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Pesaro vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 77-74
20-21 18-16 22-16 17-21
Position#15
Record7-21
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game84.3
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Venezia
Italy
Position#2
Record22-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.6
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Pesaro v Venezia
08 Oct 2023
PES64
VEN76
08 Oct 2022
PES90
VEN89
01 May 2022
PES75
VEN85
18 Sep 2021
PES51
VEN83
31 Jan 2021
PES65
VEN78
19 Apr 2020
PES v VEN
upcoming
03 Feb 2019
PES86
VEN89
06 May 2018
PES77
VEN74
06 Nov 2016
PES84
VEN78
13 Dec 2015
PES82
VEN75
07 Dec 2014
PES89
VEN90
11 May 2014
PES86
VEN73
14 Oct 2012
PES88
VEN75
06 Nov 2011
PES58
VEN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
116avg 105
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
103avg 105
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
no box
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
106avg 105
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
62-77
62
77
-15
no box
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
68-88
68
88
-20
95avg 105
A31/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
80-72 OT
80
72
+8
no box
H08/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
106avg 105
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
109avg 105
H22/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-70
75
70
+5
101avg 105
A29/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
19-24
24-26
23-20
26-33
15-21
18-20
20-18
18-16
13-29
24-17
15-8
17-23
19-29
24-17
23-24
17-15
10-28
14-17
21-17
12-26
16-22
19-14
21-26
27-14
16-19
16-24
10-12
25-31
23-28
13-25
20-19
18-23
16-28
18-16
30-24
18-16
13-19
24-13
20-22
164.6Avg total
78.4Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.984.3161.2-7.525%
Season at home (14)77.981.8159.7-3.936%
Season away (14)75.886.9162.6-11.114%
Last 10 (10)78.486.2164.6-7.830%
Last 5 (5)77.284.8162.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)77.285.2162.4-8.022%
vs Similar (5)82.884.8167.6-2.040%
vs Weaker (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
L
90-94
90
94
-4
no box
A28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#4
W
88-74
88
74
+14
111avg 116
H01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
W
81-76
81
76
+5
109avg 116
A08/04
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
no box
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
68-61
68
61
+7
101avg 116
H15/04
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
A19/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
175avg 116
A22/04
Lega A
Avellino
#21
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
A25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
104-85
104
85
+19
140avg 116
H29/04
Lega A
Avellino
#21
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
25-29
23-22
20-23
14-17
16-17
25-19
33-21
27-14
12-32
22-18
20-12
28-21
14-22
24-14
16-15
21-15
15-12
23-14
9-20
24-24
17-20
17-17
22-22
22-23
21-20
26-19
23-22
25-25
23-15
15-15
14-14
25-19
24-18
30-26
25-22
15-13
26-19
22-29
18-18
162.0Avg total
84.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.878.6161.4+4.279%
Season at home (14)81.676.6158.3+5.079%
Season away (14)83.980.6164.5+3.479%
Last 10 (10)84.377.7162.0+6.680%
Last 5 (5)86.880.0166.8+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)80.377.9158.2+2.469%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.077.1165.1+10.985%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -8.7-8.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -8.7-8.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
PesaroVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A31/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H22/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/04
Lega A
83.1Avg total
36.2Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.543.681.1-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.841.678.4-4.827%-
Last 30 away (15)38.145.683.7-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)36.246.983.1-10.710%-
Last 5 (5)36.845.282.0-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.443.781.1-6.322%-
vs Similar (5)40.844.485.2-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)30.040.570.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nizhny Novgorod
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#4
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/04
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Brescia
#3
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H15/04
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#3
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A19/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A22/04
Lega A
Avellino
#21
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H29/04
Lega A
Avellino
#21
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
81.1Avg total
41.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.936.676.4+3.369%-
Last 30 away (14)44.041.985.9+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.581.1+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.283.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)41.839.481.2+2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.838.281.0+4.777%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.9
51.0%
51.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.4
31.1%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.213.1
80.9%
73.0%13.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.7
57.6%
51.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.5
37.3%
34.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.714.2
72.1%
73.0%14.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLLWLLLWLL
Venezia
WWWWLWWWWL
#15
League position
#2
-15.8
Net rating
+10.5
100.4
Offensive rating
113.2
116.2
Defensive rating
102.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
56.9%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
20.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.1%
3-point %
37.3%
48.1%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 113.2Defence116.2 · 102.7Shooting49.4% · 56.9%3-point %31.1% · 37.3%Ball care20.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.6% · 22.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Pesaro   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
07/01/18Venezia v Pesaro72-71
05/03/17Venezia v Pesaro85-61
06/11/16Pesaro v Venezia84-78
03/04/16Venezia v Pesaro96-100 OT
13/12/15Pesaro v Venezia82-75
29/03/15Venezia v Pesaro84-72
07/12/14Pesaro v Venezia89-90
11/05/14Pesaro v Venezia86-73
12/01/14Venezia v Pesaro89-65
03/02/13Venezia v Pesaro71-68
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/18AOlimpia Milano75-70
22/04/18HCantu82-91
15/04/18AAvellino81-103
08/04/18HPistoia80-72 OT
31/03/18AVarese68-88
25/03/18HTrento62-77
18/03/18ABrindisi83-93
11/03/18HCapo d'Orlando84-81 OT
04/03/18ACremona79-92
11/02/18HTorino90-95
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/18HAvellino81-79
29/04/18HCapo d'Orlando104-85
25/04/18AAvellino77-69
22/04/18ASassari92-84
19/04/18ADonar Groningen80-83
15/04/18HBrescia68-61
11/04/18HDonar Groningen82-72
08/04/18AReggiana81-76
01/04/18HAvellino88-74
28/03/18ANizhny Novgorod90-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLWLWL36%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %25%36%14%
Points / game76.977.975.8
Allowed / game84.381.886.9
Point differential-7.5-3.9-11.1
Avg total161.2159.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWLWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %79%79%79%
Points / game82.881.683.9
Allowed / game78.676.680.6
Point differential+4.2+5.0+3.4
Avg total161.4158.3164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won87% (15)75% (8)100% (7)
Overtime %11%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia2822679%82.878.6+4.2
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%81.374.3+7.0
3 Brescia2819968%79.174.9+4.2
4 Avellino28181064%83.777.7+6.0
5 Trento28171161%80.876.6+4.2
6 Varese28151354%78.075.0+3.0
7 Virtus Bologna28151354%78.275.6+2.6
8 Cantu28151354%87.587.8-0.2
9 Sassari28141450%85.582.9+2.6
10 Cremona28141450%84.182.5+1.6
11 Reggiana28121643%76.678.1-1.5
12 Torino28121643%80.282.6-2.4
13 Pistoia2891932%75.180.8-5.7
14 Brindisi2882029%77.081.8-4.8
15 Pesaro2872125%76.984.3-7.5
16 Capo d'Orlando2862221%71.084.1-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2018221777
Venezia2116162174
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