PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 112-125
39-29 28-33 26-43 19-20
Position#22
Record35-44
FormLLLLL
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game116.8
vs
Position#1
Record63-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game120.4
Allowed / game107.8
USANBA· Footprint Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder
24 Mar 2027
PHX v OKC
upcoming
23 Mar 2027
PHX v OKC
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
PHX122
OKC131
25 Apr 2026
PHX109
OKC121
11 Feb 2026
PHX109
OKC136
04 Jan 2026
PHX108
OKC105
09 Apr 2025
PHX112
OKC125
03 Mar 2024
PHX110
OKC118
12 Nov 2023
PHX99
OKC111
08 Mar 2023
PHX132
OKC101
24 Feb 2023
PHX124
OKC115
29 Dec 2021
PHX115
OKC97
23 Dec 2021
PHX113
OKC101
02 Apr 2021
PHX140
OKC103
27 Jan 2021
PHX97
OKC102
10 Aug 2020
PHX128
OKC101
31 Jan 2020
PHX107
OKC111
28 Dec 2018
PHX102
OKC118
17 Nov 2018
PHX100
OKC110
02 Mar 2018
PHX116
OKC124
07 Jan 2018
PHX114
OKC100
07 Apr 2017
PHX120
OKC99
03 Mar 2017
PHX118
OKC111
08 Feb 2016
PHX106
OKC122
29 Mar 2015
PHX97
OKC109
26 Feb 2015
PHX117
OKC113
06 Apr 2014
PHX122
OKC115
06 Mar 2014
PHX128
OKC122
10 Feb 2013
PHX69
OKC97
14 Jan 2013
PHX90
OKC102
18 Apr 2012
PHX97
OKC109
30 Mar 2011
PHX98
OKC116
04 Feb 2011
PHX107
OKC111
23 Dec 2009
PHX113
OKC117
14 Mar 2009
PHX106
OKC95
20 Feb 2009
PHX140
OKC118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-121
127
121
+6
125avg 107
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
123-112
123
112
+11
124avg 107
H22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
108-106
108
106
+2
109avg 107
H25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-132
102
132
-30
88avg 107
H27/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
109-124
109
124
-15
105avg 107
A29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
109-148
109
148
-39
101avg 107
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
123-133
123
133
-10
109avg 107
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
103-123
103
123
-20
90avg 107
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
98-112
98
112
-14
80avg 107
A06/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
95-133
95
133
-38
82avg 107
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
32-29
36-33
28-37
35-34
27-17
36-28
25-33
25-30
29-28
27-20
27-28
38-42
16-31
27-35
21-24
21-27
24-30
30-35
34-32
24-32
25-46
24-34
36-36
19-31
38-29
26-35
40-38
22-31
25-29
28-30
28-33
23-27
20-26
27-34
28-25
24-37
19-32
18-26
34-38
234.1Avg total
109.7Scored
124.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)113.8116.8230.6-3.144%
Season at home (39)114.0114.4228.4-0.459%
Season away (40)113.6119.2232.8-5.730%
Last 10 (10)109.7124.4234.1-14.730%
Last 5 (5)105.6129.8235.4-24.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)112.4125.6238.0-13.316%
vs Similar (8)117.2112.9230.1+4.462%
vs Weaker (3)125.3119.7245.0+5.767%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
141-106
141
106
+35
137avg 111
H22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
103-101
103
101
+2
93avg 111
A24/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
121-105
121
105
+16
126avg 111
A26/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
125-104
125
104
+21
120avg 111
H28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
132-111
132
111
+21
126avg 111
H30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
145-117
145
117
+28
144avg 111
H01/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
119-103
119
103
+16
107avg 111
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
111-125
111
125
-14
98avg 111
A05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
99-126
99
126
-27
81avg 111
H06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
136-120
136
120
+16
122avg 111
H09/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-14
32-35
37-27
38-30
24-34
33-17
24-26
22-24
31-21
33-21
25-39
32-24
32-33
31-26
28-30
34-15
29-27
32-22
41-31
30-31
29-18
45-22
40-34
31-43
41-27
24-32
32-22
22-22
28-35
25-34
32-27
26-29
32-42
24-36
21-25
22-23
43-43
37-29
17-26
39-22
235.0Avg total
123.2Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)120.4107.8228.2+12.582%
Season at home (40)123.0107.7230.7+15.285%
Season away (37)117.5107.9225.5+9.678%
Last 10 (10)123.2111.8235.0+11.480%
Last 5 (5)122.0118.2240.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)118.0112.0230.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)124.6112.6237.2+12.083%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
Phoenix SunsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H20/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H22/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H25/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H27/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
49-78
49
78
-29
H31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A01/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A04/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A06/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
43-69
43
69
-26
H09/04
NBA
112.7Avg total
51.7Scored
61.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.858.5113.3-3.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.158.7114.7-2.647%-
