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Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 25 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#19
Record4-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game118.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record8-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game105.9
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder
24 Mar 2027
PHX v OKC
upcoming
23 Mar 2027
PHX v OKC
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
PHX122
OKC131
25 Apr 2026
PHX109
OKC121
11 Feb 2026
PHX109
OKC136
04 Jan 2026
PHX108
OKC105
09 Apr 2025
PHX112
OKC125
03 Mar 2024
PHX110
OKC118
12 Nov 2023
PHX99
OKC111
08 Mar 2023
PHX132
OKC101
24 Feb 2023
PHX124
OKC115
29 Dec 2021
PHX115
OKC97
23 Dec 2021
PHX113
OKC101
02 Apr 2021
PHX140
OKC103
27 Jan 2021
PHX97
OKC102
10 Aug 2020
PHX128
OKC101
31 Jan 2020
PHX107
OKC111
28 Dec 2018
PHX102
OKC118
17 Nov 2018
PHX100
OKC110
02 Mar 2018
PHX116
OKC124
07 Jan 2018
PHX114
OKC100
07 Apr 2017
PHX120
OKC99
03 Mar 2017
PHX118
OKC111
08 Feb 2016
PHX106
OKC122
29 Mar 2015
PHX97
OKC109
26 Feb 2015
PHX117
OKC113
06 Apr 2014
PHX122
OKC115
06 Mar 2014
PHX128
OKC122
10 Feb 2013
PHX69
OKC97
14 Jan 2013
PHX90
OKC102
18 Apr 2012
PHX97
OKC109
30 Mar 2011
PHX98
OKC116
04 Feb 2011
PHX107
OKC111
23 Dec 2009
PHX113
OKC117
14 Mar 2009
PHX106
OKC95
20 Feb 2009
PHX140
OKC118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
83-124
83
124
-41
61avg 101
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 101
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 101
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 101
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
113-116
113
116
-3
104avg 101
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
119-132
119
132
-13
105avg 101
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
117-104
117
104
+13
110avg 101
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 101
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
96-122
96
122
-26
76avg 101
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
133-110
133
110
+23
131avg 101
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
31-19
26-32
36-42
20-23
34-29
25-43
26-32
34-28
33-26
30-25
33-22
21-31
35-23
12-24
29-28
26-24
25-31
21-30
22-32
28-29
29-18
35-29
35-25
34-38
230.9Avg total
112.8Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)112.8118.1230.9-5.340%
Season at home (7)116.9116.6233.4+0.357%
Season away (3)103.3121.7225.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)112.8118.1230.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)113.4113.4226.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)109.6118.7228.4-9.121%
vs Similar (11)110.4111.4221.7-1.036%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#15
W
96-84
96
84
+12
83avg 100
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 100
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
125-114
125
114
+11
119avg 100
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
96-120
96
120
-24
76avg 100
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
98-119
98
119
-21
72avg 100
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
117-112
117
112
+5
95avg 100
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
124-116
124
116
+8
116avg 100
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
128-97
128
97
+31
117avg 100
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
114-75
114
75
+39
114avg 100
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
103-123
103
123
-20
93avg 100
A11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
20-21
26-16
26-20
23-20
20-26
34-30
31-25
33-27
34-26
32-32
26-29
30-33
29-32
22-29
15-26
26-35
25-27
24-30
23-27
26-30
33-18
31-36
27-28
37-20
23-24
28-30
36-42
35-28
36-21
27-27
30-21
25-19
32-17
33-23
24-16
27-26
32-33
21-38
23-26
217.0Avg total
110.9Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)111.4105.9217.3+5.573%
Season at home (5)113.498.0211.4+15.4100%
Season away (6)109.7112.5222.2-2.850%
Last 10 (10)110.9106.1217.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)117.2104.6221.8+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)116.0104.0220.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (13)109.9113.5223.5-3.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)117.1104.4221.5+12.888%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
Phoenix SunsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H11/11
NBA
114.5Avg total
55.2Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.859.1116.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.957.3116.2+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)56.561.4117.8-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)55.259.3114.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.6111.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)55.461.9117.2-6.529%-
vs Similar (11)58.757.6116.4+1.145%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H23/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H25/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A29/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A03/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H05/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#10
W
71-49
71
49
+22
A07/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
D
59-59
59
59
+0
A11/11
NBA
108.0Avg total
57.0Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.053.1111.1+4.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.151.8108.9+5.357%-
Last 30 away (16)58.854.2113.0+4.656%-
Last 10 (10)57.051.0108.0+6.050%-
Last 5 (5)61.247.2108.4+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.044.0109.0+21.0100%-
vs Similar (13)56.654.2110.8+2.546%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)58.752.8111.4+5.962%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.8
56.4%
54.0%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.9
36.7%
35.0%41.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
76.8%15.4
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.627.1
48.7%
54.0%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.2
34.0%
35.0%33.6
🏀 Free throws23.019.6
85.2%
76.8%19.6
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLWWLLLLWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWLLWWW
#19
League position
#8
-4.4
Net rating
-0.6
110.8
Offensive rating
103.1
115.2
Defensive rating
103.7
55.8%
Effective FG%
49.6%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.1%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.7%
3-point %
34.0%
61.9%
Assist %
61.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 103.1Defence115.2 · 103.7Shooting55.8% · 49.6%3-point %36.7% · 34.0%Ball care14.5% · 13.1%Off. rebounds29.9% · 24.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers133-110
10/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs96-122
08/11/26HHouston Rockets102-99
06/11/26HOrlando Magic117-104
05/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-132
03/11/26AGolden State Warriors113-116
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26APortland Trail Blazers103-123
08/11/26HWashington Wizards114-75
07/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies128-97
05/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers124-116
03/11/26ACleveland Cavaliers117-112
01/11/26AHouston Rockets98-119
29/10/26ADallas Mavericks96-120
27/10/26HPhoenix Suns125-114
25/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers108-101
23/10/26HDenver Nuggets96-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %40%57%0%
Points / game112.8116.9103.3
Allowed / game118.1116.6121.7
Point differential-5.3+0.3-18.3
Avg total230.9233.4225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game111.4113.4109.7
Allowed / game105.998.0112.5
Point differential+5.5+15.4-2.8
Avg total217.3211.4222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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