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Pesaro vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 65-77
24-16 11-27 18-15 12-19
Position#15
Record4-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game89.7
vs
Trento 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record3-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game85.0
ItalyLega ARound 11
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pesaro v Trento
10 Dec 2023
PES74
TRE87
02 Apr 2023
PES70
TRE84
31 Oct 2021
PES75
TRE79
17 Oct 2020
PES57
TRE71
09 Nov 2019
PES95
TRE101
23 Dec 2018
PES65
TRE77
25 Mar 2018
PES62
TRE77
27 Nov 2016
PES73
TRE78
09 Mar 2016
PES79
TRE72
21 Dec 2014
PES57
TRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H07/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
62-97
62
97
-35
A21/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H28/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A04/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H12/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A19/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H25/11
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A09/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
H16/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
21-20
18-15
26-19
22-20
10-22
18-22
23-24
9-27
19-25
14-28
20-17
20-31
14-19
27-24
21-23
27-17
17-33
19-15
18-19
22-21
24-16
25-16
32-24
26-17
21-28
18-27
25-15
22-28
23-19
20-20
24-19
25-25
24-21
16-24
16-12
23-35
30-31
18-28
35-28
174.7Avg total
85.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.089.7174.7-4.740%
Season at home (5)92.691.8184.4+0.860%
Season away (5)77.487.6165.0-10.220%
Last 10 (10)85.089.7174.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)93.890.8184.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)79.688.8168.4-9.223%
vs Similar (3)82.080.7162.7+1.367%
vs Weaker (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A06/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H10/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H13/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A17/11
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#14
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
A21/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H25/11
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A12/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H15/12
Lega A
Valencia
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H18/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-22
25-14
17-20
22-20
19-22
19-17
18-19
20-17
22-22
18-18
19-17
20-20
23-15
15-22
12-23
24-25
16-26
14-26
24-19
35-18
18-10
21-19
20-17
12-20
15-23
27-20
27-22
15-21
22-19
23-23
16-19
16-23
20-19
18-14
10-11
20-16
18-23
28-29
15-26
22-17
158.8Avg total
78.5Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.585.0161.5-8.530%
Season at home (5)75.678.4154.0-2.860%
Season away (5)77.491.6169.0-14.20%
Last 10 (10)78.580.3158.8-1.850%
Last 5 (5)76.678.2154.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.585.5162.9-8.032%
vs Similar (10)76.879.9156.7-3.140%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
PesaroTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H07/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A21/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H28/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H12/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A19/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/11
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H16/12
Lega A
89.5Avg total
41.7Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.245.984.1-7.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.344.783.9-5.427%-
Last 30 away (15)37.247.184.3-9.920%-
Last 10 (10)41.747.889.5-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)48.048.296.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.446.384.7-7.923%-
vs Similar (3)39.342.782.0-3.333%-
vs Weaker (1)31.045.076.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Trento) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#15
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A06/11
Eurocup
Brescia
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H10/11
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/11
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A17/11
Lega A
Zenit Petersburg
#14
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A21/11
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H25/11
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A08/12
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/12
Lega A
Valencia
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H18/12
Eurocup
79.1Avg total
38.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.641.978.5-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.138.774.7-2.627%-
Last 30 away (15)37.145.282.3-8.120%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.379.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.881.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.142.478.4-6.321%-
vs Similar (10)38.241.379.5-3.130%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.623.5
50.4%
51.0%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.3
31.3%
35.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws23.317.7
76.0%
72.3%17.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.1
50.1%
51.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.1
29.3%
35.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.2
67.7%
72.3%13.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWWWLLLLW
Trento
LWLLWWLWWL
#15
League position
#6
-6.9
Net rating
-7.7
106.7
Offensive rating
101.0
113.6
Defensive rating
108.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
47.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.6%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.3%
3-point %
29.3%
41.9%
Assist %
57.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 101.0Defence113.6 · 108.7Shooting49.4% · 47.8%3-point %31.3% · 29.3%Ball care16.2% · 14.6%Off. rebounds30.3% · 27.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
7
Trento wins
DateGameScore
25/03/18Pesaro v Trento62-77
19/11/17Trento v Pesaro91-74
26/03/17Trento v Pesaro97-91
27/11/16Pesaro v Trento73-78
09/03/16Pesaro v Trento79-72
08/11/15Trento v Pesaro81-74
11/04/15Trento v Pesaro77-65
21/12/14Pesaro v Trento57-76
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/18HCremona106-122
09/12/18AAvellino81-82
25/11/18HVirtus Bologna89-86
19/11/18ACantu90-87
12/11/18HTrieste103-77
04/11/18ABrescia81-84
28/10/18HOlimpia Milano82-97
21/10/18AVenezia62-97
14/10/18ABrindisi73-88
07/10/18HPistoia83-77
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/18HValencia83-95
15/12/18HReggiana68-60
12/12/18ATurk Telekom77-84
08/12/18ATorino84-86
25/11/18HSassari71-66
21/11/18AZenit Petersburg102-99 OT
17/11/18ATrieste74-85
13/11/18HLyon-Villeurbanne79-77
10/11/18HBrescia76-75
06/11/18APartizan71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game85.092.677.4
Allowed / game89.791.887.6
Point differential-4.7+0.8-10.2
Avg total174.7184.4165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW30%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%60%0%
Points / game76.575.677.4
Allowed / game85.078.491.6
Point differential-8.5-2.8-14.2
Avg total161.5154.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano11110100%93.580.5+13.0
2 Venezia108280%82.868.6+14.2
3 Cremona117464%89.384.4+4.9
4 Varese117464%76.072.5+3.5
5 Avellino117464%83.583.5-0.1
6 Brindisi116555%77.876.5+1.4
7 Trieste105550%86.683.1+3.5
8 Brescia115645%79.377.8+1.5
9 Virtus Bologna115645%82.085.4-3.4
10 Pesaro104640%85.089.7-4.7
11 Sassari114736%85.284.4+0.8
12 Torino103730%77.982.2-4.3
13 Reggiana103730%78.583.7-5.2
14 Cantu103730%80.888.4-7.6
15 Trento103730%76.585.0-8.5
16 Pistoia103730%79.690.7-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2411181265
Trento1627151977
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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