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Alba Berlin vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 63-72
14-22 16-18 17-19 16-13
Position#15
Record8-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#7
Record14-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23
European cup2020
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Real Madrid
26 Dec 2024
ABE69
MAD80
19 Mar 2024
ABE79
MAD86
12 Jan 2023
ABE77
MAD84
20 Jan 2022
ABE74
MAD89
29 Jan 2021
ABE63
MAD72
15 Jan 2015
ABE61
MAD79
27 Dec 2012
ABE63
MAD77
05 Feb 2009
ABE84
MAD87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
91avg 75
H05/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/01
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
92-82
92
82
+10
88avg 75
H10/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
76-84
76
84
-8
71avg 75
A12/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
64avg 75
H14/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 75
A17/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
103-63
103
63
+40
no box
H20/01
German Cup
Baskonia
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 75
A22/01
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
99-85
99
85
+14
101avg 75
H24/01
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
H27/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
20-25
29-28
21-19
17-24
11-19
21-20
24-22
22-21
23-16
23-24
24-21
18-18
26-18
9-26
23-22
18-13
16-29
22-22
14-20
26-26
25-17
13-13
18-20
21-18
25-18
30-13
27-14
21-18
25-32
21-11
17-16
28-20
25-25
26-16
20-24
15-20
22-14
19-18
12-19
164.0Avg total
84.2Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.982.7159.6-5.836%
Season at home (12)76.681.8158.4-5.233%
Season away (10)77.383.8161.1-6.540%
Last 10 (10)84.279.8164.0+4.460%
Last 5 (5)87.274.4161.6+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.182.0157.1-6.933%
vs Similar (10)79.279.5158.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (11)89.174.5163.5+14.6100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 80
H27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 80
A29/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
92-85
92
85
+7
91avg 80
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
72avg 80
A04/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 80
H08/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
70avg 80
H18/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 80
A21/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
H24/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
76-66
76
66
+10
78avg 80
H27/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
24-23
19-18
17-23
13-20
18-17
21-14
21-14
25-26
19-19
26-27
22-13
23-17
14-15
14-15
24-22
18-17
21-22
10-22
27-19
23-15
16-19
12-16
21-22
21-23
19-22
18-21
19-13
33-24
13-21
20-18
18-23
24-12
27-26
13-18
22-23
25-12
24-15
15-23
12-16
157.4Avg total
80.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.877.5159.3+4.264%
Season at home (11)84.976.4161.3+8.573%
Season away (11)78.678.7157.4-0.155%
Last 10 (10)80.277.2157.4+3.060%
Last 5 (5)80.877.2158.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.576.0153.5+1.550%
vs Similar (11)85.278.5163.7+6.673%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.375.0160.3+10.394%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
Alba BerlinReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H07/01
Euroleague
Giessen
#17
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/01
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A12/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H14/01
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A17/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/01
German Cup
Baskonia
#10
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A22/01
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#16
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H24/01
BBL
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/01
Euroleague
83.9Avg total
42.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.737.978.6+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.536.978.4+4.676%-
Last 30 away (13)39.739.278.9+0.554%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.083.9+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.688.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.841.878.6-5.044%-
vs Similar (10)38.635.474.0+3.260%-
vs Weaker (11)45.837.082.8+8.891%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A04/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H18/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/01
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H24/01
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H27/01
Euroleague
81.0Avg total
42.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.977.9+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.138.181.2+5.162%-
Last 30 away (14)38.735.574.2+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.881.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.882.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.541.580.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (11)42.238.780.9+3.573%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.635.175.8+5.565%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.3
56.1%
52.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.310.1
39.9%
38.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws13.611.5
84.6%
79.3%11.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.7
55.3%
52.7%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.7
38.8%
38.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws13.410.9
81.3%
79.3%10.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWWLLWLW
Real Madrid
WWLLWLWWWL
#15
League position
#7
+4.2
Net rating
+8.2
111.3
Offensive rating
114.3
107.1
Defensive rating
106.0
57.6%
Effective FG%
56.6%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
39.9%
3-point %
38.8%
60.9%
Assist %
60.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 114.3Defence107.1 · 106.0Shooting57.6% · 56.6%3-point %39.9% · 38.8%Ball care19.8% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Alba Berlin wins
7
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21HCSKA Moscow68-71
24/01/21Hs.Oliver Wurzburg99-85
22/01/21ABaskonia84-77
20/01/21HBasketball Braunschweig103-63
17/01/21ABasketball Braunschweig82-76
14/01/21HOlimpia Milano70-84
12/01/21AAnadolu Efes76-84
10/01/21HGiessen92-82
07/01/21HMaccabi Tel Aviv73-85
05/01/21HBaskonia95-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/21HPanathinaikos76-66
24/01/21HMoraBanc Andorra86-79
21/01/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv84-86
18/01/21HCrvena zvezda77-79
15/01/21ABayern81-76 OT
08/01/21HOlimpia Milano76-80
04/01/21AMoraBanc Andorra75-69
02/01/21ATenerife92-85
29/12/20AAnadolu Efes73-65
27/12/20HBarcelona82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %36%33%40%
Points / game76.976.677.3
Allowed / game82.781.883.8
Point differential-5.8-5.2-6.5
Avg total159.6158.4161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW64%
HomeWWLLW73%
AwayWWWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%73%55%
Points / game81.884.978.6
Allowed / game77.576.478.7
Point differential+4.2+8.5-0.1
Avg total159.3161.3157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %14%0%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2317674%81.073.4+7.6
2 CSKA Moscow2316770%83.178.5+4.7
3 Olimpia Milano2215768%82.478.2+4.2
4 Real Madrid2214864%81.877.5+4.2
5 Zenit Petersburg2113862%77.474.2+3.2
6 Bayern2314961%78.576.9+1.6
7 Zalgiris Kaunas2213959%79.877.5+2.2
8 Fenerbahce23131057%78.078.0+0.0
9 Anadolu Efes22121055%79.676.9+2.7
10 Valencia22111150%81.481.5-0.2
11 Olympiacos23111248%80.280.9-0.7
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv22101245%79.778.9+0.9
13 Baskonia2291341%79.179.1-0.0
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne2281436%76.580.6-4.1
15 Alba Berlin2281436%76.982.7-5.8
16 Panathinaikos2171433%79.883.3-3.5
17 Crvena zvezda2271532%74.078.6-4.7
18 Khimki M.232219%79.191.4-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin1416171663
Real Madrid2218191372
← all games of the day
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