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Varese vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-92
22-18 29-22 18-25 20-27
Position#8
Record4-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game75.0
Varese
Italy
vs
Torino 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record9-5
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game78.4
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Varese v Torino
16 Dec 2018
VAR77
TOR60
14 Jan 2018
VAR89
TOR92
07 Jan 2017
VAR79
TOR86
08 Nov 2015
VAR92
TOR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
W
81-73
81
73
+8
106avg 108
H29/10
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
93-66
93
66
+27
128avg 108
H04/11
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
61-65
61
65
-4
156avg 108
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
154avg 108
H19/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
71-74
71
74
-3
96avg 108
A03/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
82-58
82
58
+24
114avg 108
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
66-76
66
76
-10
90avg 108
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
90-95 OT
90
95
-5
no box
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
98avg 108
A07/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
26-23
9-20
28-14
31-12
18-17
28-19
16-18
16-10
14-17
11-20
20-18
16-27
22-17
8-18
15-20
15-22
12-18
19-16
25-18
17-14
24-16
26-17
15-11
15-14
19-21
17-25
15-16
14-17
24-19
17-15
19-23
15-23
18-19
23-20
26-20
14-22
17-22
26-21
15-15
152.1Avg total
76.2Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.675.0150.6+0.629%
Season at home (7)79.973.3153.1+6.657%
Season away (7)71.476.7148.1-5.30%
Last 10 (10)76.275.9152.1+0.330%
Last 5 (5)79.079.8158.8-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.782.1157.9-6.429%
vs Similar (19)75.975.9151.8-0.147%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.075.0156.0+6.050%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
71-59
71
59
+12
101avg 108
H10/12
Lega A
Levallois
#21
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
H13/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
76-84
76
84
-8
102avg 108
A17/12
Lega A
Darussafaka
#2
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
A20/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
87-64
87
64
+23
123avg 108
H23/12
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#4
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
H26/12
Eurocup
Trento
#5
L
67-79
67
79
-12
93avg 108
A30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#3
W
90-76
90
76
+14
no box
H02/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H07/01
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
84-95
84
95
-11
no box
A10/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
16-13
20-8
19-24
31-14
20-24
21-23
20-25
23-15
22-23
15-22
16-24
20-16
19-20
19-18
19-21
25-19
21-9
27-17
14-19
16-16
16-23
18-22
22-18
10-15
15-27
20-26
22-11
25-17
21-15
23-25
21-19
32-16
24-24
20-23
19-23
27-24
31-22
10-27
16-22
159.4Avg total
81.1Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.578.4158.9+2.164%
Season at home (7)87.979.1167.0+8.786%
Season away (7)73.177.6150.7-4.443%
Last 10 (10)81.178.3159.4+2.860%
Last 5 (5)81.683.0164.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)80.083.6163.6-3.644%
vs Similar (10)83.080.7163.7+2.360%
vs Weaker (2)80.574.5155.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +5.9+5.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
VareseTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H29/10
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H04/11
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A12/11
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H19/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A03/12
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H10/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A02/01
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A07/01
Lega A
73.1Avg total
36.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.077.8-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.039.080.0+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)35.040.975.9-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.673.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.472.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.345.783.0-8.40%-
vs Similar (19)38.338.476.7-0.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)36.237.874.0-1.550%-
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H10/12
Lega A
Levallois
#21
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H13/12
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/12
Lega A
Darussafaka
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A20/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#11
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H23/12
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#4
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H26/12
Eurocup
Trento
#5
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#3
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H02/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#3
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H07/01
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A10/01
Eurocup
79.6Avg total
43.0Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.182.3+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.581.1+2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)40.842.783.5-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.679.6+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.883.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.941.682.5-0.744%-
vs Similar (10)42.839.382.1+3.560%-
vs Weaker (2)36.545.081.5-8.50%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.3
50.7%
51.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.1
30.3%
34.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.612.4
79.5%
73.0%12.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.6
52.7%
51.6%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.8
34.3%
34.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws18.514.0
75.7%
73.0%14.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLLWLLLWW
Torino
LWWLLWWLWW
#8
League position
#12
+5.7
Net rating
+4.4
105.6
Offensive rating
108.0
99.9
Defensive rating
103.6
48.8%
Effective FG%
52.3%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.3%
3-point %
34.3%
48.2%
Assist %
61.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 108.0Defence99.9 · 103.6Shooting48.8% · 52.3%3-point %30.3% · 34.3%Ball care17.6% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.5% · 29.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Varese wins
2
Torino wins
DateGameScore
07/05/17Torino v Varese89-76
07/01/17Varese v Torino79-86
28/02/16Torino v Varese72-84
08/11/15Varese v Torino92-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/18ACremona72-80
02/01/18ABrindisi90-95 OT
26/12/17HVirtus Bologna85-90 OT
16/12/17AReggiana66-76
10/12/17HCapo d'Orlando82-58
03/12/17APesaro71-74
19/11/17HSassari61-82
12/11/17AAvellino61-65
04/11/17HTrento93-66
29/10/17HPistoia81-73
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/18AZenit Petersburg84-95
07/01/18HBrescia95-86
02/01/18HBayern90-76
30/12/17ATrento67-79
26/12/17HUnics Kazan72-79
23/12/17HReggiana87-64
20/12/17ADarussafaka77-75
17/12/17AVirtus Bologna76-84
13/12/17HLevallois92-86
10/12/17HOlimpia Milano71-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%57%0%
Points / game75.679.971.4
Allowed / game75.073.376.7
Point differential+0.6+6.6-5.3
Avg total150.6153.1148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Torino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW64%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game80.587.973.1
Allowed / game78.479.177.6
Point differential+2.1+8.7-4.4
Avg total158.9167.0150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Avellino1512380%83.276.5+6.7
2 Olimpia Milano1411379%76.670.6+6.1
3 Brescia1410471%79.172.5+6.6
4 Venezia1410471%81.678.9+2.7
5 Torino149564%80.578.4+2.1
6 Sassari158753%83.880.3+3.5
7 Virtus Bologna158753%79.476.9+2.5
8 Cremona158753%81.779.9+1.8
9 Cantu147750%85.985.6+0.2
10 Trento157847%77.177.9-0.7
11 Reggiana1551033%73.675.5-1.9
12 Capo d'Orlando1551033%68.280.1-11.9
13 Varese1441029%75.675.0+0.6
14 Brindisi1441029%76.181.1-5.0
15 Pistoia1441029%74.181.1-7.1
16 Pesaro1541127%75.781.5-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2229182089
Torino1822252792
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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