PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 124-115
29-30 36-30 29-27 30-28
Position#9
Record32-28
FormWLWWL
Points / game112.7
Allowed / game111.3
Phoenix Suns 🏆
USA
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder
USA
Position#20
Record28-30
FormWWLWL
Points / game117.9
Allowed / game116.3
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder
24 Mar 2027
PHX v OKC
upcoming
23 Mar 2027
PHX v OKC
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
PHX122
OKC131
25 Apr 2026
PHX109
OKC121
11 Feb 2026
PHX109
OKC136
04 Jan 2026
PHX108
OKC105
09 Apr 2025
PHX112
OKC125
03 Mar 2024
PHX110
OKC118
12 Nov 2023
PHX99
OKC111
08 Mar 2023
PHX132
OKC101
24 Feb 2023
PHX124
OKC115
29 Dec 2021
PHX115
OKC97
23 Dec 2021
PHX113
OKC101
02 Apr 2021
PHX140
OKC103
27 Jan 2021
PHX97
OKC102
10 Aug 2020
PHX128
OKC101
31 Jan 2020
PHX107
OKC111
28 Dec 2018
PHX102
OKC118
17 Nov 2018
PHX100
OKC110
02 Mar 2018
PHX116
OKC124
07 Jan 2018
PHX114
OKC100
07 Apr 2017
PHX120
OKC99
03 Mar 2017
PHX118
OKC111
08 Feb 2016
PHX106
OKC122
29 Mar 2015
PHX97
OKC109
26 Feb 2015
PHX117
OKC113
06 Apr 2014
PHX122
OKC115
06 Mar 2014
PHX128
OKC122
10 Feb 2013
PHX69
OKC97
14 Jan 2013
PHX90
OKC102
18 Apr 2012
PHX97
OKC109
30 Mar 2011
PHX98
OKC116
04 Feb 2011
PHX107
OKC111
23 Dec 2009
PHX113
OKC117
14 Mar 2009
PHX106
OKC95
20 Feb 2009
PHX140
OKC118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
128-118 OT
128
118
+10
121avg 106
A29/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
114-106
114
106
+8
109avg 106
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
100-132
100
132
-32
89avg 106
H02/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
106-94
106
94
+12
101avg 106
A04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
116-100
116
100
+16
123avg 106
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
116-112
116
112
+4
112avg 106
A08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
107-116
107
116
-9
94avg 106
A10/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
117-104
117
104
+13
112avg 106
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
120-109
120
109
+11
119avg 106
H15/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
107-116
107
116
-9
100avg 106
H17/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
22-22
32-28
23-34
31-28
31-25
20-31
32-22
23-26
24-40
20-36
33-30
24-20
33-24
17-29
32-21
30-27
28-22
30-27
28-24
24-25
33-26
30-30
29-31
22-36
25-20
28-37
32-23
30-24
30-23
35-30
22-27
27-29
35-29
28-28
30-23
23-28
29-26
32-37
23-25
223.8Avg total
113.1Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (60)112.7111.3224.0+1.453%
Season at home (30)113.4109.3222.8+4.167%
Season away (30)111.9113.3225.2-1.440%
Last 10 (10)113.1110.7223.8+2.470%
Last 5 (5)113.4111.4224.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.094.0200.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (24)108.0113.9222.0-5.933%
vs Weaker (5)120.2105.2225.4+15.0100%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
112-100
112
100
+12
110avg 106
H28/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
120-128
120
128
-8
110avg 106
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
106-112
106
112
-6
89avg 106
A02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
153-121
153
121
+32
155avg 106
H05/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-141
114
141
-27
98avg 106
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
133-130
133
130
+3
127avg 106
A08/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
138-129
138
129
+9
132avg 106
A11/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
100-103
100
103
-3
86avg 106
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
133-96
133
96
+37
125avg 106
H16/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
119-120 OT
119
120
-1
99avg 106
A24/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
20-29
31-24
34-22
20-38
28-25
37-31
35-34
25-34
33-33
28-17
20-28
38-19
41-34
44-28
30-40
37-31
16-29
26-44
35-37
36-34
40-32
28-33
29-31
33-35
39-33
31-37
35-24
25-33
26-27
22-16
27-27
38-21
38-33
40-24
17-18
26-28
29-18
31-32
20-28
240.8Avg total
122.8Scored
118.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)117.9116.3234.2+1.648%
Season at home (29)120.3114.6234.9+5.859%
Season away (29)115.5118.0233.5-2.638%
Last 10 (10)122.8118.0240.8+4.850%
Last 5 (5)124.6115.6240.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)150.0117.0267.0+33.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (20)116.6116.2232.8+0.445%
vs Weaker (9)124.8113.1237.9+11.778%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
Phoenix SunsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A29/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H31/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H02/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A04/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A05/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A08/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A10/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H15/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H17/02
NBA
108.3Avg total
55.7Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.452.9107.3+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.952.9107.9+2.050%-
Last 30 away (16)53.952.9106.8+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)55.752.6108.3+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)55.653.2108.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.044.0101.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)53.554.0107.5-0.442%-
vs Weaker (5)58.049.6107.6+8.4100%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H28/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-63
48
63
-15
