PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trento vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 80-105
20-24 22-31 26-21 12-29
Position#6
Record15-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record14-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game83.5
ItalyLega ARound 29· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Trento v Pistoia
16 Mar 2025
TRE87
PIS64
28 Apr 2024
TRE80
PIS105
25 Sep 2019
TRE88
PIS75
20 Apr 2019
TRE82
PIS73
22 Apr 2018
TRE85
PIS70
18 Mar 2017
TRE99
PIS91
18 Oct 2015
TRE54
PIS74
15 Nov 2014
TRE86
PIS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
82-85
82
85
-3
73avg 75
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
57-80
57
80
-23
48avg 75
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
72avg 75
A02/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
109-82
109
82
+27
116avg 75
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
82-89
82
89
-7
70avg 75
A17/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
87-76
87
76
+11
83avg 75
H23/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 75
H30/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-91
86
91
-5
76avg 75
A07/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 75
H13/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
103-93
103
93
+10
102avg 75
A21/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
13-33
23-14
25-21
17-20
6-19
12-26
22-15
23-14
18-18
17-24
17-21
18-20
24-19
35-22
32-21
20-22
28-25
22-19
12-23
28-15
15-17
24-21
20-23
20-22
16-20
19-17
29-20
33-20
19-24
21-25
13-22
16-24
25-23
23-17
19-17
23-23
27-30
25-24
28-16
168.1Avg total
84.8Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.283.7167.9+0.554%
Season at home (14)87.983.2171.1+4.671%
Season away (14)80.584.2164.7-3.736%
Last 10 (10)84.883.3168.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)88.684.0172.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.484.8166.1-3.425%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.882.8165.6+0.050%
vs Weaker (1)85.079.0164.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
69-96
69
96
-27
56avg 69
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
71-86
71
86
-15
4avg 69
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
75avg 69
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 69
A10/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
A16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
71avg 69
H23/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
100-93
100
93
+7
98avg 69
A01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 69
H07/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 69
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
90-96
90
96
-6
87avg 69
H21/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-27
10-24
21-27
26-18
16-19
18-17
16-25
21-25
23-17
22-13
12-24
27-17
18-17
21-11
17-19
18-20
21-18
17-23
21-20
20-18
19-24
19-19
22-15
23-26
14-26
27-29
27-28
32-10
16-25
24-19
30-18
13-20
16-29
24-21
24-22
18-17
25-27
24-24
26-15
15-30
168.8Avg total
83.1Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.383.5163.8-3.250%
Season at home (14)76.977.5154.4-0.650%
Season away (14)83.889.5173.3-5.750%
Last 10 (10)83.185.7168.8-2.650%
Last 5 (5)87.688.8176.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.583.7164.2-3.258%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.882.1161.8-2.347%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
TrentoPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#13
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H11/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#5
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A02/03
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A17/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H23/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H30/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A07/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A21/04
Lega A
83.5Avg total
41.0Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.181.1-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.040.781.7+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.041.480.4-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.688.0+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.042.184.1-0.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.140.680.8-0.545%-
vs Weaker (1)38.043.081.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A11/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/02
Italian Cup
Tortona
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H03/03
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A10/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H21/04
Lega A
81.5Avg total
38.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.843.081.8-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.140.578.6-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)39.445.184.6-5.738%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.981.5-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)41.648.690.2-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.943.281.2-5.342%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.743.282.9-3.535%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.1
53.4%
53.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.711.1
37.4%
35.7%33.3
🏀 Free throws15.512.4
80.0%
76.3%12.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.2
51.6%
53.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.5
38.7%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.911.9
70.4%
76.3%11.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WWLWWLWLLL
Pistoia
LLWWLWWWLL
#6
League position
#10
+2.1
Net rating
-4.5
111.0
Offensive rating
106.7
108.9
Defensive rating
111.2
54.6%
Effective FG%
54.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
37.4%
3-point %
38.7%
66.2%
Assist %
51.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 106.7Defence108.9 · 111.2Shooting54.6% · 54.4%3-point %37.4% · 38.7%Ball care16.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds26.9% · 20.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Trento wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Pistoia v Trento73-78
12/01/20Pistoia v Trento71-74
25/09/19Trento v Pistoia88-75
20/04/19Trento v Pistoia82-73
26/12/18Pistoia v Trento70-78
22/04/18Trento v Pistoia85-70
23/12/17Pistoia v Trento79-86
18/03/17Trento v Pistoia99-91
20/11/16Pistoia v Trento84-78 OT
19/02/16Pistoia v Trento74-81
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24ABasket Napoli103-93
13/04/24HTortona83-81
07/04/24AOlimpia Milano86-91
30/03/24HScafati84-79
23/03/24HSassari87-76
17/03/24ABrindisi82-89
10/03/24HPesaro109-82
02/03/24AReggiana75-77
14/02/24AOlimpia Milano57-80
11/02/24HTreviso82-85
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24HBrindisi90-96
13/04/24APesaro82-89
07/04/24HReggiana83-82
01/04/24AVirtus Bologna100-93
23/03/24HTreviso83-84
16/03/24ABasket Napoli95-93 OT
10/03/24ACremona74-67
03/03/24HTortona84-71
14/02/24AVenezia71-86
11/02/24AVenezia69-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%71%36%
Points / game84.287.980.5
Allowed / game83.783.284.2
Point differential+0.5+4.6-3.7
Avg total167.9171.1164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.376.983.8
Allowed / game83.577.589.5
Point differential-3.2-0.6-5.7
Avg total163.8154.4173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)57% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2820871%88.477.4+11.0
2 Brescia2820871%87.478.4+9.0
3 Olimpia Milano2820871%80.674.5+6.1
4 Venezia28181064%82.878.3+4.4
5 Reggiana28151354%80.479.9+0.5
6 Trento28151354%84.283.7+0.5
7 Tortona28141450%80.778.8+1.9
8 Pistoia28141450%80.383.5-3.2
9 Basket Napoli28131546%86.186.9-0.8
10 Cremona28121643%80.379.5+0.8
11 Scafati28121643%82.786.6-3.9
12 Sassari28121643%78.683.8-5.2
13 Varese28111739%86.790.1-3.5
14 Treviso28101836%80.284.9-4.6
15 Brindisi2891932%75.681.5-5.9
16 Pesaro2891932%80.287.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2022261280
Pistoia24312129105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.