PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 118-107
33-19 35-30 24-34 26-24
Position#20
Record4-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game115.7
vs
Position#16
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game120.6
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Phoenix Suns
06 Apr 2027
GSW v PHX
upcoming
02 Nov 2026
GSW116
PHX113
20 Dec 2025
GSW119
PHX116
04 Nov 2025
GSW118
PHX107
31 Jan 2025
GSW105
PHX130
28 Dec 2024
GSW109
PHX105
10 Feb 2024
GSW113
PHX112
24 Oct 2023
GSW104
PHX108
13 Mar 2023
GSW123
PHX112
10 Jan 2023
GSW113
PHX125
30 Mar 2022
GSW103
PHX107
03 Dec 2021
GSW118
PHX96
11 May 2021
GSW122
PHX116
27 Dec 2019
GSW105
PHX96
30 Oct 2019
GSW110
PHX121
10 Mar 2019
GSW111
PHX115
22 Oct 2018
GSW123
PHX103
01 Apr 2018
GSW117
PHX107
12 Feb 2018
GSW129
PHX83
03 Dec 2016
GSW138
PHX109
13 Nov 2016
GSW133
PHX120
12 Mar 2016
GSW123
PHX116
16 Dec 2015
GSW128
PHX103
02 Apr 2015
GSW107
PHX106
31 Jan 2015
GSW106
PHX87
09 Mar 2014
GSW113
PHX107
27 Dec 2013
GSW115
PHX86
20 Feb 2013
GSW108
PHX98
02 Feb 2013
GSW113
PHX93
13 Feb 2012
GSW102
PHX96
07 Feb 2011
GSW92
PHX104
02 Dec 2010
GSW101
PHX107
22 Mar 2010
GSW131
PHX133
26 Dec 2009
GSW132
PHX127
15 Mar 2009
GSW130
PHX154
04 Feb 2009
GSW124
PHX112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
89-84
89
84
+5
98avg 104
H05/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#4
L
88-90
88
90
-2
79avg 104
H06/07
California Classic
Miami Heat
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
68avg 104
H08/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
119-109
119
109
+10
119avg 104
A22/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
137-131 OT
137
131
+6
130avg 104
H24/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
119-139
119
139
-20
112avg 104
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-118
131
118
+13
133avg 104
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
98-79
98
79
+19
91avg 104
H29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
110-120
110
120
-10
103avg 104
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
109-114
109
114
-5
100avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
28-24
30-17
20-24
13-21
33-24
22-24
20-21
22-23
14-25
21-22
22-23
28-22
27-32
35-25
29-30
27-31
34-39
33-24
26-26
28-28
28-41
35-34
28-36
36-37
29-24
36-24
30-33
33-25
13-24
32-14
20-16
25-34
33-26
26-27
26-33
32-28
26-25
30-29
21-32
215.6Avg total
107.9Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)117.6115.7233.3+1.957%
Season at home (3)122.0109.3231.3+12.7100%
Season away (4)114.2120.5234.8-6.225%
Last 10 (10)107.9107.7215.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)113.4114.0227.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)101.7102.7204.3-1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (21)106.6107.4214.0-0.948%
vs Weaker (6)116.2107.8224.0+8.350%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
112-125
112
125
-13
106avg 107
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
117-98
117
98
+19
113avg 107
H12/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
98-109
98
109
-11
92avg 107
A13/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
120-116
120
116
+4
110avg 107
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
102-129
102
129
-27
87avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
111-133
111
133
-22
99avg 107
A26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
134-138 OT
134
138
-4
125avg 107
A28/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
113-114
113
114
-1
106avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
118-96
118
96
+22
113avg 107
H01/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
130-118
130
118
+12
135avg 107
H03/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-29
28-33
26-43
19-20
28-33
25-14
39-17
25-34
25-33
29-24
21-29
23-23
19-29
35-42
36-21
30-24
33-34
23-38
21-34
25-23
28-34
26-37
29-29
28-33
27-39
34-25
25-30
38-30
26-27
27-22
25-32
35-33
37-17
17-23
29-27
35-29
31-24
39-28
32-26
28-40
233.1Avg total
115.5Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)118.3120.6238.9-2.343%
Season at home (4)120.2111.0231.2+9.275%
Season away (3)115.7133.3249.0-17.70%
Last 10 (10)115.5117.6233.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)121.2119.8241.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)112.0123.7235.7-11.725%
vs Similar ◀ (9)114.1112.0226.1+2.156%
vs Weaker (5)122.0114.4236.4+7.660%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
Golden State WarriorsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/07
California Classic
San Antonio Spurs
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H06/07
California Classic
Miami Heat
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H08/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A22/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H24/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A25/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A01/11