H31/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H05/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A08/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A11/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H16/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A24/02
NBA
120.6Avg total
61.5Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.657.8118.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.656.9117.5+3.753%-
Last 30 away (13)60.659.1119.7+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)61.559.1120.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)66.058.8124.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)74.054.0128.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)58.058.3116.3-0.245%-
vs Weaker (9)64.857.2122.0+7.678%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 113.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.233.8
55.2%
54.5%67.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.0
31.9%
35.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.618.5
78.4%
78.1%18.5
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 122.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.132.5
54.1%
54.5%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.0
36.9%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws25.821.8
84.5%
78.1%21.8
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWWLWWWLWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLWWLWLLW
#9
League position
#20
+2.4
Net rating
+4.6
112.2
Offensive rating
117.9
109.8
Defensive rating
113.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
12.6%
Turnover %
11.3%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.9%
3-point %
36.9%
66.8%
Assist %
56.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 117.9Defence109.8 · 113.3Shooting52.9% · 54.5%3-point %31.9% · 36.9%Ball care12.6% · 11.3%Off. rebounds27.3% · 26.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Phoenix Suns wins
4
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
DateGameScore
03/04/22Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns117-96
25/02/22Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns104-124
30/12/21Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder115-97
24/12/21Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder113-101
03/05/21Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns120-123
03/04/21Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder140-103
28/01/21Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder97-102
10/08/20Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder128-101
01/02/20Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder107-111
21/12/19Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns126-108
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/23HLos Angeles Clippers107-116
15/02/23HSacramento Kings120-109
11/02/23AIndiana Pacers117-104
10/02/23AAtlanta Hawks107-116
08/02/23ABrooklyn Nets116-112
05/02/23ADetroit Pistons116-100
04/02/23ABoston Celtics106-94
02/02/23HAtlanta Hawks100-132
31/01/23HToronto Raptors114-106
29/01/23ASan Antonio Spurs128-118 OT
Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/23AUtah Jazz119-120 OT
16/02/23HHouston Rockets133-96
14/02/23HNew Orleans Pelicans100-103
11/02/23APortland Trail Blazers138-129
08/02/23ALos Angeles Lakers133-130
07/02/23AGolden State Warriors114-141
05/02/23HHouston Rockets153-121
02/02/23AHouston Rockets106-112
31/01/23HGolden State Warriors120-128
28/01/23HCleveland Cavaliers112-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL53%
HomeLWLWL67%
AwayWWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games603030
Win %53%67%40%
Points / game112.7113.4111.9
Allowed / game111.3109.3113.3
Point differential+1.4+4.1-1.4
Avg total224.0222.8225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%37%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)60% (10)22% (9)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeWLWLW59%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582929
Win %48%59%38%
Points / game117.9120.3115.5
Allowed / game116.3114.6118.0
Point differential+1.6+5.8-2.6
Avg total234.2234.9233.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%34%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won32% (19)30% (10)33% (9)
Overtime %10%14%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics60431772%118.3112.2+6.1
2 Milwaukee Bucks59421771%115.1111.4+3.7
3 Denver Nuggets60421870%117.0112.7+4.4
4 Philadelphia 76ers58391967%114.3110.4+3.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies58352360%115.9112.2+3.8
6 Cleveland Cavaliers63382560%111.8106.7+5.1
7 Brooklyn Nets59342558%113.6112.6+0.9
8 Sacramento Kings58332557%119.7117.2+2.5
9 New York Knicks61342756%114.6112.3+2.3
10 Los Angeles Clippers61332854%111.4111.1+0.3
11 Phoenix Suns60322853%112.7111.3+1.4
12 Miami Heat60322853%108.2108.6-0.5
13 Dallas Mavericks61322952%113.5112.6+0.9
14 New Orleans Pelicans60303050%114.8113.5+1.3
15 Atlanta Hawks60303050%116.7116.8-0.1
16 Minnesota Timberwolves62313150%115.7115.9-0.2
17 Utah Jazz61303149%117.6117.3+0.3
18 Golden State Warriors59293049%118.5118.6-0.1
19 Toronto Raptors60293148%113.3112.4+0.9
20 Oklahoma City Thunder58283048%117.9116.3+1.6
21 Washington Wizards59283147%113.6113.4+0.2
22 Portland Trail Blazers59283147%114.9115.3-0.4
23 Los Angeles Lakers60283247%117.1118.0-0.9
24 Chicago Bulls60273345%113.4112.9+0.5
25 Indiana Pacers61263543%114.9117.5-2.7
26 Orlando Magic60253542%110.8113.5-2.7
27 Charlotte Hornets61184330%112.6118.8-6.2
28 Detroit Pistons60154525%112.2119.7-7.5
29 San Antonio Spurs60144623%112.5122.9-10.4
30 Houston Rockets58134522%109.8118.2-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns29362930124
Oklahoma City Thunder30302728115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.