Last 30 away (15)53.658.3111.9-4.740%-
Last 10 (10)51.761.0112.7-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)47.864.0111.8-16.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)53.460.8114.2-7.532%-
vs Similar (8)56.455.1111.5+1.262%-
vs Weaker (3)60.052.7112.7+7.367%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H22/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A24/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
64-42
64
42
+22
A26/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H28/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H30/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
74-40
74
40
+34
H01/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H03/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A05/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H09/04
NBA
120.7Avg total
63.9Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.557.2120.7+6.377%-
Last 30 at home (16)65.156.3121.4+8.888%-
Last 30 away (14)61.758.2119.9+3.564%-
Last 10 (10)63.956.8120.7+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)65.663.6129.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)63.060.0123.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)63.557.1120.6+6.476%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.127.7
55.3%
54.3%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.713.5
34.9%
35.9%40.5
🏀 Free throws16.313.8
84.7%
77.8%13.8
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 123.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.629.6
52.3%
54.3%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.315.8
43.5%
35.9%47.4
🏀 Free throws20.916.6
79.4%
77.8%16.6
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLLLLLLWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLWWWWWWW
#22
League position
#1
-15.1
Net rating
+11.1
112.7
Offensive rating
120.0
127.8
Defensive rating
108.9
54.0%
Effective FG%
57.4%
61.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
10.1%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.9%
3-point %
43.5%
62.9%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 120.0Defence127.8 · 108.9Shooting54.0% · 57.4%3-point %34.9% · 43.5%Ball care14.1% · 10.1%Off. rebounds27.3% · 22.5%Free throws0.18 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25HGolden State Warriors95-133
06/04/25ANew York Knicks98-112
04/04/25ABoston Celtics103-123
01/04/25AMilwaukee Bucks123-133
31/03/25HHouston Rockets109-148
29/03/25AMinnesota Timberwolves109-124
27/03/25HBoston Celtics102-132
25/03/25HMilwaukee Bucks108-106
22/03/25HCleveland Cavaliers123-112
20/03/25HChicago Bulls127-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25HLos Angeles Lakers136-120
06/04/25HLos Angeles Lakers99-126
05/04/25AHouston Rockets111-125
03/04/25HDetroit Pistons119-103
01/04/25HChicago Bulls145-117
30/03/25HIndiana Pacers132-111
28/03/25HMemphis Grizzlies125-104
26/03/25ASacramento Kings121-105
24/03/25ALos Angeles Clippers103-101
22/03/25HCharlotte Hornets141-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL44%
HomeWWLLL59%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games793940
Win %44%59%30%
Points / game113.8114.0113.6
Allowed / game116.8114.4119.2
Point differential-3.1-0.4-5.7
Avg total230.6228.4232.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (19)86% (7)33% (12)
Overtime %8%5%10%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW82%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games774037
Win %82%85%78%
Points / game120.4123.0117.5
Allowed / game107.8107.7107.9
Point differential+12.5+15.2+9.6
Avg total228.2230.7225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%75%51%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %1%2%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder77631482%120.4107.8+12.5
2 Cleveland Cavaliers79631680%122.3112.3+9.9
3 Boston Celtics80592174%116.4107.6+8.8
4 Houston Rockets77512666%114.9109.1+5.8
5 New York Knicks78502864%116.3111.8+4.5
6 Los Angeles Lakers80493161%113.5112.2+1.2
7 Indiana Pacers79483161%117.3115.0+2.4
8 Golden State Warriors78473160%114.2110.8+3.4
9 Memphis Grizzlies79473259%121.7116.8+4.9
10 Los Angeles Clippers79473259%112.6108.1+4.5
11 Denver Nuggets79473259%120.7117.1+3.6
12 Minnesota Timberwolves79463358%113.9109.4+4.5
13 Milwaukee Bucks77433456%114.9112.9+2.0
14 Detroit Pistons79433654%115.2113.2+2.0
15 Orlando Magic79403951%105.1105.2-0.1
16 Sacramento Kings79394049%116.0115.5+0.5
17 Dallas Mavericks79384148%114.4115.3-0.9
18 Atlanta Hawks77364147%118.3120.1-1.9
19 Chicago Bulls80374346%117.7120.0-2.2
20 Miami Heat80364445%110.0110.0-0.0
21 Phoenix Suns79354444%113.8116.8-3.1
22 Portland Trail Blazers80354544%111.2114.4-3.2
23 San Antonio Spurs79324741%114.0116.7-2.7
24 Toronto Raptors80305038%110.9114.9-4.0
25 Brooklyn Nets79265333%105.2111.9-6.6
26 Philadelphia 76ers80245630%109.7115.7-6.0
27 New Orleans Pelicans79215827%110.0118.7-8.7
28 Charlotte Hornets80196124%105.5114.3-8.8
29 Utah Jazz80176321%112.0121.0-9.0
30 Washington Wizards80176321%108.1120.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns39282619112
Oklahoma City Thunder29334320125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.