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Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 110-118
24-28 28-38 33-23 25-29
Position#9
Record35-24
FormLLWWL
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game114.5
vs
Position#2
Record41-18
FormWWWWL
Points / game121.2
Allowed / game113.3
USANBA· Footprint Center (Phoenix)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Oklahoma City Thunder
24 Mar 2027
PHX v OKC
upcoming
23 Mar 2027
PHX v OKC
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
PHX122
OKC131
25 Apr 2026
PHX109
OKC121
11 Feb 2026
PHX109
OKC136
04 Jan 2026
PHX108
OKC105
09 Apr 2025
PHX112
OKC125
03 Mar 2024
PHX110
OKC118
12 Nov 2023
PHX99
OKC111
08 Mar 2023
PHX132
OKC101
24 Feb 2023
PHX124
OKC115
29 Dec 2021
PHX115
OKC97
23 Dec 2021
PHX113
OKC101
02 Apr 2021
PHX140
OKC103
27 Jan 2021
PHX97
OKC102
10 Aug 2020
PHX128
OKC101
31 Jan 2020
PHX107
OKC111
28 Dec 2018
PHX102
OKC118
17 Nov 2018
PHX100
OKC110
02 Mar 2018
PHX116
OKC124
07 Jan 2018
PHX114
OKC100
07 Apr 2017
PHX120
OKC99
03 Mar 2017
PHX118
OKC111
08 Feb 2016
PHX106
OKC122
29 Mar 2015
PHX97
OKC109
26 Feb 2015
PHX117
OKC113
06 Apr 2014
PHX122
OKC115
06 Mar 2014
PHX128
OKC122
10 Feb 2013
PHX69
OKC97
14 Jan 2013
PHX90
OKC102
18 Apr 2012
PHX97
OKC109
30 Mar 2011
PHX98
OKC116
04 Feb 2011
PHX107
OKC111
23 Dec 2009
PHX113
OKC117
14 Mar 2009
PHX106
OKC95
20 Feb 2009
PHX140
OKC118
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
114-106
114
106
+8
104avg 110
H07/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
129-115
129
115
+14
131avg 110
H09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
112-113
112
113
-1
104avg 110
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
130-125
130
125
+5
125avg 110
H14/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
116-100
116
100
+16
120avg 110
H15/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
113-123
113
123
-10
103avg 110
A23/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
110-114
110
114
-4
101avg 110
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
123-113
123
113
+10
123avg 110
H25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
110-105
110
105
+5
97avg 110
H01/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
109-118
109
118
-9
102avg 110
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
26-26
31-24
35-33
40-28
35-38
34-24
20-25
28-33
30-26
24-25
30-29
38-39
26-28
30-25
36-33
37-25
33-16
29-28
17-31
33-32
30-28
28-36
22-27
28-20
24-37
24-32
34-25
45-28
27-35
23-27
28-23
33-17
31-36
22-22
24-30
19-38
25-16
35-35
30-29
229.8Avg total
116.6Scored
113.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)117.5114.5232.0+2.959%
Season at home (32)117.3114.2231.5+3.162%
Season away (27)117.7114.9232.5+2.856%
Last 10 (10)116.6113.2229.8+3.460%
Last 5 (5)113.0114.6227.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)117.1114.7231.8+2.462%
vs Weaker (9)125.0113.3238.3+11.778%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
135-127 OT
135
127
+8
129avg 112
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
L
117-124
117
124
-7
103avg 112
A07/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
111-146
111
146
-35
92avg 112
A10/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
127-113
127
113
+14
123avg 112
H11/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
127-113
127
113
+14
121avg 112
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
129-107
129
107
+22
123avg 112
H23/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
147-106
147
106
+41
152avg 112
H24/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
123-110
123
110
+13
118avg 112
A26/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
112-95
112
95
+17
104avg 112
H28/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
118-132
118
132
-14
105avg 112
A01/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
24-30
34-24
29-23
33-28
35-33
24-35
25-28
30-47
32-24
27-39
22-36
29-27
38-30
33-26
27-30
31-32
29-20
32-30
35-31
35-33
26-26
35-23
33-25
41-28
39-29
37-24
30-25
31-34
26-28
30-21
36-27
28-29
32-21
24-24
28-21
37-37
27-32
32-29
22-34
241.9Avg total
124.6Scored
117.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)121.2113.3234.6+7.969%
Season at home (30)123.6111.8235.4+11.880%
Season away (29)118.8114.9233.7+3.959%
Last 10 (10)124.6117.3241.9+7.370%
Last 5 (5)125.8110.0235.8+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)110.2100.5210.7+9.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)124.0116.2240.2+7.867%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Phoenix SunsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H07/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H09/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A11/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H14/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H15/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A23/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A24/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H25/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H01/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H03/03
NBA
117.9Avg total
61.0Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.458.6121.0+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.558.4118.9+2.162%-
