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Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#19
Record4-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game118.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game120.4
Allowed / game111.2
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors
28 Dec 2026
PHX v GSW
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
PHX131
GSW122
17 Apr 2026
PHX111
GSW96
05 Feb 2026
PHX97
GSW101
18 Dec 2025
PHX99
GSW98
08 Apr 2025
PHX95
GSW133
30 Nov 2024
PHX113
GSW105
12 Dec 2023
PHX119
GSW116
22 Nov 2023
PHX123
GSW115
16 Nov 2022
PHX130
GSW119
25 Oct 2022
PHX134
GSW105
25 Dec 2021
PHX107
GSW116
30 Nov 2021
PHX104
GSW96
04 Mar 2021
PHX120
GSW98
28 Jan 2021
PHX114
GSW93
29 Feb 2020
PHX99
GSW115
12 Feb 2020
PHX112
GSW106
08 Feb 2019
PHX107
GSW117
31 Dec 2018
PHX109
GSW132
08 Apr 2018
PHX100
GSW117
17 Mar 2018
PHX109
GSW124
05 Apr 2017
PHX111
GSW120
30 Oct 2016
PHX100
GSW106
10 Feb 2016
PHX104
GSW112
27 Nov 2015
PHX116
GSW135
09 Mar 2015
PHX80
GSW98
09 Nov 2014
PHX107
GSW95
08 Feb 2014
PHX122
GSW109
15 Dec 2013
PHX106
GSW102
05 Apr 2013
PHX107
GSW111
31 Oct 2012
PHX85
GSW87
22 Feb 2012
PHX104
GSW106
02 Jan 2012
PHX102
GSW91
18 Mar 2011
PHX108
GSW97
10 Feb 2011
PHX112
GSW88
23 Jan 2010
PHX112
GSW103
30 Oct 2009
PHX123
GSW101
15 Apr 2009
PHX117
GSW113
06 Feb 2009
PHX115
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
83-124
83
124
-41
61avg 100
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 100
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 100
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 100
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
113-116
113
116
-3
104avg 100
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
119-132
119
132
-13
105avg 100
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
117-104
117
104
+13
110avg 100
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 100
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
96-122
96
122
-26
76avg 100
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
133-110
133
110
+23
131avg 100
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
31-19
26-32
36-42
20-23
34-29
25-43
26-32
34-28
33-26
30-25
33-22
21-31
35-23
12-24
29-28
26-24
25-31
21-30
22-32
28-29
29-18
35-29
35-25
34-38
230.9Avg total
112.8Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)112.8118.1230.9-5.340%
Season at home (7)116.9116.6233.4+0.357%
Season away (3)103.3121.7225.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)112.8118.1230.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)113.4113.4226.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)109.6118.7228.4-9.121%
vs Similar (11)110.4111.4221.7-1.036%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
108-111
108
111
-3
69avg 105
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
122-131
122
131
-9
75avg 105
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
W
134-114
134
114
+20
102avg 105
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
W
119-114
119
114
+5
93avg 105
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
112-95
112
95
+17
102avg 105
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
124-112
124
112
+12
88avg 105
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
116-113
116
113
+3
92avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
120-100
120
100
+20
126avg 105
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
126-119 OT
126
119
+7
128avg 105
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
138-87
138
87
+51
144avg 105
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-33
22-27
34-24
18-27
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
29-37
34-20
29-28
32-27
19-31
32-26
42-36
23-20
26-29
27-24
38-23
29-24
31-19
26-22
20-37
33-32
35-20
37-23
40-22
26-22
231.5Avg total
121.9Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)120.4111.2231.5+9.273%
Season at home (7)120.6105.3225.9+15.386%
Season away (4)120.0121.5241.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)121.9109.6231.5+12.380%
Last 5 (5)124.8106.2231.0+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.8117.5222.3-12.70%
vs Similar (11)110.6116.7227.4-6.127%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)123.8114.2238.1+9.685%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +7.0+7.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.9+1.9
Phoenix SunsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H11/11
NBA
114.5Avg total
55.2Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.859.1116.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.957.3116.2+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)56.561.4117.8-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)55.259.3114.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.6111.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)55.461.9117.2-6.529%-
vs Similar (11)58.757.6116.4+1.145%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H24/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#5
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H10/11
NBA
110.8Avg total
58.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.456.4111.8-1.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.955.7111.7+0.233%-
Last 30 away (15)54.857.1111.9-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)58.352.5110.8+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)59.250.2109.4+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.556.0107.5-4.533%-
vs Similar (11)52.457.2109.5-4.89%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.756.0115.7+3.754%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.8
56.4%
54.0%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.9
36.7%
35.0%41.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
76.8%15.4
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 119.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.425.1
56.5%
54.0%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.016.0
41.0%
35.0%48.0
🏀 Free throws26.121.6
82.8%
76.8%21.6
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLWWLLLLWL
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWWWWLL
#19
League position
#6
-4.4
Net rating
+6.3
110.8
Offensive rating
115.9
115.2
Defensive rating
109.6
55.8%
Effective FG%
58.9%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.7%
3-point %
41.0%
61.9%
Assist %
70.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 115.9Defence115.2 · 109.6Shooting55.8% · 58.9%3-point %36.7% · 41.0%Ball care14.5% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.9% · 19.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers133-110
10/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs96-122
08/11/26HHouston Rockets102-99
06/11/26HOrlando Magic117-104
05/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-132
03/11/26AGolden State Warriors113-116
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HNew Orleans Pelicans138-87
08/11/26HOrlando Magic126-119 OT
06/11/26HMiami Heat120-100
03/11/26HPhoenix Suns116-113
02/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers124-112
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114
25/10/26APhoenix Suns122-131
24/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies108-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %40%57%0%
Points / game112.8116.9103.3
Allowed / game118.1116.6121.7
Point differential-5.3+0.3-18.3
Avg total230.9233.4225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %73%86%50%
Points / game120.4120.6120.0
Allowed / game111.2105.3121.5
Point differential+9.2+15.3-1.5
Avg total231.5225.9241.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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