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Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 95-133
24-37 19-32 18-26 34-38
Position#22
Record35-43
FormLLLLL
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game116.6
vs
Position#11
Record46-31
FormWWWWL
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game111.0
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Golden State Warriors
28 Dec 2026
PHX v GSW
upcoming
24 Oct 2026
PHX131
GSW122
17 Apr 2026
PHX111
GSW96
05 Feb 2026
PHX97
GSW101
18 Dec 2025
PHX99
GSW98
08 Apr 2025
PHX95
GSW133
30 Nov 2024
PHX113
GSW105
12 Dec 2023
PHX119
GSW116
22 Nov 2023
PHX123
GSW115
16 Nov 2022
PHX130
GSW119
25 Oct 2022
PHX134
GSW105
25 Dec 2021
PHX107
GSW116
30 Nov 2021
PHX104
GSW96
04 Mar 2021
PHX120
GSW98
28 Jan 2021
PHX114
GSW93
29 Feb 2020
PHX99
GSW115
12 Feb 2020
PHX112
GSW106
08 Feb 2019
PHX107
GSW117
31 Dec 2018
PHX109
GSW132
08 Apr 2018
PHX100
GSW117
17 Mar 2018
PHX109
GSW124
05 Apr 2017
PHX111
GSW120
30 Oct 2016
PHX100
GSW106
10 Feb 2016
PHX104
GSW112
27 Nov 2015
PHX116
GSW135
09 Mar 2015
PHX80
GSW98
09 Nov 2014
PHX107
GSW95
08 Feb 2014
PHX122
GSW109
15 Dec 2013
PHX106
GSW102
05 Apr 2013
PHX107
GSW111
31 Oct 2012
PHX85
GSW87
22 Feb 2012
PHX104
GSW106
02 Jan 2012
PHX102
GSW91
18 Mar 2011
PHX108
GSW97
10 Feb 2011
PHX112
GSW88
23 Jan 2010
PHX112
GSW103
30 Oct 2009
PHX123
GSW101
15 Apr 2009
PHX117
GSW113
06 Feb 2009
PHX115
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
129-89
129
89
+40
134avg 108
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-121
127
121
+6
125avg 108
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
123-112
123
112
+11
124avg 108
H22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
108-106
108
106
+2
109avg 108
H25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-132
102
132
-30
88avg 108
H27/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
109-124
109
124
-15
105avg 108
A29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
109-148
109
148
-39
101avg 108
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
123-133
123
133
-10
109avg 108
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
103-123
103
123
-20
90avg 108
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
98-112
98
112
-14
80avg 108
A06/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-29
39-11
30-24
36-25
31-22
32-29
36-33
28-37
35-34
27-17
36-28
25-33
25-30
29-28
27-20
27-28
38-42
16-31
27-35
21-24
21-27
24-30
30-35
34-32
24-32
25-46
24-34
36-36
19-31
38-29
26-35
40-38
22-31
25-29
28-30
28-33
23-27
20-26
27-34
28-25
233.1Avg total
113.1Scored
120.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)114.0116.6230.7-2.645%
Season at home (38)114.5113.9228.4+0.661%
Season away (40)113.6119.2232.8-5.730%
Last 10 (10)113.1120.0233.1-6.940%
Last 5 (5)108.4128.0236.4-19.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)113.3125.2238.6-11.917%
vs Similar (9)117.4113.8231.2+3.756%
vs Weaker (3)125.3119.7245.0+5.767%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
104-93
104
93
+11
105avg 108
H19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
117-114
117
114
+3
107avg 108
H21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
115-124
115
124
-9
108avg 108
A22/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
86-112
86
112
-26
72avg 108
A25/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
111-95
111
95
+16
104avg 108
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
148-106
148
106
+42
152avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
134-125
134
125
+9
126avg 108
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
123-116
123
116
+7
123avg 108
A04/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
118-104
118
104
+14
108avg 108
H05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
96-106
96
106
-10
89avg 108
H07/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-27
26-17
20-32
26-17
33-30
34-31
26-31
24-22
23-40
34-29
24-29
34-26
22-28
18-29
30-26
16-29
21-28
29-25
33-29
28-13
44-27
24-17
43-29
37-33
45-32
29-34
29-37
31-22
26-22
34-25
28-30
35-39
34-44
32-16
30-24
22-20
24-18
26-33
26-32
20-23
224.7Avg total
115.2Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)114.0111.0225.0+2.960%
Season at home (39)112.4109.8222.2+2.562%
Season away (38)115.6112.3227.9+3.358%
Last 10 (10)115.2109.5224.7+5.770%
Last 5 (5)123.8111.4235.2+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)113.4107.6220.9+5.874%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)124.4112.6237.0+11.773%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
Phoenix SunsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H18/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H27/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
49-78
49
78
-29
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A06/04
NBA
111.8Avg total
53.7Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.257.8113.1-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.057.9114.9-0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)53.757.8111.4-4.144%-
