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Poland vs Netherlands Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-84
18-16 28-28 27-21 19-19
Position#7
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game78.4
Poland 🏆
vs
Position#56
Record5-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game75.7
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· Tauron Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Poland v Netherlands
06 Jul 2026
POLA92
NETH84
25 Feb 2019
POLA85
NETH76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Netherlands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Iceland
#22
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 77
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
76avg 77
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 77
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 77
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
76avg 77
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
90-78
90
78
+12
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
85-83
85
83
+2
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
92-72
92
72
+20
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
123-77
123
77
+46
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
22-16
20-19
23-24
24-27
20-14
11-19
21-23
17-16
16-23
25-19
11-12
14-23
26-21
22-17
18-11
19-19
13-27
18-19
27-26
22-18
21-21
26-21
21-18
22-28
15-25
21-17
27-13
21-23
21-25
24-14
18-20
23-16
31-20
16-18
22-18
24-16
29-12
28-29
42-20
164.3Avg total
86.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.878.4173.2+16.4100%
Season at home (2)91.075.0166.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)97.380.7178.0+16.7100%
Last 10 (10)86.078.3164.3+7.770%
Last 5 (5)94.878.4173.2+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.986.1161.1-11.233%
vs Similar (7)79.475.1154.6+4.386%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)87.875.8163.5+12.088%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNetherlands
Date
Competition
Greece
#6
L
53-63
53
63
-10
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H20/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
87-88
87
88
-1
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
69-72
69
72
-3
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
5-16
16-14
14-15
21-12
13-23
18-14
13-15
22-15
22-17
18-21
19-17
10-19
21-20
17-30
22-14
25-29
26-12
16-14
30-15
26-12
22-17
17-21
21-28
28-22
25-15
17-21
13-27
17-13
23-21
15-19
26-18
23-18
27-25
17-18
20-27
26-18
7-23
21-11
15-20
151.6Avg total
77.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.975.7155.6+4.256%
Season at home (5)80.275.8156.0+4.440%
Season away (4)79.575.5155.0+4.075%
Last 10 (10)77.274.4151.6+2.850%
Last 5 (5)81.278.8160.0+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)71.781.6153.2-9.95%
vs Similar (7)76.977.7154.6-0.943%
vs Weaker (2)89.070.0159.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.5+4.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
PolandNetherlands
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland
#22
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H28/11
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A01/12
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/02
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H01/03
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
53-28
53
28
+25
A03/07
World Cup
82.5Avg total
41.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.078.4-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.836.975.7+1.854%-
Last 30 away (17)38.242.380.5-4.124%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.682.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.886.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.140.576.6-4.327%-
vs Similar (7)39.739.679.3+0.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.839.481.1+2.450%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H20/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A28/11
World Cup
Poland
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H01/12
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A27/02
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H01/03
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H03/07
World Cup
77.2Avg total
40.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.077.2-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.938.478.3+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)36.739.676.2-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.577.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.881.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.539.476.9-1.938%-
vs Similar (7)37.638.776.3-1.143%-
vs Weaker (2)47.536.584.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.0
53.0%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
-19.0
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Netherlandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.5
49.5%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.5%
-27.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
-13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 06 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland
WWWWWLWLLW
Netherlands
LLWLWWLWWL
#7
League position
#56
-5.5
Net rating
-7.9
106.9
Offensive rating
97.5
112.3
Defensive rating
105.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
19.9%
Turnover %
23.6%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.4%
3-point %
35.5%
61.7%
Assist %
81.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Poland   ■ Netherlands
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Poland wins
0
Netherlands wins
DateGameScore
01/12/25Netherlands v Poland83-85
06/09/22Netherlands v Poland69-75
25/02/19Poland v Netherlands85-76
29/11/18Netherlands v Poland78-105
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26AAustria123-77
01/03/26HLatvia92-72
27/02/26ALatvia84-82
01/12/25ANetherlands85-83
28/11/25HAustria90-78
09/09/25ATurkey77-91
07/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina80-72
04/09/25HBelgium69-70
02/09/25AFrance76-83
31/08/25HIceland84-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26HLatvia69-72
01/03/26HAustria87-88
27/02/26AAustria81-71
01/12/25HPoland83-85
28/11/25ALatvia86-78
20/08/25HBulgaria97-70
13/08/25AAustria70-83
09/08/25ABulgaria81-70
02/08/25HAustria65-64
24/02/25AGreece53-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.891.097.3
Allowed / game78.475.080.7
Point differential+16.4+16.0+16.7
Avg total173.2166.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Netherlands
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%40%75%
Points / game79.980.279.5
Allowed / game75.775.875.5
Point differential+4.2+4.4+4.0
Avg total155.6156.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
4 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
5 Poland550100%94.878.4+16.4
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
8 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
9 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
10 Ivory Coast65183%94.875.2+19.7
11 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
12 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
13 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
14 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
15 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
16 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
17 Mali65183%80.774.3+6.3
18 Cameroon65183%76.771.8+4.8
19 Germany54180%88.680.2+8.4
20 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
21 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
22 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
23 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
24 South Sudan64267%82.765.3+17.3
25 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
26 Angola64267%84.772.5+12.2
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Guinea64267%72.564.3+8.2
29 Japan64267%83.275.0+8.2
30 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
31 Qatar64267%80.074.3+5.7
32 Nigeria64267%79.774.7+5.0
33 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
34 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
35 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
36 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
37 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
38 Netherlands95456%79.975.7+4.2
39 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
40 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
41 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
42 Estonia63350%84.880.5+4.3
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Saudi Arabia63350%76.874.3+2.5
46 South Korea63350%78.078.0+0.0
47 China63350%84.084.8-0.8
48 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
49 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
50 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
51 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
52 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
53 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
54 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
55 Austria136746%84.382.8+1.5
56 Hungary94544%80.478.4+2.0
57 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
58 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
59 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
60 Latvia52340%78.079.8-1.8
61 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
62 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
63 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
64 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
67 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
68 D.R. Congo62433%66.382.5-16.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
77 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium5050%72.279.0-6.8
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
93 Cyprus5050%56.496.6-40.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland1828271992
Netherlands1628211984
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