Last 30 away (14)64.558.9123.4+5.664%-
Last 10 (10)61.056.9117.9+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)59.057.4116.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)60.159.2119.3+1.052%-
vs Weaker (9)67.657.3124.9+10.289%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
47-63
47
63
-16
H05/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A07/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A10/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H11/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H23/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H24/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A26/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H28/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A01/03
NBA
122.7Avg total
62.6Scored
60.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.157.8117.8+2.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)60.153.1113.2+7.062%-
Last 30 away (17)60.161.4121.4-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)62.660.1122.7+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)64.459.4123.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)52.250.7102.8+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)62.059.5121.6+2.554%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.029.8
54.2%
54.4%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.7
35.9%
36.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws28.321.9
77.4%
78.2%21.9
They take 87.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 124.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.430.6
55.2%
54.4%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.415.8
42.2%
36.3%47.4
🏀 Free throws19.116.0
83.8%
78.2%16.0
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWWLLWWLWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWWWWLLW
#9
League position
#2
+3.3
Net rating
+7.0
111.8
Offensive rating
119.6
108.6
Defensive rating
112.6
54.1%
Effective FG%
58.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
10.6%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.9%
3-point %
42.2%
61.9%
Assist %
58.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 119.6Defence108.6 · 112.6Shooting54.1% · 58.5%3-point %35.9% · 42.2%Ball care13.9% · 10.6%Off. rebounds23.3% · 20.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HHouston Rockets109-118
01/03/24HHouston Rockets110-105
25/02/24HLos Angeles Lakers123-113
24/02/24AHouston Rockets110-114
23/02/24ADallas Mavericks113-123
15/02/24HDetroit Pistons116-100
14/02/24HSacramento Kings130-125
11/02/24AGolden State Warriors112-113
09/02/24HUtah Jazz129-115
07/02/24HMilwaukee Bucks114-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ASan Antonio Spurs118-132
28/02/24HHouston Rockets112-95
26/02/24AHouston Rockets123-110
24/02/24HWashington Wizards147-106
23/02/24HLos Angeles Clippers129-107
14/02/24AOrlando Magic127-113
11/02/24HSacramento Kings127-113
10/02/24ADallas Mavericks111-146
07/02/24AUtah Jazz117-124
05/02/24HToronto Raptors135-127 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL59%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593227
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game117.5117.3117.7
Allowed / game114.5114.2114.9
Point differential+2.9+3.1+2.8
Avg total232.0231.5232.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%28%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)70% (10)50% (10)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLLWWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %69%80%59%
Points / game121.2123.6118.8
Allowed / game113.3111.8114.9
Point differential+7.9+11.8+3.9
Avg total234.6235.4233.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)57% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %5%7%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics59481181%121.4109.7+11.8
2 Oklahoma City Thunder59411869%121.2113.3+7.9
3 Minnesota Timberwolves61421969%113.2106.3+6.9
4 Denver Nuggets61421969%114.5110.3+4.3
5 Los Angeles Clippers59392066%117.4112.5+4.8
6 Milwaukee Bucks59392066%121.1116.8+4.3
7 Cleveland Cavaliers60392165%114.3109.5+4.8
8 New York Knicks60362460%113.3109.1+4.2
9 New Orleans Pelicans59352459%116.5111.3+5.3
10 Phoenix Suns59352459%117.5114.5+2.9
11 Sacramento Kings58342459%118.2117.7+0.5
12 Philadelphia 76ers60352558%117.1113.8+3.4
13 Orlando Magic61352657%111.5109.9+1.6
14 Miami Heat60342657%110.6109.9+0.7
15 Dallas Mavericks61342756%118.7118.0+0.7
16 Golden State Warriors60322853%118.6117.2+1.4
17 Indiana Pacers60322853%123.2122.2+1.0
18 Los Angeles Lakers60312952%117.0118.4-1.3
19 Chicago Bulls60283247%111.7113.1-1.5
20 Utah Jazz61273444%117.5120.5-3.0
21 Houston Rockets60263443%112.8113.0-0.2
22 Atlanta Hawks60263443%120.4122.7-2.3
23 Brooklyn Nets60243640%112.2114.3-2.1
24 Toronto Raptors61233838%114.4117.6-3.2
25 Memphis Grizzlies61204133%106.1112.8-6.7
26 Portland Trail Blazers59174229%107.5115.6-8.1
27 Charlotte Hornets61154625%107.6118.0-10.4
28 San Antonio Spurs61134821%112.3120.3-8.0
29 Detroit Pistons6095115%112.1121.0-8.9
30 Washington Wizards6095115%114.6124.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns24283325110
Oklahoma City Thunder28382329118
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