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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 124-120
25-31 32-38 33-27 34-24
Position#20
Record34-36
FormLWWWL
Points / game117.8
Allowed / game116.3
vs
Position#9
Record38-32
FormWLLLW
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game111.4
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Phoenix Suns
26 Oct 2026
OKC125
PHX114
22 Apr 2026
OKC120
PHX107
19 Apr 2026
OKC119
PHX84
12 Apr 2026
OKC103
PHX135
28 Nov 2025
OKC123
PHX119
05 Feb 2025
OKC140
PHX109
15 Nov 2024
OKC99
PHX83
29 Mar 2024
OKC128
PHX103
02 Apr 2023
OKC118
PHX128
19 Mar 2023
OKC124
PHX120
03 Apr 2022
OKC117
PHX96
24 Feb 2022
OKC104
PHX124
02 May 2021
OKC120
PHX123
20 Dec 2019
OKC126
PHX108
12 Nov 2018
OKC118
PHX101
28 Oct 2018
OKC117
PHX110
08 Mar 2018
OKC115
PHX87
17 Dec 2016
OKC114
PHX101
28 Oct 2016
OKC113
PHX110
31 Dec 2015
OKC110
PHX106
08 Nov 2015
OKC124
PHX103
31 Dec 2014
OKC137
PHX134
14 Dec 2014
OKC112
PHX88
03 Nov 2013
OKC103
PHX96
08 Feb 2013
OKC127
PHX96
31 Dec 2012
OKC114
PHX96
07 Mar 2012
OKC115
PHX104
31 Dec 2011
OKC107
PHX97
06 Mar 2011
OKC122
PHX118
19 Dec 2010
OKC110
PHX113
09 Apr 2010
OKC96
PHX91
23 Feb 2010
OKC102
PHX104
29 Dec 2008
OKC102
PHX110
25 Nov 2008
OKC98
PHX99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
117-123
117
123
-6
105avg 106
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
117-123
117
123
-6
110avg 106
H02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
130-103
130
103
+27
118avg 106
H04/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
129-119
129
119
+10
121avg 106
H06/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
137-128
137
128
+9
131avg 106
H08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
101-132
101
132
-31
87avg 106
A09/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
110-96
110
96
+14
98avg 106
A12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
102-90
102
90
+12
94avg 106
A12/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
121-107
121
107
+14
109avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
111-128
111
128
-17
92avg 106
A16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-44
28-27
21-22
30-30
30-31
30-26
24-33
33-33
34-29
33-23
30-32
33-19
35-20
35-31
31-33
28-35
40-30
28-34
37-35
32-29
21-34
31-26
28-44
21-28
32-22
31-22
24-28
23-24
29-19
23-28
26-24
24-19
24-33
28-29
38-20
31-25
28-29
31-35
28-29
24-35
232.4Avg total
117.5Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)117.8116.3234.1+1.449%
Season at home (36)121.0115.3236.3+5.758%
Season away (34)114.4117.4231.8-3.138%
Last 10 (10)117.5114.9232.4+2.660%
Last 5 (5)109.0110.6219.6-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)117.8117.5235.3+0.246%
vs Weaker (6)126.3109.0235.3+17.383%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
124-115
124
115
+9
118avg 106
H25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
101-104
101
104
-3
89avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
105-91
105
91
+14
103avg 106
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
125-104
125
104
+21
122avg 106
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
130-126
130
126
+4
125avg 106
A05/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
132-101
132
101
+31
134avg 106
H09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
119-128
119
128
-9
114avg 106
H12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
112-123
112
123
-11
102avg 106
A14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
104-116
104
116
-12
90avg 106
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
116-113
116
113
+3
106avg 106
H17/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-30
36-30
29-27
30-28
26-33
20-20
28-22
27-29
27-22
30-19
22-32
26-18
40-29
20-35
34-21
31-19
31-25
28-37
37-33
34-31
34-21
26-31
44-28
28-21
32-31
27-36
36-29
24-32
21-43
37-32
30-23
24-25
24-29
24-28
36-28
20-31
30-31
33-27
31-27
22-28
228.9Avg total
116.8Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (70)113.3111.4224.7+1.854%
Season at home (35)114.2110.1224.3+4.166%
Season away (35)112.3112.8225.1-0.543%
Last 10 (10)116.8112.1228.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)116.6116.2232.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.094.0200.0+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)112.6115.3227.9-2.745%
vs Weaker (7)117.4104.3221.7+13.1100%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
Oklahoma City ThunderPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H02/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H04/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
70-51
70
51
+19
H06/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H08/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A09/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
63-44
63
44
+19
A12/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A12/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H15/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
59-64
59
64
-5
A16/03
NBA
118.1Avg total
60.9Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.058.0119.0+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.158.6120.6+3.550%-
