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Real Madrid vs Basquet Girona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 10 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game105.2
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.3/10
Above normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record4-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game95.4
SpainACBRound 17· Movistar Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Real Madrid v Basquet Girona
10 Jan 2027
MAD v GIR
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
MAD112
GIR76
20 Oct 2024
MAD95
GIR67
04 Feb 2024
MAD92
GIR79
19 Apr 2023
MAD89
GIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basquet Girona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#9
W
119-84
119
84
+35
120avg 91
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
113-99
113
99
+14
108avg 91
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
122-86
122
86
+36
131avg 91
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
104-86
104
86
+18
102avg 91
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
90avg 91
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
90-79
90
79
+11
82avg 91
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
112-115 OT
112
115
-3
no box
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
no box
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
105-84
105
84
+21
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
98-84
98
84
+14
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-13
26-22
27-22
30-27
23-30
28-22
30-21
32-26
31-21
23-19
27-23
41-23
30-19
26-27
26-23
22-17
22-24
25-18
23-13
25-21
14-17
25-14
25-22
26-26
18-24
30-27
25-23
28-27
22-20
25-19
16-16
27-16
38-20
18-21
26-18
23-25
24-21
23-18
29-19
22-26
191.2Avg total
104.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)105.285.1190.4+20.1100%
Season at home (5)101.680.8182.4+20.8100%
Season away (3)111.392.3203.7+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)104.886.4191.2+18.490%
Last 5 (5)99.086.6185.6+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)96.291.7187.8+4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)98.588.9187.4+9.762%
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGirona
Date
Competition
Oostende
#21
W
91-76
91
76
+15
87avg 79
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
110-90
110
90
+20
106avg 79
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#19
W
109-68
109
68
+41
118avg 79
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#12
W
101-87
101
87
+14
91avg 79
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
L
79-81
79
81
-2
55avg 79
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
78-107
78
107
-29
63avg 79
A31/10
ACB
Levice
#33
W
90-66
90
66
+24
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#9
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
H07/11
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
W
92-84
92
84
+8
no box
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A15/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
17-19
26-18
23-24
28-23
25-25
21-28
36-14
30-16
27-13
26-20
26-19
17-27
28-14
27-22
29-24
26-17
22-17
19-24
12-23
21-23
19-25
20-30
18-29
12-14
36-20
22-16
20-16
19-25
27-19
20-23
26-20
29-17
21-20
15-23
27-24
22-14
16-27
18-18
14-23
174.0Avg total
91.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.195.4183.5-7.250%
Season at home (4)96.885.2182.0+11.5100%
Season away (4)79.5105.5185.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)91.282.8174.0+8.470%
Last 5 (5)84.485.2169.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)84.592.8177.3-8.231%
vs Similar (10)87.287.4174.6-0.240%
vs Weaker (7)91.376.3167.6+15.086%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
Real MadridBasquet Girona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#9
W
62-35
62
35
+27
H18/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/10
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#18
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A25/10
ACB
Baskonia
#20
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A27/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H29/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#15
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/11
ACB
Panathinaikos
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H04/11
Euroleague
Murcia
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H12/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A15/11
ACB
92.3Avg total
50.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.544.193.6+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.941.991.8+7.980%-
Last 30 away (15)49.246.295.4+3.067%-
Last 10 (10)50.741.692.3+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.440.287.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)50.345.395.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)49.343.893.1+5.675%-
This opponent (Basquet Girona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basquet GironaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#21
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Leyma Coruna
#14
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H18/10
ACB
Zielona Gora
#19
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H25/10
ACB
Szolnoki Olaj
#36
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A31/10
ACB
Levice
#33
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/11
ACB
Dinamo Bucharest
#30
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#8
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/11
ACB
85.7Avg total
46.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.785.1+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.838.283.0+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.244.786.9-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)46.739.085.7+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.885.2+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.045.186.1-4.138%-
vs Similar (10)43.640.984.5+2.750%-
vs Weaker (7)47.736.484.1+11.386%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.6
57.5%
55.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.815.0
41.9%
36.4%45.0
🏀 Free throws23.519.8
84.3%
76.0%19.8
They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basquet Gironatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basquet Girona: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.5
59.6%
55.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.0
35.5%
36.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.913.3
70.4%
76.0%13.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
Basquet Girona
LWWWLLWWWW
#1
League position
#11
+23.0
Net rating
+1.0
114.6
Offensive rating
100.3
91.6
Defensive rating
99.3
60.2%
Effective FG%
56.6%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
12.7%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
41.9%
3-point %
35.5%
62.4%
Assist %
54.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 100.3Defence91.6 · 99.3Shooting60.2% · 56.6%3-point %41.9% · 35.5%Ball care12.7% · 17.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Basquet Girona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
0
Basquet Girona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ABaskonia98-84
12/11/26HCrvena zvezda105-84
08/11/26HMurcia90-71
04/11/26HPanathinaikos112-115 OT
01/11/26HSan Pablo Burgos90-79
29/10/26HFenerbahce95-76
27/10/26ABaskonia104-86
25/10/26AForca Lleida122-86
22/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv113-99
18/10/26HBilbao119-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUnicaja70-82
11/11/26ADinamo Bucharest92-84
07/11/26HBilbao92-87
03/11/26HLevice90-66
31/10/26ABasket Zaragoza78-107
28/10/26ASzolnoki Olaj79-81
25/10/26HJoventut Badalona101-87
20/10/26HZielona Gora109-68
18/10/26HLeyma Coruna110-90
13/10/26AOostende91-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game105.2101.6111.3
Allowed / game85.180.892.3
Point differential+20.1+20.8+19.0
Avg total190.4182.4203.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%33%
Basquet Girona
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.196.879.5
Allowed / game95.485.2105.5
Point differential-7.2+11.5-26.0
Avg total183.5182.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid880100%105.285.1+20.1
2 Valencia86275%100.689.1+11.5
3 Tenerife86275%87.179.6+7.5
4 Barcelona86275%98.693.0+5.6
5 Baskonia85362%93.686.0+7.6
6 Breogan85362%104.8100.1+4.6
7 Basket Zaragoza85362%92.889.1+3.6
8 Unicaja84450%87.984.1+3.8
9 Bilbao84450%90.091.5-1.5
10 Murcia84450%89.491.1-1.8
11 Basquet Girona84450%88.195.4-7.2
12 Joventut Badalona83538%90.590.4+0.1
13 Obradoiro CAB83538%89.498.0-8.6
14 Leyma Coruna83538%92.5101.2-8.8
15 San Pablo Burgos82625%91.493.0-1.6
16 Manresa82625%88.0101.0-13.0
17 MoraBanc Andorra81712%86.496.5-10.1
18 Forca Lleida81712%92.8104.6-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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