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Pistoia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 77-81
17-30 29-16 16-14 15-21
Position#16
Record4-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game87.9
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#15
Record5-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game92.8
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pistoia v Pesaro
11 Apr 2027
PIS v PES
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
PIS89
PES91
17 Dec 2023
PIS73
PES74
22 Dec 2019
PIS91
PES79
20 Jan 2019
PIS77
PES81
09 Dec 2017
PIS86
PES83
23 Apr 2017
PIS87
PES83
25 Jan 2016
PIS77
PES75
29 Dec 2014
PIS84
PES53
24 Nov 2013
PIS115
PES110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
73-90
73
90
-17
101avg 117
H11/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
113-111
113
111
+2
190avg 117
A18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
137avg 117
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
73-70
73
70
+3
118avg 117
H09/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
71-81
71
81
-10
95avg 117
H16/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
80-86
80
86
-6
116avg 117
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
120avg 117
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
105avg 117
A30/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
71-65
71
65
+6
101avg 117
H06/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
78-82
78
82
-4
79avg 117
A13/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
22-22
15-22
19-26
30-28
22-29
25-26
36-28
21-15
19-17
23-20
21-30
19-15
16-20
22-20
16-15
12-28
16-22
16-21
27-10
21-13
29-23
17-26
13-24
20-23
16-12
18-21
16-22
17-26
18-24
21-25
23-25
23-17
13-18
16-16
19-14
19-20
25-17
18-26
16-19
163.7Avg total
79.2Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.387.9166.1-9.627%
Season at home (7)71.681.6153.1-10.029%
Season away (8)84.193.4177.5-9.225%
Last 10 (10)79.284.5163.7-5.340%
Last 5 (5)75.682.2157.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)77.486.3163.7-9.032%
vs Similar ◀ (4)76.882.0158.8-5.225%
vs Weaker (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
103-77
103
77
+26
133avg 118
H12/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
160avg 118
A19/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
127avg 118
H25/11
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
139avg 118
A09/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
132avg 118
H16/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
92avg 118
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
73-114
73
114
-41
117avg 118
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
78-98
78
98
-20
127avg 118
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
66-108
66
108
-42
89avg 118
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
no box
H13/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
24-16
25-16
32-24
26-17
21-28
18-27
25-15
22-28
23-19
20-20
24-19
25-25
24-21
16-24
16-12
23-35
30-31
18-28
35-28
24-16
11-27
18-15
12-19
14-28
16-19
16-33
27-34
22-25
20-24
15-28
21-21
15-25
14-32
15-24
22-27
26-26
15-23
26-18
19-19
180.2Avg total
85.3Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.392.8175.1-10.533%
Season at home (8)88.591.5180.0-3.050%
Season away (7)75.194.3169.4-19.114%
Last 10 (10)85.394.9180.2-9.640%
Last 5 (5)76.899.0175.8-22.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)80.092.1172.0-12.123%
vs Similar ◀ (3)82.080.7162.7+1.367%
vs Weaker (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
PistoiaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H11/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/11
Lega A
Brescia
#12
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H09/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H16/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A23/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H06/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A13/01
Lega A
80.4Avg total
39.5Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.680.8-2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.338.876.1-1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)41.144.385.4-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.980.4-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)38.742.681.3-3.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.837.077.8+3.875%-
vs Weaker (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H12/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A19/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/11
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H16/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Lega A
90.3Avg total
41.7Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.247.485.6-9.220%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.746.085.7-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)36.748.885.5-12.120%-
Last 10 (10)41.748.690.3-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.449.084.4-13.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)38.448.086.4-9.719%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)39.342.782.0-3.333%-
vs Weaker (1)31.045.076.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.7
50.6%
51.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.9
38.7%
35.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.312.4
64.2%
72.3%12.4
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.722.9
49.0%
51.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.0
30.3%
35.1%18.0
🏀 Free throws25.018.0
72.0%
72.3%18.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LWLLLLWWWL
Pesaro
WLLLLLLWWW
#16
League position
#15
-11.1
Net rating
-13.7
106.4
Offensive rating
103.7
117.5
Defensive rating
117.3
53.5%
Effective FG%
48.0%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.7%
3-point %
30.3%
60.5%
Assist %
40.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 103.7Defence117.5 · 117.3Shooting53.5% · 48.0%3-point %38.7% · 30.3%Ball care19.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.1% · 31.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Pistoia wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
07/10/18Pesaro v Pistoia83-77
08/04/18Pesaro v Pistoia80-72 OT
09/12/17Pistoia v Pesaro86-83
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
25/01/16Pistoia v Pesaro77-75
11/10/15Pesaro v Pistoia73-74
26/04/15Pesaro v Pistoia82-86
29/12/14Pistoia v Pesaro84-53
09/03/14Pesaro v Pistoia75-74
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19AAvellino78-82
06/01/19HVarese71-65
30/12/18ACantu79-100
26/12/18HTrento70-78
23/12/18ATorino80-86
16/12/18HVirtus Bologna71-81
09/12/18HBrescia73-70
24/11/18AReggiana84-82
18/11/18ASassari113-111
11/11/18HCremona73-90
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/19HTorino102-98 OT
06/01/19AReggiana66-108
30/12/18HVarese78-98
26/12/18ASassari73-114
23/12/18HTrento65-77
16/12/18HCremona106-122
09/12/18AAvellino81-82
25/11/18HVirtus Bologna89-86
19/11/18ACantu90-87
12/11/18HTrieste103-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLWLLW29%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game78.371.684.1
Allowed / game87.981.693.4
Point differential-9.6-10.0-9.2
Avg total166.1153.1177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game82.388.575.1
Allowed / game92.891.594.3
Point differential-10.5-3.0-19.1
Avg total175.1180.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1614288%90.781.1+9.6
2 Venezia1611569%80.770.4+10.2
3 Avellino1611569%82.881.8+1.0
4 Cremona1510567%88.983.6+5.3
5 Varese159660%77.873.6+4.2
6 Sassari169756%89.283.0+6.2
7 Brindisi169756%79.877.2+2.5
8 Virtus Bologna158753%81.582.5-1.1
9 Trieste157847%84.983.2+1.7
10 Brescia156940%78.079.7-1.7
11 Trento156940%76.381.0-4.7
12 Cantu1661038%82.988.2-5.2
13 Pesaro1551033%82.392.8-10.5
14 Reggiana1651131%79.282.6-3.4
15 Pistoia1541127%78.387.9-9.6
16 Torino1641225%80.786.2-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1729161577
Pesaro3016142181
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