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Prienai vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 90-77
25-20 22-12 21-28 22-17
Position#12
Record3-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game90.1
Prienai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#11
Record5-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game85.4
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v Gargzdai
11 Apr 2023
PRI90
GAR77
06 Nov 2022
PRI68
GAR95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
60avg 64
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 64
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
no box
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 64
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 64
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
74avg 64
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
71avg 64
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
105-112 OT
105
112
-7
no box
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
57-94
57
94
-37
42avg 64
H03/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
12-39
19-19
20-21
28-15
15-18
22-19
21-22
20-23
23-25
22-20
21-30
19-23
17-15
21-19
23-29
21-24
17-27
21-10
26-13
18-23
20-22
19-21
21-22
22-26
21-22
22-22
24-22
24-25
18-25
21-20
27-16
25-21
25-25
29-26
15-22
17-19
13-18
16-29
11-28
173.5Avg total
83.3Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.290.1169.3-11.012%
Season at home (12)73.791.2164.9-17.60%
Season away (13)84.289.1173.3-4.823%
Last 10 (10)83.390.2173.5-6.930%
Last 5 (5)83.894.4178.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)78.092.0170.0-14.012%
vs Similar ◀ (4)84.594.0178.5-9.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
65avg 71
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 71
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
64avg 71
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 71
A04/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
54-73
54
73
-19
45avg 71
H13/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 71
H21/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
58avg 71
A26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 71
H02/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
10-25
22-19
18-10
18-17
22-17
14-10
25-25
15-29
20-16
27-19
28-28
24-17
17-24
16-37
15-24
25-24
19-26
15-21
21-9
22-17
19-27
15-15
17-23
17-10
19-21
10-19
8-23
23-20
22-17
27-25
13-20
19-27
24-20
14-29
13-20
13-21
16-30
25-14
19-22
160.7Avg total
76.3Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.385.4162.7-8.120%
Season at home (13)72.279.9152.2-7.723%
Season away (12)82.891.3174.1-8.617%
Last 10 (10)76.384.4160.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)71.084.0155.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.887.1163.0-11.310%
vs Similar ◀ (4)85.076.2161.2+8.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Prienai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
PrienaiGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A25/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H03/04
LKL
85.5Avg total
40.1Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.746.784.4-9.010%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.546.582.0-11.00%-
Last 30 away (16)39.646.886.4-7.219%-
Last 10 (10)40.145.485.5-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.645.285.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)37.246.884.0-9.68%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.046.087.0-5.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A04/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H02/04
LKL
80.2Avg total
38.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)37.743.180.8-5.420%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.840.075.8-4.231%-
Last 30 away (12)39.846.586.3-6.78%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.080.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.080.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)37.243.981.1-6.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Prienai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.9
51.4%
54.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
35.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.415.9
71.0%
74.2%15.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.117.9
47.0%
54.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.6
33.2%
35.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.714.4
69.6%
74.2%14.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LLWLLWLLWL
Gargzdai
LLWLLWLLWL
#12
League position
#11
-10.5
Net rating
-11.5
108.6
Offensive rating
101.6
119.1
Defensive rating
113.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
48.0%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.3%
3-point %
33.2%
42.5%
Assist %
64.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 101.6Defence119.1 · 113.1Shooting50.2% · 48.0%3-point %32.3% · 33.2%Ball care15.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds30.3% · 31.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Prienai   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Prienai wins
2
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
09/01/23Gargzdai v Prienai74-71
06/11/22Prienai v Gargzdai68-95
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas57-94
25/03/23ANevezis105-112 OT
18/03/23AJuventus90-86
11/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes89-92
05/03/23HBC Wolves78-88
14/02/23AJonava85-74
12/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-86
04/02/23HNevezis86-98
28/01/23ALietkabelis86-74
14/01/23ARytas77-98
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/23HNevezis73-87
26/03/23AZalgiris Kaunas70-96
21/03/23HBC Wolves85-82
13/03/23HNeptunas54-73
04/03/23ALietkabelis73-82
16/02/23ASiauliai99-92 OT
11/02/23ARytas72-102
06/02/23AJuventus90-92
30/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes79-69
15/01/23HJonava68-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL12%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWLWWL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %12%0%23%
Points / game79.273.784.2
Allowed / game90.191.289.1
Point differential-11.0-17.6-4.8
Avg total169.3164.9173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %16%17%15%
Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWLWL23%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %20%23%17%
Points / game77.372.282.8
Allowed / game85.479.991.3
Point differential-8.1-7.7-8.6
Avg total162.7152.2174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2622485%87.571.9+15.6
2 Rytas2621581%92.082.4+9.5
3 BC Wolves2618869%85.179.2+5.9
4 Lietkabelis26161062%85.382.0+3.3
5 Juventus25151060%85.884.1+1.7
6 Jonava25141156%80.779.4+1.3
7 Nevezis26121446%84.485.7-1.3
8 Neptunas26111542%78.381.0-2.7
9 Siauliai26111542%83.386.5-3.2
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2662023%78.690.2-11.6
11 Gargzdai2552020%77.385.4-8.1
12 Prienai2532212%79.290.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai2522212290
Gargzdai2012281777
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