PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pistoia vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 May 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-98
13-31 17-28 25-16 22-23
Position#10
Record15-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record23-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game78.1
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals· PalaCarrara
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Pistoia v Brescia
09 Mar 2025
PIS84
BRE97
17 May 2024
PIS77
BRE98
22 Oct 2023
PIS72
BRE84
05 Apr 2020
PIS v BRE
upcoming
09 Dec 2018
PIS73
BRE70
09 May 2018
PIS90
BRE85
07 May 2017
PIS86
BRE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
A16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
83-84
83
84
-1
71avg 69
H23/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
100-93
100
93
+7
98avg 69
A01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 69
H07/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 69
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
90-96
90
96
-6
87avg 69
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
105-80
105
80
+25
100avg 69
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
78-96
78
96
-18
62avg 69
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
53avg 69
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 69
A14/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
17-23
21-20
20-18
19-24
19-19
22-15
23-26
14-26
27-29
27-28
32-10
16-25
24-19
30-18
13-20
16-29
24-21
24-22
18-17
25-27
24-24
26-15
15-30
24-20
31-22
21-26
29-12
19-26
23-28
15-23
21-19
12-23
16-25
27-13
15-18
19-30
15-16
17-25
24-26
175.0Avg total
86.1Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.584.1164.6-3.547%
Season at home (15)76.978.7155.7-1.847%
Season away (17)83.788.8172.5-5.147%
Last 10 (10)86.188.9175.0-2.840%
Last 5 (5)83.689.6173.2-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.484.3163.6-4.950%
vs Similar (15)82.384.3166.5-2.053%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
60avg 79
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
95-92
95
92
+3
90avg 79
A30/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 79
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 79
H14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 79
A20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 79
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
94-75
94
75
+19
97avg 79
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 79
H12/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 79
H14/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
28-27
28-19
13-17
22-20
17-24
22-29
12-14
21-22
23-26
28-19
23-25
13-14
20-22
17-14
22-15
22-19
22-22
21-26
25-17
21-22
20-23
19-22
17-17
21-28
19-13
21-23
16-19
22-20
25-19
22-21
25-15
23-12
25-16
13-27
18-15
30-19
16-15
25-17
26-24
167.6Avg total
85.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.378.1165.4+9.272%
Season at home (17)88.474.8163.1+13.688%
Season away (15)86.181.8167.9+4.353%
Last 10 (10)85.582.1167.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)84.877.4162.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.388.7148.0-29.30%
vs Similar (4)74.580.5155.0-6.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)90.178.8169.0+11.377%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
PistoiaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A16/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/05
Lega A
87.9Avg total
40.5Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.744.282.9-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.141.779.8-3.629%-
Last 30 away (16)39.246.485.6-7.231%-
Last 10 (10)40.547.487.9-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)41.648.289.8-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.943.880.7-6.936%-
vs Similar (15)40.645.185.7-4.527%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#8
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H05/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H12/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H14/05
Lega A
83.9Avg total
43.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.882.8+3.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.236.181.3+9.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.943.584.4-2.527%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.983.9+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.481.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.747.775.3-20.00%-
vs Similar (4)39.041.580.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.538.685.1+7.959%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.6
53.1%
53.1%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.010.0
40.0%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.6
73.7%
76.3%14.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.1
51.1%
53.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.6
37.9%
35.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
76.3%14.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLWLLWWLW
Brescia
WWWLLWWWLL
#10
League position
#3
-2.7
Net rating
+7.6
112.2
Offensive rating
117.2
114.9
Defensive rating
109.7
55.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.6%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.0%
3-point %
37.9%
47.8%
Assist %
60.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 117.2Defence114.9 · 109.7Shooting55.7% · 53.4%3-point %40.0% · 37.9%Ball care13.6% · 14.6%Off. rebounds19.0% · 34.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Pistoia   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
7
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
14/05/24Brescia v Pistoia97-75
12/05/24Brescia v Pistoia79-70
28/01/24Brescia v Pistoia109-90
22/10/23Pistoia v Brescia72-84
08/12/19Brescia v Pistoia86-74
31/03/19Brescia v Pistoia87-79
09/12/18Pistoia v Brescia73-70
09/05/18Pistoia v Brescia90-85
14/01/18Brescia v Pistoia76-72
07/05/17Pistoia v Brescia86-62
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/24ABrescia75-97
12/05/24ABrescia70-79
05/05/24HVarese78-96
28/04/24ATrento105-80
21/04/24HBrindisi90-96
13/04/24APesaro82-89
07/04/24HReggiana83-82
01/04/24AVirtus Bologna100-93
23/03/24HTreviso83-84
16/03/24ABasket Napoli95-93 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/24HPistoia97-75
12/05/24HPistoia79-70
05/05/24HBrindisi94-75
28/04/24AOlimpia Milano77-83
20/04/24ACremona77-84
14/04/24HVenezia90-84
06/04/24HTortona72-65
30/03/24AVarese95-92
25/03/24HVirtus Bologna73-87
17/03/24ASassari101-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL47%
HomeWLWLL47%
AwayWLWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %47%47%47%
Points / game80.576.983.7
Allowed / game84.178.788.8
Point differential-3.5-1.8-5.1
Avg total164.6155.7172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%7%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)57% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW72%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %72%88%53%
Points / game87.388.486.1
Allowed / game78.174.881.8
Point differential+9.2+13.6+4.3
Avg total165.4163.1167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna3324973%88.677.4+11.2
2 Brescia3223972%87.378.1+9.2
3 Olimpia Milano3223972%81.275.4+5.8
4 Venezia33201361%82.278.5+3.6
5 Reggiana33181555%79.979.7+0.3
6 Trento32161650%83.685.8-2.2
7 Pistoia32151747%80.584.1-3.5
8 Basket Napoli30141647%86.287.1-0.9
9 Sassari30141647%79.882.7-2.9
10 Tortona33151845%80.679.8+0.8
11 Cremona30121840%80.279.6+0.6
12 Varese30121840%87.390.1-2.8
13 Treviso30121840%81.184.8-3.7
14 Scafati30121840%82.787.5-4.8
15 Brindisi30102033%75.881.8-6.0
16 Pesaro30102033%80.687.5-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1317252277
Brescia3128162398
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.