NBA
107.2Avg total
52.0Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.052.5104.5-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.953.4105.3-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)52.151.5103.6+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)52.055.2107.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.4115.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.353.799.0-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)51.152.6103.7-1.548%-
vs Weaker (6)58.551.5110.0+7.067%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H10/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H12/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A13/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
54-71
54
71
-17
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A26/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A28/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H30/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H01/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
70-52
70
52
+18
H03/11
NBA
116.1Avg total
57.6Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.857.9112.8-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.756.1112.8+0.665%-
Last 30 away (13)52.460.3112.7-7.915%-
Last 10 (10)57.658.5116.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)58.455.2113.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)53.660.6114.2-6.931%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)55.855.9111.7-0.156%-
vs Weaker (5)57.053.2110.2+3.860%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.822.4
54.9%
54.8%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.314.1
35.9%
35.8%42.3
🏀 Free throws24.520.8
84.9%
78.1%20.8
They take 80.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 115.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.125.7
55.7%
54.8%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.016.4
37.3%
35.8%49.2
🏀 Free throws18.914.9
78.8%
78.1%14.9
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LLWWLWWLLW
Phoenix Suns
WWLLLLWLWL
#20
League position
#16
+0.8
Net rating
-2.0
109.6
Offensive rating
112.5
108.8
Defensive rating
114.6
54.4%
Effective FG%
55.8%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.9%
3-point %
37.3%
67.4%
Assist %
67.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 112.5Defence108.8 · 114.6Shooting54.4% · 55.8%3-point %35.9% · 37.3%Ball care17.2% · 14.7%Off. rebounds23.7% · 26.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25AIndiana Pacers109-114
31/10/25AMilwaukee Bucks110-120
29/10/25HLos Angeles Clippers98-79
28/10/25HMemphis Grizzlies131-118
25/10/25APortland Trail Blazers119-139
24/10/25HDenver Nuggets137-131 OT
22/10/25ALos Angeles Lakers119-109
08/07/25HMiami Heat79-93
06/07/25HSan Antonio Spurs88-90
05/07/25HLos Angeles Lakers89-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/25HSan Antonio Spurs130-118
01/11/25HUtah Jazz118-96
30/10/25HMemphis Grizzlies113-114
28/10/25AUtah Jazz134-138 OT
26/10/25ADenver Nuggets111-133
25/10/25ALos Angeles Clippers102-129
23/10/25HSacramento Kings120-116
13/04/25ASacramento Kings98-109
12/04/25HSan Antonio Spurs117-98
10/04/25HOklahoma City Thunder112-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game117.6122.0114.2
Allowed / game115.7109.3120.5
Point differential+1.9+12.7-6.2
Avg total233.3231.3234.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game118.3120.2115.7
Allowed / game120.6111.0133.3
Point differential-2.3+9.2-17.7
Avg total238.9231.2249.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder770100%122.1109.7+12.4
2 Chicago Bulls76186%120.4115.6+4.9
3 San Antonio Spurs65183%118.2108.2+10.0
4 Los Angeles Lakers86275%119.8116.6+3.1
5 Philadelphia 76ers75271%123.6117.4+6.1
6 Detroit Pistons75271%115.9112.4+3.4
7 Houston Rockets64267%124.8112.2+12.7
8 Denver Nuggets64267%125.0113.8+11.2
9 Milwaukee Bucks85362%119.9119.1+0.8
10 Miami Heat74357%123.9117.0+6.9
11 New York Knicks74357%116.3113.6+2.7
12 Portland Trail Blazers74357%120.3117.6+2.7
13 Golden State Warriors74357%117.6115.7+1.9
14 Minnesota Timberwolves74357%116.9115.6+1.3
15 Cleveland Cavaliers74357%114.1113.9+0.3
16 Toronto Raptors84450%120.5118.0+2.5
17 Atlanta Hawks84450%116.6117.4-0.8
18 Los Angeles Clippers63350%112.5113.3-0.8
19 Phoenix Suns73443%118.3120.6-2.3
20 Utah Jazz73443%115.6118.6-3.0
21 Boston Celtics83538%110.5109.6+0.9
22 Charlotte Hornets83538%120.4120.4+0.0
23 Orlando Magic83538%116.2117.6-1.4
24 Memphis Grizzlies83538%115.5120.4-4.9
25 Sacramento Kings72529%116.3121.0-4.7
26 Dallas Mavericks72529%107.3115.6-8.3
27 Indiana Pacers71614%112.9120.6-7.7
28 Washington Wizards71614%112.6127.0-14.4
29 New Orleans Pelicans71614%108.9123.9-15.0
30 Brooklyn Nets7070%111.9127.6-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors33352426118
Phoenix Suns19303424107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.