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Petrol Olimpija vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 60-83
23-22 13-21 13-22 11-18
Position#13
Record2-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game79.2
Petrol Olimpija
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#1
Record6-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game71.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 7
Domestic2018
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda
10 Nov 2018
POL60
CZV83
08 Oct 2017
POL73
CZV82
28 Nov 2016
POL67
CZV85
11 Jan 2016
POL69
CZV77
04 Jan 2015
POL81
CZV91
20 Oct 2013
POL61
CZV62
05 Jan 2013
POL56
CZV70
15 Jan 2012
POL74
CZV73
18 Dec 2010
POL80
CZV67
24 Oct 2009
POL94
CZV76
10 Jan 2009
POL72
CZV76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A17/10
Champions League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
A19/10
ABA League
Polzela
#5
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
61-92
61
92
-31
H24/10
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H27/10
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Oostende
#27
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A30/10
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#3
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A05/11
ABA League
Neptunas
#24
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H07/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
22-20
19-23
16-19
18-20
30-19
15-17
11-18
18-21
30-22
26-25
24-27
16-19
11-27
17-23
17-23
19-15
15-10
14-21
20-22
27-20
32-26
20-21
19-22
21-16
19-23
16-22
23-12
19-20
20-19
25-14
17-8
10-22
13-23
30-19
16-21
17-24
30-32
21-24
20-17
163.8Avg total
80.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.279.2159.3+1.033%
Season at home (3)85.375.7161.0+9.767%
Season away (3)75.082.7157.7-7.70%
Last 10 (10)80.683.2163.8-2.640%
Last 5 (5)83.081.0164.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.681.2156.9-5.625%
vs Similar (7)82.680.7163.3+1.957%
vs Weaker (13)85.575.2160.6+10.385%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A07/10
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A10/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H13/10
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H20/10
ABA League
Brescia
#19
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A24/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A27/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H30/10
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H03/11
ABA League
Ulm
#10
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A07/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
23-18
22-19
20-21
17-6
12-18
8-20
29-19
29-17
17-15
20-19
14-15
16-17
28-16
16-25
25-21
25-23
27-21
23-11
21-20
31-15
7-24
12-17
11-13
25-12
20-20
15-17
21-23
26-13
18-13
25-21
18-10
22-14
28-20
22-18
22-27
17-21
16-29
24-23
23-22
154.3Avg total
81.7Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.071.8157.8+14.2100%
Season at home (4)87.072.0159.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)84.071.5155.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.772.6154.3+9.180%
Last 5 (5)80.674.4155.0+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)81.274.2155.3+7.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.972.7158.6+13.287%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +7.9+7.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.3+1.3
Petrol OlimpijaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#17
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/10
Champions League
Mega Bemax
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A19/10
ABA League
Polzela
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H24/10
Champions League
Cibona
#8
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H27/10
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Oostende
#27
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A30/10
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#3
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A05/11
ABA League
Neptunas
#24
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H07/11
Champions League
82.2Avg total
40.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.680.6+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.039.380.3+1.762%-
Last 30 away (14)41.139.981.0+1.164%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.582.2-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.086.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.942.878.6-6.938%-
vs Similar (7)42.937.380.1+5.686%-
vs Weaker (13)44.238.582.6+5.769%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A07/10
ABA League
Monaco
#8
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A10/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H13/10
ABA League
MoraBanc Andorra
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H16/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H20/10
ABA League
Brescia
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/10
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/10
ABA League
Galatasaray
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H30/10
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H03/11
ABA League
Ulm
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
77.1Avg total
42.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.636.280.8+8.483%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.836.382.1+9.593%-
Last 30 away (15)43.436.079.4+7.473%-
Last 10 (10)42.634.577.1+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.278.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)38.336.875.2+1.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.435.782.2+10.791%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.4
51.1%
51.6%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.1
38.9%
33.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.815.9
72.9%
72.5%15.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.0
57.1%
51.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.2
38.3%
33.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.413.6
73.9%
72.5%13.6
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LLWWWLLWLL
Crvena zvezda
LWWWLWWWWW
#13
League position
#1
+2.7
Net rating
+13.0
108.1
Offensive rating
110.9
105.4
Defensive rating
97.8
54.0%
Effective FG%
57.3%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.9%
3-point %
38.3%
68.4%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 110.9Defence105.4 · 97.8Shooting54.0% · 57.3%3-point %38.9% · 38.3%Ball care17.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 27.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Petrol Olimpija wins
9
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
21/09/18Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija86-60
02/01/18Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija80-76
08/10/17Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda73-82
27/02/17Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija88-67
28/11/16Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda67-85
11/01/16Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda69-77
18/10/15Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija73-77
04/01/15Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda81-91
11/10/14Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija73-65
19/01/14Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija87-62
Petrol Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/18HNeptunas88-97
05/11/18ABuducnost69-85
02/11/18HKK Primorska81-61
30/10/18AOostende79-73
28/10/18ATajfun Sentjur98-89
27/10/18HCibona78-80 OT
24/10/18HVirtus Bologna61-92
21/10/18HPolzela98-95
19/10/18AMega Bemax77-81 OT
17/10/18APromitheas77-79
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/18AUlm80-95
03/11/18HCedevita94-79
30/10/18HGalatasaray87-57
27/10/18AFMP Beograd81-72
24/10/18ABrescia61-69
20/10/18HIgokea96-75
16/10/18HMoraBanc Andorra85-79
13/10/18HKK Krka Novo mesto80-66
10/10/18AMonaco66-63
07/10/18ABuducnost87-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game80.285.375.0
Allowed / game79.275.782.7
Point differential+1.0+9.7-7.7
Avg total159.3161.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %33%33%33%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.087.084.0
Allowed / game71.872.071.5
Point differential+14.2+15.0+12.5
Avg total157.8159.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda660100%86.071.8+14.2
2 Mega Bemax76186%83.977.7+6.1
3 Buducnost64267%77.370.0+7.3
4 Cibona63350%80.380.5-0.2
5 Partizan63350%84.284.8-0.7
6 FMP Beograd63350%78.282.8-4.7
7 Petrol Olimpija62433%80.279.2+1.0
8 Cedevita62433%80.382.8-2.5
9 Igokea62433%80.583.8-3.3
10 Mornar Bar62433%80.885.3-4.5
11 KK Krka Novo mesto62433%73.381.2-7.8
12 Zadar72529%84.089.1-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2313131160
Crvena zvezda2221221883
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