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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-71
22-25 26-16 13-11 16-19
Position#13
Record5-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.2
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
vs
Alba Berlin
Position#18
Record3-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game86.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18· Zalgirio Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin
04 Feb 2025
ZAL73
ABE53
02 Jan 2024
ZAL77
ABE71
04 Nov 2022
ZAL88
ABE81
05 Nov 2021
ZAL71
ABE79
30 Mar 2021
ZAL96
ABE86
09 Jan 2015
ZAL75
ABE62
31 Jan 2013
ZAL92
ABE56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
77avg 76
A03/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
L
62-64
62
64
-2
62avg 76
A05/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 76
H08/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
W
102-98
102
98
+4
97avg 76
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
85-93
85
93
-8
79avg 76
H14/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
79-55
79
55
+24
71avg 76
H17/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
L
78-80
78
80
-2
78avg 76
A20/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
77avg 76
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
55avg 76
H28/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 76
A30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
13-17
21-21
29-15
20-13
8-12
17-14
17-25
19-23
18-23
22-11
20-26
23-25
23-32
37-15
19-26
21-29
23-29
20-18
21-17
18-10
23-15
21-20
17-10
26-22
22-15
14-19
16-24
22-28
29-28
22-14
7-15
18-16
15-16
16-29
21-17
28-13
22-25
17-16
28-22
159.0Avg total
81.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.581.2159.7-2.629%
Season at home (8)78.483.0161.4-4.625%
Season away (9)78.779.6158.2-0.933%
Last 10 (10)81.078.0159.0+3.040%
Last 5 (5)80.474.8155.2+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.083.0158.0-8.00%
vs Similar (14)79.780.4160.1-0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.873.4153.2+6.471%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 79
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
46avg 79
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
89-97
89
97
-8
83avg 79
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
84avg 79
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
71-85
71
85
-14
71avg 79
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
85avg 79
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
W
74-70
74
70
+4
66avg 79
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
69avg 79
H22/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
57avg 79
H29/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
101-90
101
90
+11
91avg 79
H31/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-29
28-29
24-23
15-21
13-20
12-8
14-17
25-17
15-22
25-15
25-27
24-33
29-9
16-27
20-16
20-18
22-25
20-26
11-20
18-14
19-25
21-22
26-27
24-11
19-22
19-19
18-11
18-18
26-24
21-27
12-21
23-19
25-19
18-21
8-27
16-27
34-19
26-26
20-25
21-20
165.0Avg total
80.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.986.2162.2-10.318%
Season at home (9)77.884.3162.1-6.633%
Season away (8)73.988.4162.2-14.50%
Last 10 (10)80.484.6165.0-4.250%
Last 5 (5)82.886.0168.8-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.986.2162.2-10.318%
vs Similar (3)95.790.0185.7+5.767%
vs Weaker (10)92.879.9172.7+12.980%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
Zalgiris KaunasAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A03/12
LKL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A05/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/12
Euroleague
Nevezis
#9
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H10/12
LKL
Partizan
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H14/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H17/12
LKL
Fenerbahce
#7
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A20/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H22/12
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H28/12
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#13
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A30/12
King Mindaugas Cup
81.4Avg total
40.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.380.3-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.042.983.9-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.776.8+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.681.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.637.682.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (14)38.942.080.9-3.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.038.079.0+3.064%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A30/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H07/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/12
German Cup
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A17/12
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H19/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H22/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H29/12
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H31/12
BBL
85.6Avg total
42.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.686.5-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.042.686.6+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.786.4-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.485.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.890.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.044.283.2-5.218%-
vs Similar (3)55.346.0101.3+9.3100%-
vs Weaker (10)45.741.987.6+3.860%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.9
55.1%
53.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.69.6
39.0%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
77.4%13.6
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.5
51.2%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.9
36.6%
36.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.613.9
74.7%
77.4%13.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLLWLWLLW
Alba Berlin
WLLWWLWLWL
#13
League position
#18
+4.3
Net rating
-5.4
114.0
Offensive rating
106.9
109.8
Defensive rating
112.3
56.5%
Effective FG%
52.6%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
21.0%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.0%
3-point %
36.6%
56.5%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 106.9Defence109.8 · 112.3Shooting56.5% · 52.6%3-point %39.0% · 36.6%Ball care18.9% · 21.0%Off. rebounds31.0% · 33.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
05/12/23Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas64-62
07/03/23Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas63-66
04/11/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin88-81
03/03/22Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas82-74
05/11/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin71-79
30/03/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin96-86
29/12/20Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas71-74
04/03/15Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas80-72
09/01/15Zalgiris Kaunas v Alba Berlin75-62
29/03/13Alba Berlin v Zalgiris Kaunas77-55
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ABC Wolves95-76
28/12/23HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-78
22/12/23HBarcelona80-85
20/12/23AFenerbahce78-80
17/12/23HBC Wolves79-55
14/12/23HPartizan85-93
10/12/23HNevezis102-98
08/12/23HMonaco79-83
05/12/23AAlba Berlin62-64
03/12/23ALietkabelis80-68
Alba Berlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23HChemnitz101-90
29/12/23HOlympiacos67-94
22/12/23HFenerbahce82-91
19/12/23HBarcelona74-70
17/12/23AOldenburg90-85
14/12/23ACrvena zvezda71-85
09/12/23ASyntainics MBC85-70
07/12/23HAnadolu Efes89-97
05/12/23HZalgiris Kaunas64-62
30/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv81-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game78.578.478.7
Allowed / game81.283.079.6
Point differential-2.6-4.6-0.9
Avg total159.7161.4158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL18%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %18%33%0%
Points / game75.977.873.9
Allowed / game86.284.388.4
Point differential-10.3-6.6-14.5
Avg total162.2162.1162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1716194%87.574.5+12.9
2 Virtus Bologna1712571%82.480.4+2.1
3 Barcelona1711665%82.579.1+3.4
4 Panathinaikos1710759%82.179.5+2.6
5 Monaco1710759%81.379.2+2.1
6 Maccabi Tel Aviv1710759%86.586.7-0.2
7 Fenerbahce1810856%81.881.4+0.3
8 Olympiacos179853%77.473.9+3.5
9 Partizan179853%85.284.2+1.0
10 Valencia179853%74.674.5+0.2
11 Baskonia179853%82.182.6-0.5
12 Bayern178947%79.681.5-1.9
13 Olimpia Milano1771041%79.177.2+1.9
14 Anadolu Efes1771041%81.287.1-5.8
15 Crvena zvezda1871139%81.180.3+0.7
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1751229%78.581.2-2.6
17 Alba Berlin1731418%75.986.2-10.3
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1721512%78.487.8-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2226131677
Alba Berlin2516111971
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