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Real Madrid vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 95-82
20-11 31-34 24-25 20-12
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#18
Record0-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game79.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 9
European cup2021
Meetings · Real Madrid v Zalgiris Kaunas
25 Nov 2026
MAD v ZAL
upcoming
20 Nov 2025
MAD100
ZAL99
12 Dec 2024
MAD83
ZAL92
17 Oct 2023
MAD93
ZAL79
23 Feb 2023
MAD96
ZAL69
12 Nov 2021
MAD95
ZAL82
25 Feb 2021
MAD70
ZAL58
04 Apr 2019
MAD86
ZAL93
22 Mar 2018
MAD88
ZAL81
08 Dec 2016
MAD96
ZAL91
15 Jan 2016
MAD92
ZAL86
10 Apr 2015
MAD99
ZAL83
17 Oct 2014
MAD80
ZAL71
21 Feb 2014
MAD108
ZAL72
22 Nov 2013
MAD95
ZAL67
11 Jan 2013
MAD75
ZAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Monaco
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
96avg 76
H13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 76
H15/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 76
A17/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
62avg 76
H21/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
68avg 76
H24/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 76
A27/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
58-65
58
65
-7
53avg 76
A29/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
82avg 76
A31/10
ACB
Bayern
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
80avg 76
A05/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#11
W
95-61
95
61
+34
88avg 76
H07/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-12
21-27
21-26
22-21
30-18
12-12
20-20
26-15
12-20
28-13
23-18
16-20
10-15
25-26
15-11
20-17
21-14
14-21
17-18
18-22
22-13
17-27
20-17
16-11
11-14
23-21
17-14
7-16
16-10
23-16
24-12
20-27
13-13
30-19
17-26
20-18
30-15
24-14
23-20
18-12
149.3Avg total
79.2Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.971.5148.4+5.475%
Season at home (4)83.572.2155.8+11.2100%
Season away (4)70.270.8141.0-0.550%
Last 10 (10)79.270.1149.3+9.180%
Last 5 (5)78.267.0145.2+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.089.7166.7-12.70%
vs Similar (4)83.078.0161.0+5.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)79.971.5151.5+8.482%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
61-73
61
73
-12
55avg 83
A13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#5
L
68-83
68
83
-15
61avg 83
A15/10
Euroleague
Siauliai
#7
W
97-64
97
64
+33
115avg 83
A17/10
LKL
Bayern
#11
L
73-75
73
75
-2
68avg 83
H21/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
W
102-77
102
77
+25
no box
H23/10
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
62-76
62
76
-14
52avg 83
A26/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
60-94
60
94
-34
46avg 83
A29/10
Euroleague
Prienai
#11
W
103-77
103
77
+26
105avg 83
H31/10
LKL
Alba Berlin
#14
L
71-79
71
79
-8
61avg 83
H05/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
52avg 83
H07/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
13-16
15-17
19-27
23-12
16-24
10-27
19-20
21-19
27-10
22-21
27-14
24-13
15-14
16-25
18-23
27-25
22-6
25-17
28-29
20-16
10-23
16-19
16-18
17-24
12-20
17-25
14-25
32-16
29-24
20-23
22-14
10-22
27-19
15-21
19-17
18-21
8-25
21-17
28-21
155.4Avg total
77.2Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)66.979.8146.6-12.90%
Season at home (3)69.374.7144.0-5.30%
Season away (5)65.482.8148.2-17.40%
Last 10 (10)77.278.2155.4-1.030%
Last 5 (5)74.282.0156.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.179.3145.4-13.10%
vs Similar (3)73.378.7152.0-5.333%
vs Weaker (20)95.175.5170.6+19.6100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.2+0.2
Real MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H15/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H21/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A31/10
ACB
Bayern
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A05/11
Euroleague
Bilbao
#11
W
54-29
54
29
+25
H07/11
ACB
75.2Avg total
41.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.835.775.4+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.934.376.3+7.680%-
Last 30 away (15)37.637.074.6+0.660%-
Last 10 (10)41.234.075.2+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.832.474.2+9.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.739.074.7-3.367%-
vs Similar (4)44.238.883.0+5.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.934.674.5+5.373%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#12
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A13/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A15/10
Euroleague
Siauliai
#7
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A17/10
LKL
Bayern
#11
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H21/10
Euroleague
Nevezis
#10
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H23/10
LKL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#7
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A29/10
Euroleague
Prienai
#11
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H31/10
LKL
Alba Berlin
#14
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H05/11
Euroleague
Rytas
#1
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H07/11
LKL
74.7Avg total
38.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.380.8+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.137.182.3+8.080%-
Last 30 away (15)41.837.579.3+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.274.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.642.078.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.037.369.3-5.329%-
vs Similar (3)36.340.777.0-4.30%-
vs Weaker (20)48.536.985.4+11.795%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.9
52.3%
52.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.7
37.9%
35.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
77.2%12.7
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.0
50.1%
52.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.2
38.3%
35.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws14.311.6
81.1%
77.2%11.6
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWLWLWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
LLWLLWLWLL
#2
League position
#18
+13.2
Net rating
-2.7
111.6
Offensive rating
109.4
98.4
Defensive rating
112.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.9%
3-point %
38.3%
68.8%
Assist %
65.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 109.4Defence98.4 · 112.2Shooting54.5% · 53.4%3-point %37.9% · 38.3%Ball care18.5% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 34.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/21HBilbao95-61
05/11/21ABayern80-76
31/10/21ABaskonia83-65
29/10/21AUnics Kazan58-65
27/10/21AZenit Petersburg75-68
24/10/21HGran Canaria70-75
21/10/21HFenerbahce70-69
17/10/21ABreogan79-71
15/10/21HPanathinaikos88-65
13/10/21HMonaco94-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/21HRytas75-84
05/11/21HAlba Berlin71-79
31/10/21HPrienai103-77
29/10/21AAnadolu Efes60-94
26/10/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv62-76
23/10/21HNevezis102-77
21/10/21HBayern73-75
17/10/21ASiauliai97-64
15/10/21AOlympiacos68-83
13/10/21ACrvena zvezda61-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game76.983.570.2
Allowed / game71.572.270.8
Point differential+5.4+11.2-0.5
Avg total148.4155.8141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.969.365.4
Allowed / game79.874.782.8
Point differential-12.9-5.3-17.4
Avg total146.6144.0148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano98189%76.967.9+9.0
2 Barcelona97278%81.272.7+8.6
3 Real Madrid86275%76.971.5+5.4
4 Olympiacos96367%78.972.2+6.7
5 Maccabi Tel Aviv96367%77.273.0+4.2
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne96367%77.475.0+2.4
7 Zenit Petersburg96367%74.372.3+2.0
8 Monaco95456%80.277.7+2.6
9 CSKA Moscow95456%80.181.8-1.7
10 Crvena zvezda94544%69.167.2+1.9
11 Unics Kazan94544%70.673.7-3.1
12 Anadolu Efes93633%79.178.7+0.4
13 Fenerbahce93633%71.170.7+0.4
14 Bayern93633%74.277.1-2.9
15 Alba Berlin93633%73.778.9-5.2
16 Baskonia93633%68.080.0-12.0
17 Panathinaikos92722%72.979.6-6.7
18 Zalgiris Kaunas8080%66.979.8-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2031242095
Zalgiris Kaunas1134251282
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