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Real Madrid vs Basquet Girona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 92-79
28-18 20-26 20-14 24-21
Position#1
Record17-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#14
Record8-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game85.5
SpainACBRound 21· WiZink Center
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Real Madrid v Basquet Girona
10 Jan 2027
MAD v GIR
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
MAD112
GIR76
20 Oct 2024
MAD95
GIR67
04 Feb 2024
MAD92
GIR79
19 Apr 2023
MAD89
GIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basquet Girona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
99-85
99
85
+14
100avg 76
A07/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 76
A09/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
96-86 OT
96
86
+10
91avg 76
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
61-73
61
73
-12
58avg 76
A14/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
74-98
74
98
-24
61avg 76
A19/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
95-80
95
80
+15
99avg 76
H21/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
92avg 76
H25/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
77-100
77
100
-23
60avg 76
A28/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
106-101
106
101
+5
110avg 76
H30/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 76
H01/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-20
16-23
22-23
26-19
24-18
21-18
19-17
28-18
16-24
19-16
23-15
24-27
16-19
10-17
25-16
10-21
20-33
20-23
14-24
20-18
30-22
18-16
28-14
19-28
30-13
22-17
16-25
22-30
9-25
27-32
24-21
17-22
29-18
23-27
28-28
26-28
24-18
21-17
17-15
24-29
173.4Avg total
87.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.578.5168.0+11.085%
Season at home (10)92.876.7169.5+16.190%
Season away (10)86.280.3166.5+5.980%
Last 10 (10)87.685.8173.4+1.870%
Last 5 (5)90.889.0179.8+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)87.583.2170.8+4.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)89.580.0169.6+9.581%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
78-115
78
115
-37
61avg 52
A26/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
107-104 OT
107
104
+3
no box
H02/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
87-101
87
101
-14
72avg 52
A09/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
67-82
67
82
-15
46avg 52
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 52
A22/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
85-93
85
93
-8
72avg 52
H30/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
62avg 52
A06/01
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
84-86
84
86
-2
76avg 52
H13/01
ACB
Breogan
#16
L
75-93
75
93
-18
67avg 52
A21/01
ACB
Granada
#17
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 52
H28/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
23-25
18-33
23-31
26-38
30-22
20-11
17-22
17-29
25-23
27-27
18-22
15-21
21-17
17-19
14-25
17-22
23-12
16-24
18-22
17-22
23-26
19-27
26-18
13-23
16-15
18-22
27-21
21-17
23-17
19-24
21-28
18-14
18-25
16-28
23-26
17-15
19-17
26-9
18-20
170.7Avg total
81.1Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.885.5167.3-3.740%
Season at home (11)81.682.1163.7-0.545%
Season away (9)82.089.7171.7-7.733%
Last 10 (10)81.189.6170.7-8.520%
Last 5 (5)79.682.8162.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.386.6164.9-8.429%
vs Similar (14)81.685.6167.2-4.136%
vs Weaker (2)86.566.5153.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
Real MadridBasquet Girona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/01
ACB
Bayern
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A09/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H11/01
Euroleague
Murcia
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A14/01
ACB
Monaco
#3
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A19/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H21/01
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H25/01
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A28/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H30/01
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H01/02
Euroleague
84.6Avg total
43.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.238.883.0+5.580%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.036.082.0+10.093%-
Last 30 away (15)42.541.584.0+0.967%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.087.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)47.237.584.8+9.8100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.839.082.7+4.877%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A26/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H02/12
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A09/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H17/12
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A22/12
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H30/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A06/01
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H13/01
ACB
Breogan
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/01
ACB
Granada
#17
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/01
ACB
82.2Avg total
39.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.678.8-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.438.278.7+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)37.641.278.9-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.682.2-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.441.780.1-3.436%-
vs Similar (14)39.739.579.2+0.243%-
vs Weaker (2)40.526.066.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.1
52.3%
53.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.4
41.0%
34.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.116.2
84.8%
75.6%16.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.016.2
43.8%
53.0%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.111.0
34.3%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
75.6%12.7
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWLLWWW
Basquet Girona
WLLLLLLLWL
#1
League position
#14
+2.1
Net rating
-10.7
115.2
Offensive rating
99.2
113.0
Defensive rating
109.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
47.3%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.9%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.0%
3-point %
34.3%
64.7%
Assist %
58.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 99.2Defence113.0 · 109.9Shooting56.4% · 47.3%3-point %41.0% · 34.3%Ball care18.0% · 17.9%Off. rebounds27.6% · 29.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Basquet Girona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Real Madrid wins
0
Basquet Girona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/24HLyon-Villeurbanne86-79
30/01/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv106-101
28/01/24AGran Canaria77-100
25/01/24HOlympiacos90-85
21/01/24HBilbao95-80
19/01/24AMonaco74-98
14/01/24AMurcia61-73
11/01/24HValencia96-86 OT
09/01/24ABayern92-71
07/01/24ABaskonia99-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/24HGranada80-61
21/01/24ABreogan75-93
13/01/24HPalencia84-86
06/01/24ABasket Zaragoza74-81
30/12/23HBaskonia85-93
22/12/23ABilbao74-80
17/12/23HJoventut Badalona67-82
09/12/23AManresa87-101
02/12/23HMoraBanc Andorra107-104 OT
26/11/23ABarcelona78-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL85%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWLL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%90%80%
Points / game89.592.886.2
Allowed / game78.576.780.3
Point differential+11.0+16.1+5.9
Avg total168.0169.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basquet Girona
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeWLLLW45%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %40%45%33%
Points / game81.881.682.0
Allowed / game85.582.189.7
Point differential-3.7-0.5-7.7
Avg total167.3163.7171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2017385%89.578.5+11.0
2 Unicaja2117481%87.376.8+10.5
3 Barcelona2014670%86.879.9+7.0
4 Gran Canaria2013765%84.781.7+3.0
5 Valencia2012860%80.278.8+1.3
6 Baskonia2012860%86.485.8+0.7
7 Murcia2112957%82.779.7+3.0
8 Joventut Badalona2112957%82.086.0-4.0
9 Tenerife2011955%82.880.7+2.1
10 Manresa2011955%84.383.9+0.5
11 Basket Zaragoza2191243%80.881.8-1.0
12 Basquet Girona2081240%81.885.5-3.7
13 Bilbao2181338%77.881.2-3.4
14 MoraBanc Andorra2171433%83.385.4-2.1
15 Obradoiro CAB2061430%81.184.5-3.4
16 Granada2061430%81.085.9-5.0
17 Breogan2161529%74.279.8-5.6
18 Palencia2131814%77.587.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2820202492
Basquet Girona1826142179
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