Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 84-79

25-17 19-17 19-22 21-23

Position#1

Record-

FormWWWLW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Real Madrid 🏆

Murcia

Position#5

Record-

FormLWWWW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Spanish CupSpanish Cup - Quarter-finals· Palacio de Deportes José María Martín Carpena

Other2024

Meetings · Real Madrid v Murcia

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Murcia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMadrid

Date

Competition

Murcia

61-73

-12

58avg 76

A14/01

ACB

Monaco

74-98

-24

61avg 76

A19/01

Euroleague

Bilbao

#13

95-80

+15

99avg 76

H21/01

ACB

Olympiacos

90-85

92avg 76

H25/01

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

77-100

100

-23

60avg 76

A28/01

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

106-101

106

101

110avg 76

H30/01

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#17

86-79

81avg 76

H01/02

Euroleague

Basquet Girona

#14

92-79

+13

93avg 76

H04/02

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#12

76-81

-5

76avg 76

A08/02

Euroleague

Breogan

#16

80-73

72avg 76

A11/02

ACB

16-19

10-17

25-16

10-21

20-33

20-23

14-24

20-18

30-22

18-16

28-14

19-28

30-13

22-17

16-25

22-30

9-25

27-32

24-21

17-22

29-18

23-27

28-28

26-28

24-18

21-17

17-15

24-29

28-18

20-26

20-14

24-21

19-23

10-25

25-18

22-15

15-24

24-18

15-15

26-16

168.6Avg total

83.7Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	83.7	84.9	168.6	-1.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	82.6	170.6	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	85.7	78.0	163.7	+7.7	100%
vs Weaker (27)	89.2	80.3	169.5	+8.9	78%

Murcia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormMurcia

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#15

87-79

80avg 72

A29/12

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#11

73-98

-25

60avg 72

A06/01

ACB

Real Madrid

73-61

+12

61avg 72

H14/01

ACB

Gran Canaria

80-91

-11

74avg 72

A20/01

ACB

Hapoel Holon

#10

78-61

+17

73avg 72

H23/01

Champions League

Tenerife

73-75

-2

67avg 72

A27/01

ACB

Promitheas

#13

90-81

76avg 72

H30/01

Champions League

Bilbao

#13

96-76

+20

88avg 72

H03/02

ACB

AEK Athens

#33

84-79

81avg 72

A06/02

Champions League

Granada

#17

91-78

+13

88avg 72

H11/02

ACB

13-19

26-21

21-23

27-16

25-21

16-32

17-25

15-20

19-16

17-10

16-25

21-10

16-27

28-17

19-30

17-17

13-11

31-17

16-16

18-17

11-19

24-16

20-23

26-18

20-16

19-12

25-35

18-19

32-13

26-18

20-26

27-25

15-14

20-21

22-19

24-12

22-20

28-18

17-28

160.4Avg total

82.5Scored

77.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	82.5	77.9	160.4	+4.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	77.8	164.6	+9.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	76.7	85.0	161.7	-8.3	33%
vs Similar (9)	81.7	78.8	160.4	+2.9	56%
vs Weaker (18)	84.8	74.2	159.0	+10.7	78%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridMurcia

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	19.7	42.9	+3.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.4	18.1	42.6	+6.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.1	43.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.3	43.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	25.7	18.3	44.0	+7.3	100%	-
vs Weaker (27)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.0	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	16.8	36.6	+3.1	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.3	17.0	34.3	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	78%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.4	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.8	41.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	22.6	42.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.6	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	17.0	37.9	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	20.7	40.1	-1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	17.9	39.7	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.0	20.3	36.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.8	18.1	39.9	+3.8	67%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

26-36

-10

A14/01

ACB

Monaco

40-56

-16

A19/01

Euroleague

Bilbao

#13

48-38

+10

H21/01

ACB

Olympiacos

52-30

+22

H25/01

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

36-57

-21

A28/01

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

52-45

H30/01

Euroleague

Lyon-Villeurbanne

#17

45-35

+10

H01/02

Euroleague

Basquet Girona

#14

48-44

H04/02

ACB

Olimpia Milano

#12

29-48

-19

A08/02

Euroleague

Breogan

#16

39-42

-3

A11/02

ACB

84.6Avg total

41.5Scored

43.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.0	82.1	+4.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.1	36.1	81.2	+8.9	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	41.5	82.9	-0.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	43.1	84.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	42.8	85.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	45.0	37.0	82.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (27)	42.9	39.2	82.1	+3.7	74%	-

MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obradoiro CAB

#15

39-40

-1

A29/12

ACB

MoraBanc Andorra

#11

41-53

-12

A06/01

ACB

Real Madrid

36-26

+10

H14/01

ACB

Gran Canaria

44-44

A20/01

ACB

Hapoel Holon

#10

44-28

+16

H23/01

Champions League

Tenerife

29-36

-7

A27/01

ACB

Promitheas

#13

46-34

+12

H30/01

Champions League

Bilbao

#13

50-32

+18

H03/02

ACB

AEK Athens

#33

42-39

A06/02

Champions League

Granada

#17

46-32

+14

H11/02

ACB

78.1Avg total

41.7Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	36.5	76.5	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.7	33.8	74.4	+6.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	39.7	78.9	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	36.4	78.1	+5.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	34.6	77.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.3	37.3	70.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.1	38.8	75.9	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.5	35.3	77.8	+7.2	83%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	18.1	40.3	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.5	18.7	42.2	+4.8	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	17.5	38.6	+3.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	74%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.0	40.4	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	29.7	49.3	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.9	17.7	39.6	+4.2	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.9	44.8	-1.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.8	46.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.6	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.3	40.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	26.2	47.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	18.0	41.7	+5.7	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.0	16.1	37.1	+4.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.3	39.0	82.3	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.4	41.6	87.0	+3.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	36.7	78.1	+4.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	41.8	84.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	39.8	85.2	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	40.7	41.0	81.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	43.6	38.8	82.3	+4.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	39.6	82.5	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.2	38.7	83.9	+6.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.2	40.6	80.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	41.5	82.3	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	43.2	87.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.3	47.7	91.0	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.8	38.3	82.1	+5.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.3	38.9	81.2	+3.4	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	18.0	53.7%	54.1%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.8	9.8	36.6%	35.9%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	20.4	17.3	84.8%	79.8%	17.3

They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 81.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	19.0	53.8%	54.1%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.6	36.5%	35.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.7	75.8%	79.8%	14.7

They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	21.3	51.6%	54.1%	42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	10.0	38.8%	35.9%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	15.6	11.5	73.7%	79.8%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	19.6	50.9%	54.1%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.0	6.7	31.9%	35.9%	20.1
🏀 Free throws	22.3	17.6	78.9%	79.8%	17.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	19.9	56.5%	54.1%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	10.7	37.6%	35.9%	32.1
🏀 Free throws	19.4	16.0	82.5%	79.8%	16.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	22.1	54.6%	54.1%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.3	33.6%	35.9%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.1	75.1%	79.8%	13.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.9	21.2	49.3%	54.1%	42.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	8.7	33.3%	35.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	14.8	10.8	73.4%	79.8%	10.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	19.4	50.0%	54.1%	38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.8	6.8	31.1%	35.9%	20.3
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.3	76.4%	79.8%	16.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Real Madrid

WLWWWLWWLL

Murcia

WWWWLWLWLW

League position

-1.9

Net rating

+6.2

112.4

Offensive rating

110.2

114.3

Defensive rating

104.0

54.2%

Effective FG%

54.2%

54.1%

Opp. effective FG%

49.8%

17.7%

Turnover %

18.6%

27.3%

Off. rebound %

30.4%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.31

36.6%

3-point %

36.5%

69.4%

Assist %

62.9%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Real Madrid ■ Murcia

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Murcia wins

Date	Game	Score
14/01/24	Murcia v Real Madrid	73-61
15/10/23	Real Madrid v Murcia	106-92
12/02/23	Murcia v Real Madrid	80-88
20/11/22	Real Madrid v Murcia	93-57
11/05/22	Real Madrid v Murcia	90-69
19/12/21	Murcia v Real Madrid	71-80
07/03/21	Murcia v Real Madrid	58-74
02/02/21	Real Madrid v Murcia	98-87
02/05/19	Murcia v Real Madrid	80-82
23/12/18	Real Madrid v Murcia	80-74

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/24	A	Breogan	80-73
08/02/24	A	Olimpia Milano	76-81
04/02/24	H	Basquet Girona	92-79
01/02/24	H	Lyon-Villeurbanne	86-79
30/01/24	H	Maccabi Tel Aviv	106-101
28/01/24	A	Gran Canaria	77-100
25/01/24	H	Olympiacos	90-85
21/01/24	H	Bilbao	95-80
19/01/24	A	Monaco	74-98
14/01/24	A	Murcia	61-73

Murcialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/24	H	Granada	91-78
06/02/24	A	AEK Athens	84-79
03/02/24	H	Bilbao	96-76
30/01/24	H	Promitheas	90-81
27/01/24	A	Tenerife	73-75
23/01/24	H	Hapoel Holon	78-61
20/01/24	A	Gran Canaria	80-91
14/01/24	H	Real Madrid	73-61
06/01/24	A	MoraBanc Andorra	73-98
29/12/23	A	Obradoiro CAB	87-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Spanish Cup 2024

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Murcia

Spanish Cup 2024

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	25	19	19	21	84
Murcia	17	17	22	23	79

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Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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