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Pieno Zvaigzdes vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 71-98
22-22 19-25 16-29 14-22
Position#11
Record5-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game93.2
vs
Position#1
Record14-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game70.5
LithuaniaLKL· Pieno zvaigzdziu arena (Pasvalys)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pieno Zvaigzdes v Zalgiris Kaunas
23 Jan 2024
PZV71
ZAL98
20 Apr 2023
PZV61
ZAL88
20 Nov 2022
PZV59
ZAL92
16 Feb 2022
PZV83
ZAL102
03 Oct 2021
PZV69
ZAL85
15 May 2021
PZV81
ZAL100
07 May 2021
PZV63
ZAL93
05 Jan 2021
PZV82
ZAL98
04 Oct 2020
PZV67
ZAL81
01 Feb 2020
PZV74
ZAL77
17 Nov 2019
PZV64
ZAL108
28 Apr 2019
PZV67
ZAL91
25 Nov 2018
PZV68
ZAL109
05 May 2018
PZV76
ZAL85
03 Dec 2017
PZV51
ZAL75
16 Jan 2017
PZV56
ZAL63
05 Oct 2016
PZV82
ZAL86
29 Apr 2016
PZV71
ZAL84
28 Feb 2016
PZV101
ZAL109
27 Dec 2015
PZV71
ZAL88
28 Mar 2015
PZV56
ZAL74
05 Oct 2014
PZV72
ZAL88
03 May 2014
PZV74
ZAL80
23 Mar 2014
PZV77
ZAL85
19 Nov 2012
PZV43
ZAL93
14 Apr 2012
PZV55
ZAL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pieno Zvaigzdes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pieno ZvaigzdesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZvaigzdes
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
79avg 74
A12/11
LKL
Nevezis
#6
L
80-92
80
92
-12
70avg 74
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
75avg 74
H18/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 74
H23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
A27/11
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
83-86
83
86
-3
77avg 74
H03/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-101
77
101
-24
63avg 74
H09/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
80avg 74
A16/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
72-115
72
115
-43
54avg 74
H08/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
74-100
74
100
-26
64avg 74
A15/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-23
21-26
31-22
16-24
21-24
16-28
27-16
16-19
24-25
27-25
21-22
23-24
23-22
21-29
9-25
21-21
20-18
26-19
17-26
19-24
26-18
13-19
25-25
19-22
27-24
12-26
19-29
17-30
21-20
18-14
33-20
25-30
21-29
13-23
13-33
18-14
20-23
22-34
14-29
177.5Avg total
82.5Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.493.2179.6-6.831%
Season at home (8)87.191.9179.0-4.825%
Season away (8)85.894.5180.2-8.838%
Last 10 (10)82.595.0177.5-12.530%
Last 5 (5)79.097.2176.2-18.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)85.193.4178.5-8.422%
vs Similar (2)90.081.5171.5+8.5100%
vs Weaker (1)103.076.0179.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
55avg 76
H28/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 76
A30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
68avg 76
H02/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
79-93
79
93
-14
65avg 76
A04/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
75-67
75
67
+8
76avg 76
A07/01
LKL
Valencia
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
77avg 76
A09/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
73-91
73
91
-18
62avg 76
A12/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
87-73
87
73
+14
87avg 76
A14/01
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
98-75
98
75
+23
102avg 76
H19/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
L
82-82
82
82
+0
78avg 76
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
15-16
16-29
21-17
28-13
22-25
17-16
28-22
22-25
26-16
13-11
16-19
17-23
26-28
16-21
20-21
16-15
25-13
17-17
17-22
27-21
21-21
14-22
22-15
12-26
25-18
20-24
16-23
23-26
29-13
17-17
18-17
20-14
23-21
23-20
32-20
23-26
21-22
21-18
17-16
160.5Avg total
82.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.370.5151.8+10.888%
Season at home (7)82.773.6156.3+9.186%
Season away (9)80.268.1148.3+12.189%
Last 10 (10)82.078.5160.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)84.880.0164.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.073.0144.0-2.00%
vs Similar (14)79.481.1160.5-1.836%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.375.9156.1+4.460%
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
Pieno ZvaigzdesZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pieno ZvaigzdesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/11
LKL
Nevezis
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H18/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H23/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A27/11
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H03/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H09/12
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/12
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H08/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/01
LKL
87.4Avg total
42.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.745.989.6-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.644.588.1-0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)43.947.591.4-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.487.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.646.889.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)43.146.689.7-3.433%-
vs Similar (2)47.540.087.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker (1)52.040.092.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H28/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Alba Berlin
#18
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A04/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A07/01
LKL
Valencia
#14
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A09/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A12/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A14/01
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H19/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
83.7Avg total
43.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.280.9+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.043.985.9-1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)39.536.575.9+3.067%-
Last 10 (10)43.939.883.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.686.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.036.075.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (14)39.642.181.8-2.543%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.938.780.5+3.267%-
This opponent (Pieno Zvaigzdes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pieno Zvaigzdestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pieno Zvaigzdes: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.6
52.7%
55.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.0
27.3%
34.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws23.016.6
72.2%
73.2%16.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.8
55.8%
55.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
34.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.815.7
83.5%
73.2%15.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pieno Zvaigzdes
LLWLLWLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LWWLWWLWWL
#11
League position
#1
-17.0
Net rating
+4.0
101.0
Offensive rating
112.6
118.0
Defensive rating
108.5
47.5%
Effective FG%
54.2%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.6%
Turnover %
20.0%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.3%
3-point %
34.6%
49.6%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 112.6Defence118.0 · 108.5Shooting47.5% · 54.2%3-point %27.3% · 34.6%Ball care18.6% · 20.0%Off. rebounds29.8% · 34.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Pieno Zvaigzdes   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/24AMazeikiai74-100
08/01/24HSiauliai72-115
16/12/23AJonava89-84
09/12/23HRytas77-101
03/12/23HNeptunas83-86
27/11/23ANevezis91-90 OT
23/11/23HSiauliai76-100
18/11/23HBC Wolves88-91
16/11/23HNevezis80-92
12/11/23ASiauliai95-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HBC Wolves82-82
19/01/24HFenerbahce98-75
14/01/24ASiauliai87-73
12/01/24ABarcelona73-91
09/01/24AValencia84-79
07/01/24AJonava75-67
04/01/24ALyon-Villeurbanne79-93
02/01/24HAlba Berlin77-71
30/12/23ABC Wolves95-76
28/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pieno Zvaigzdes
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%25%38%
Points / game86.487.185.8
Allowed / game93.291.994.5
Point differential-6.8-4.8-8.8
Avg total179.6179.0180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %88%86%89%
Points / game81.382.780.2
Allowed / game70.573.668.1
Point differential+10.8+9.1+12.1
Avg total151.8156.3148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%57%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas1614288%91.877.8+13.9
2 Zalgiris Kaunas1614288%81.370.5+10.8
3 Juventus1712571%89.277.2+12.0
4 BC Wolves1712571%83.077.7+5.3
5 Lietkabelis159660%84.182.2+1.9
6 Neptunas178947%84.583.8+0.7
7 Mazeikiai167944%77.580.6-3.1
8 Jonava1771041%81.483.3-1.9
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes1651131%86.493.2-6.8
10 Siauliai1741324%80.786.6-5.9
11 Nevezis1741324%82.892.4-9.6
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pieno Zvaigzdes2219161471
Zalgiris Kaunas2225292298
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