Last 30 away (16)60.157.6117.6+2.556%-
Last 10 (10)60.957.2118.1+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)55.655.4111.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (24)59.858.7118.5+1.146%-
vs Weaker (6)65.855.5121.3+10.383%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A26/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A02/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A04/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A05/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H09/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A14/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H15/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H17/03
NBA
116.4Avg total
57.5Scored
58.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.855.5112.3+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.655.2112.8+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)56.155.8111.9+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)57.558.9116.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)57.661.8119.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)57.044.0101.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)56.357.9114.2-1.636%-
vs Weaker (7)58.649.6108.1+9.0100%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.429.6
52.5%
54.5%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.612.8
35.0%
35.8%38.4
🏀 Free throws23.819.9
83.6%
78.1%19.9
They take 93.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.631.7
55.0%
54.5%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.1
36.2%
35.8%36.3
🏀 Free throws21.217.1
80.7%
78.1%17.1
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWLWWWLL
Phoenix Suns
WLLLWWWWLW
#20
League position
#9
+2.5
Net rating
+4.7
113.2
Offensive rating
116.0
110.7
Defensive rating
111.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
10.9%
Turnover %
11.9%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.0%
3-point %
36.2%
58.0%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 116.0Defence110.7 · 111.3Shooting52.5% · 54.8%3-point %35.0% · 36.2%Ball care10.9% · 11.9%Off. rebounds23.2% · 26.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/23AToronto Raptors111-128
15/03/23HBrooklyn Nets121-107
12/03/23ASan Antonio Spurs102-90
12/03/23ANew Orleans Pelicans110-96
09/03/23APhoenix Suns101-132
08/03/23HGolden State Warriors137-128
06/03/23HUtah Jazz129-119
04/03/23HUtah Jazz130-103
02/03/23HLos Angeles Lakers117-123
01/03/23HSacramento Kings117-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/23HOrlando Magic116-113
15/03/23HMilwaukee Bucks104-116
14/03/23AGolden State Warriors112-123
12/03/23HSacramento Kings119-128
09/03/23HOklahoma City Thunder132-101
05/03/23ADallas Mavericks130-126
04/03/23AChicago Bulls125-104
02/03/23ACharlotte Hornets105-91
26/02/23AMilwaukee Bucks101-104
25/02/23HOklahoma City Thunder124-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL49%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703634
Win %49%58%38%
Points / game117.8121.0114.4
Allowed / game116.3115.3117.4
Point differential+1.4+5.7-3.1
Avg total234.1236.3231.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won32% (19)30% (10)33% (9)
Overtime %9%11%6%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeWWLLW66%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games703535
Win %54%66%43%
Points / game113.3114.2112.3
Allowed / game111.4110.1112.8
Point differential+1.8+4.1-0.5
Avg total224.7224.3225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%34%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (22)64% (11)27% (11)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks70502071%116.2112.4+3.9
2 Philadelphia 76ers70482269%115.5110.5+5.1
3 Boston Celtics72492368%117.6112.3+5.4
4 Denver Nuggets71472466%116.8113.0+3.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers73452862%112.2106.6+5.5
6 Memphis Grizzlies70432761%116.1112.2+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings70432761%121.1118.2+2.9
8 New York Knicks72423058%115.1112.2+2.9
9 Brooklyn Nets70393156%113.5112.9+0.6
10 Phoenix Suns70383254%113.3111.4+1.8
11 Miami Heat72383453%109.0109.7-0.7
12 Los Angeles Clippers71373452%112.8112.7+0.1
13 Dallas Mavericks71363551%113.8113.3+0.6
14 Golden State Warriors72363650%118.3118.1+0.2
15 Atlanta Hawks70353550%117.4117.5-0.1
16 Toronto Raptors71353649%112.9112.1+0.9
17 Minnesota Timberwolves72353749%115.6116.0-0.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder70343649%117.8116.3+1.4
19 Utah Jazz70343649%117.2117.2+0.0
20 Los Angeles Lakers71343748%116.5117.0-0.5
21 Chicago Bulls70333747%113.5112.6+1.0
22 New Orleans Pelicans70333747%113.9113.5+0.4
23 Washington Wizards71323945%112.8113.5-0.7
24 Indiana Pacers71323945%115.9118.3-2.4
25 Portland Trail Blazers70313944%114.4116.1-1.7
26 Orlando Magic71294241%111.6114.5-2.8
27 Charlotte Hornets72225031%111.2117.5-6.3
28 Houston Rockets70185226%110.4118.1-7.7
29 San Antonio Spurs70185226%112.6122.1-9.5
30 Detroit Pistons71165523%111.1118.6-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder25323334124
Phoenix Suns31382724120
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