80-77
05/01/20HTrieste76-82
29/12/19AVenezia92-98
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20ATrieste80-97
09/02/20HReggiana86-79
02/02/20AVirtus Roma81-80
26/01/20HTreviso75-86
18/01/20AVirtus Bologna60-90
12/01/20HTrento71-74
04/01/20HSassari70-78
26/12/19AVarese60-91
22/12/19HPesaro91-79
15/12/19HCremona84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL5%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %5%0%10%
Points / game79.274.683.7
Allowed / game92.588.996.0
Point differential-13.3-14.3-12.3
Avg total171.6163.5179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL32%
HomeWLLLW55%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%55%9%
Points / game74.578.570.5
Allowed / game83.378.588.0
Point differential-8.8+0.0-17.5
Avg total157.8157.1158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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