Last 10 (10)53.758.1111.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)48.261.6109.8-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)53.960.4114.3-6.433%-
vs Similar (9)56.254.4110.7+1.867%-
vs Weaker (3)60.052.7112.7+7.367%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H19/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H21/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A22/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A25/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
68-44
68
44
+24
A30/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A02/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A04/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H07/04
NBA
114.2Avg total
59.0Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.954.9111.8+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (12)57.150.8107.9+6.267%-
Last 30 away (18)56.857.6114.3-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)59.055.2114.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)63.653.6117.2+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (19)55.854.1109.9+1.753%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)58.856.2115.0+2.655%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.928.1
55.2%
54.3%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.314.3
37.3%
35.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws16.314.0
85.9%
77.8%14.0
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.9
52.5%
54.3%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.516.8
37.8%
35.9%50.4
🏀 Free throws23.219.0
81.9%
77.8%19.0
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLLLLLWWWW
Golden State Warriors
LWWWWWLLWW
#22
League position
#11
-7.1
Net rating
+5.8
116.9
Offensive rating
116.8
124.0
Defensive rating
111.0
55.5%
Effective FG%
54.6%
60.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.3%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.3%
3-point %
37.8%
63.9%
Assist %
72.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 116.8Defence124.0 · 111.0Shooting55.5% · 54.6%3-point %37.3% · 37.8%Ball care13.3% · 13.3%Off. rebounds27.8% · 27.8%Free throws0.18 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25ANew York Knicks98-112
04/04/25ABoston Celtics103-123
01/04/25AMilwaukee Bucks123-133
31/03/25HHouston Rockets109-148
29/03/25AMinnesota Timberwolves109-124
27/03/25HBoston Celtics102-132
25/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks108-106
22/03/25HCleveland Cavaliers123-112
20/03/25HChicago Bulls127-121
18/03/25HToronto Raptors129-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/25HHouston Rockets96-106
05/04/25HDenver Nuggets118-104
04/04/25ALos Angeles Lakers123-116
02/04/25AMemphis Grizzlies134-125
30/03/25ASan Antonio Spurs148-106
29/03/25ANew Orleans Pelicans111-95
25/03/25AMiami Heat86-112
22/03/25AAtlanta Hawks115-124
21/03/25HToronto Raptors117-114
19/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks104-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783840
Win %45%61%30%
Points / game114.0114.5113.6
Allowed / game116.6113.9119.2
Point differential-2.6+0.6-5.7
Avg total230.7228.4232.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%24%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)86% (7)33% (12)
Overtime %8%5%10%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %60%62%58%
Points / game114.0112.4115.6
Allowed / game111.0109.8112.3
Point differential+2.9+2.5+3.3
Avg total225.0222.2227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%31%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (18)78% (9)44% (9)
Overtime %1%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder77631482%120.4107.8+12.5
2 Cleveland Cavaliers79631680%122.3112.3+9.9
3 Boston Celtics79592075%116.9107.7+9.2
4 Houston Rockets77512666%114.9109.1+5.8
5 New York Knicks78502864%116.3111.8+4.5
6 Indiana Pacers79483161%117.3115.0+2.4
7 Los Angeles Lakers79483161%113.5112.4+1.0
8 Golden State Warriors77463160%114.0111.0+2.9
9 Memphis Grizzlies79473259%121.7116.8+4.9
10 Denver Nuggets79473259%120.7117.1+3.6
11 Los Angeles Clippers78463259%112.5108.0+4.5
12 Minnesota Timberwolves79463358%113.9109.4+4.5
13 Milwaukee Bucks77433456%114.9112.9+2.0
14 Detroit Pistons79433654%115.2113.2+2.0
15 Orlando Magic78393950%105.2105.6-0.3
16 Sacramento Kings79394049%116.0115.5+0.5
17 Dallas Mavericks78384049%114.6115.4-0.7
18 Atlanta Hawks77364147%118.3120.1-1.9
19 Miami Heat79364346%110.0109.9+0.1
20 Chicago Bulls79364346%117.7120.1-2.4
21 Phoenix Suns78354345%114.0116.6-2.6
22 Portland Trail Blazers79354444%111.0114.2-3.1
23 San Antonio Spurs78324641%113.9116.7-2.7
24 Toronto Raptors79295037%110.7115.2-4.5
25 Brooklyn Nets79265333%105.2111.9-6.6
26 Philadelphia 76ers79235629%109.5115.8-6.3
27 New Orleans Pelicans79215827%110.0118.7-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets79196024%105.6114.1-8.5
29 Washington Wizards79176222%108.2120.5-12.3
30 Utah Jazz79166320%111.7120.9-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns2419183495
Golden State Warriors37322638133
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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