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Pistoia vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-70
16-24 15-16 23-14 19-16
Position#16
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game82.0
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game79.0
ItalyLega ARound 6· PalaCarrara
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Pistoia v Reggiana
03 Nov 2024
PIS73
REG70
07 Apr 2024
PIS83
REG82
09 Feb 2020
PIS86
REG79
24 Mar 2019
PIS76
REG80
17 Mar 2018
PIS74
REG78
02 Jan 2017
PIS85
REG71
29 Nov 2015
PIS77
REG80
19 Apr 2015
PIS92
REG78
02 Mar 2014
PIS74
REG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
105-80
105
80
+25
100avg 70
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
78-96
78
96
-18
62avg 70
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
53avg 70
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 70
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 70
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 70
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 70
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
66-65
66
65
+1
63avg 70
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 70
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 70
A27/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
31-22
21-26
29-12
19-26
23-28
15-23
21-19
12-23
16-25
27-13
15-18
19-30
15-16
17-25
24-26
13-31
17-28
25-16
22-23
29-24
27-19
10-20
22-19
19-32
20-19
10-17
19-16
12-14
21-11
16-20
17-20
18-20
14-14
17-24
15-19
18-26
32-21
14-31
31-24
164.6Avg total
78.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.282.0158.2-5.840%
Season at home (2)76.079.5155.5-3.550%
Season away (3)76.383.7160.0-7.333%
Last 10 (10)78.686.0164.6-7.430%
Last 5 (5)76.282.0158.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.984.0160.9-7.144%
vs Similar (13)84.787.4172.1-2.746%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
92-95
92
95
-3
89avg 71
H18/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
67-83
67
83
-16
59avg 71
A20/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
76-92
76
92
-16
68avg 71
H28/09
Lega A
Rytas
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
76avg 71
H01/10
Champions League
Cremona
#13
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
66avg 71
A06/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
88-64
88
64
+24
88avg 71
H12/10
Lega A
Szombathely
#35
L
71-78
71
78
-7
59avg 71
A16/10
Champions League
Trieste
#6
W
97-85
97
85
+12
88avg 71
A20/10
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 71
H26/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#38
W
73-65
73
65
+8
65avg 71
A29/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
25-20
23-23
23-21
14-17
28-23
13-18
12-25
16-24
23-22
22-25
15-21
24-21
16-13
17-20
20-13
13-19
20-17
17-22
17-9
17-12
16-26
24-12
31-14
13-17
19-17
22-23
17-21
19-25
30-25
28-21
20-14
20-19
9-22
19-19
20-20
17-17
17-18
19-16
20-14
156.9Avg total
78.6Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.279.0160.2+2.260%
Season at home (3)77.378.7156.0-1.333%
Season away (2)87.079.5166.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)78.678.3156.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)79.474.4153.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.581.2153.7-8.717%
vs Similar (17)78.579.2157.7-0.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.273.3152.5+5.883%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.3+2.3
PistoiaReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/10
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A27/10
Lega A
84.8Avg total
39.9Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.744.783.3-6.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.243.781.9-5.521%-
Last 30 away (16)39.145.584.6-6.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.944.984.8-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.143.680.8-6.538%-
vs Similar (13)40.946.687.5-5.723%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H18/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/05
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H28/09
Lega A
Rytas
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H01/10
Champions League
Cremona
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A06/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H12/10
Lega A
Szombathely
#35
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A16/10
Champions League
Trieste
#6
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A20/10
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H26/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#38
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A29/10
Champions League
78.2Avg total
37.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.776.4-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.937.676.6+1.357%-
Last 30 away (16)34.841.576.2-6.831%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.578.2-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.675.0-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.544.781.2-8.233%-
vs Similar (17)37.138.976.0-1.853%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)36.237.573.7-1.333%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.921.7
49.4%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
35.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
76.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.7
50.1%
52.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
76.8%12.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLWLWLLLLW
Reggiana
WLWLWWWLLL
#16
League position
#7
-8.8
Net rating
+0.4
104.2
Offensive rating
104.5
113.1
Defensive rating
104.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
17.5%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.6%
3-point %
34.6%
52.8%
Assist %
58.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 104.5Defence113.1 · 104.1Shooting50.3% · 50.8%3-point %34.6% · 34.6%Ball care14.4% · 17.5%Off. rebounds21.4% · 29.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pistoia wins
6
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
07/04/24Pistoia v Reggiana83-82
12/11/23Reggiana v Pistoia95-82
09/02/20Pistoia v Reggiana86-79
20/10/19Reggiana v Pistoia84-72
24/03/19Pistoia v Reggiana76-80
24/11/18Reggiana v Pistoia82-84
17/03/18Pistoia v Reggiana74-78
11/11/17Reggiana v Pistoia90-42
30/04/17Reggiana v Pistoia77-68
02/01/17Pistoia v Reggiana85-71
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24AVarese95-102
20/10/24HVenezia64-77
13/10/24ACremona66-65
06/10/24AVirtus Bologna68-84
29/09/24HBasket Napoli88-82
17/05/24HBrescia77-98
14/05/24ABrescia75-97
12/05/24ABrescia70-79
05/05/24HVarese78-96
28/04/24ATrento105-80
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/24ASlask Wroclaw73-65
26/10/24HBrescia68-80
20/10/24ATrieste97-85
16/10/24ASzombathely71-78
12/10/24HTreviso88-64
06/10/24ACremona77-74 OT
01/10/24HRytas77-67
28/09/24HTrento76-92
20/05/24AVenezia67-83
18/05/24HVenezia92-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game76.276.076.3
Allowed / game82.079.583.7
Point differential-5.8-3.5-7.3
Avg total158.2155.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Reggiana
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game81.277.387.0
Allowed / game79.078.779.5
Point differential+2.2-1.3+7.5
Avg total160.2156.0166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento660100%89.776.7+13.0
2 Virtus Bologna550100%85.478.0+7.4
3 Trieste65183%92.286.0+6.2
4 Tortona54180%84.478.8+5.6
5 Trapani64267%93.084.2+8.8
6 Brescia64267%91.087.5+3.5
7 Olimpia Milano64267%82.582.5+0.0
8 Reggiana53260%81.279.0+2.2
9 Venezia63350%74.374.8-0.5
10 Pistoia52340%76.282.0-5.8
11 Scafati62433%84.886.2-1.3
12 Cremona61517%73.377.2-3.8
13 Sassari61517%81.887.0-5.2
14 Treviso61517%80.289.5-9.3
15 Varese61517%95.3106.7-11.3
16 Basket Napoli6060%80.788.5-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1615231973
Reggiana2416141670
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