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Pesaro vs Venezia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#17
Record1-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.5/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record11-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.3
ItalyLega ARound 33
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Pesaro v Venezia
08 Oct 2023
PES64
VEN76
08 Oct 2022
PES90
VEN89
01 May 2022
PES75
VEN85
18 Sep 2021
PES51
VEN83
31 Jan 2021
PES65
VEN78
19 Apr 2020
PES v VEN
upcoming
03 Feb 2019
PES86
VEN89
06 May 2018
PES77
VEN74
06 Nov 2016
PES84
VEN78
13 Dec 2015
PES82
VEN75
07 Dec 2014
PES89
VEN90
11 May 2014
PES86
VEN73
14 Oct 2012
PES88
VEN75
06 Nov 2011
PES58
VEN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
65-71
65
71
-6
56avg 75
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
87-103
87
103
-16
76avg 75
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
72avg 75
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
76avg 75
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
82-107
82
107
-25
no box
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
76avg 75
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
63avg 75
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-14
16-21
19-19
24-25
30-31
20-26
13-21
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
28-28
21-26
18-20
25-24
27-25
20-23
17-16
12-18
22-18
19-16
21-17
18-26
19-25
25-28
19-36
19-18
25-25
22-27
11-29
31-25
18-16
17-29
28-33
14-25
172.4Avg total
79.9Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.292.5171.6-13.35%
Season at home (10)74.688.9163.5-14.30%
Season away (10)83.796.0179.7-12.310%
Last 10 (10)79.992.5172.4-12.610%
Last 5 (5)80.895.0175.8-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)77.591.4168.8-13.97%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
104-85
104
85
+19
no box
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
70avg 87
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
98-92
98
92
+6
91avg 87
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
55avg 87
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
76avg 87
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
71avg 87
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 87
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
69avg 87
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 87
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-21
13-18
16-12
30-29
28-23
21-18
25-15
10-17
30-26
18-21
21-13
28-28
26-21
20-18
24-25
14-10
18-15
15-16
17-29
17-23
23-8
21-17
20-24
21-17
15-20
20-14
24-19
21-21
18-23
16-19
16-20
21-22
20-17
16-21
20-21
25-23
13-14
15-14
26-22
157.7Avg total
80.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.075.3153.3+2.752%
Season at home (11)75.669.4145.0+6.382%
Season away (10)80.681.9162.5-1.320%
Last 10 (10)80.377.4157.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)77.675.8153.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.070.5135.5-5.525%
vs Similar (8)79.081.2160.2-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.974.7154.7+5.272%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
PesaroVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H08/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A15/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Lega A
89.0Avg total
42.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.744.680.4-8.97%-
Last 30 away (16)40.146.987.0-6.919%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.846.489.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.045.983.9-7.813%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/02
Lega A
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.677.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.536.875.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.240.680.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.881.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.832.568.2+3.275%-
vs Similar (8)40.643.684.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.537.777.2+1.856%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.9
46.3%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
35.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
73.6%12.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLLL
Venezia
WLLWWLWWWL
#17
League position
#7
-16.6
Net rating
+4.4
103.9
Offensive rating
113.4
120.5
Defensive rating
109.0
47.0%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
36.7%
51.4%
Assist %
55.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 113.4Defence120.5 · 109.0Shooting47.0% · 52.7%3-point %31.9% · 36.7%Ball care15.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 33.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
29/12/19Venezia v Pesaro98-92
03/02/19Pesaro v Venezia86-89
21/10/18Venezia v Pesaro97-62
06/05/18Pesaro v Venezia77-74
07/01/18Venezia v Pesaro72-71
05/03/17Venezia v Pesaro85-61
06/11/16Pesaro v Venezia84-78
03/04/16Venezia v Pesaro96-100 OT
13/12/15Pesaro v Venezia82-75
29/03/15Venezia v Pesaro84-72
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HBrindisi77-103
01/02/20AVirtus Bologna89-106
19/01/20HSassari82-107
11/01/20AFortitudo Bologna80-77
05/01/20HTrieste76-82
29/12/19AVenezia92-98
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
15/12/19AVarese87-103
08/12/19HOlimpia Milano65-71
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTreviso79-73
02/02/20ACantu77-81
25/01/20HVirtus Bologna71-83
18/01/20HFortitudo Bologna80-70
12/01/20ATrieste81-72
04/01/20ABrescia64-70
29/12/19HPesaro98-92
26/12/19HVirtus Roma79-77
22/12/19AReggiana104-85
15/12/19HOlimpia Milano70-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL5%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %5%0%10%
Points / game79.274.683.7
Allowed / game92.588.996.0
Point differential-13.3-14.3-12.3
Avg total171.6163.5179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%82%20%
Points / game78.075.680.6
Allowed / game75.369.481.9
Point differential+2.7+6.3-1.3
Avg total153.3145.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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