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Real Madrid vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 88-76
23-16 24-14 15-20 26-26
Position#8
Record9-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game81.9
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#7
Record11-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game86.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19· WiZink Center
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bayern
15 Dec 2026
MAD v BAY
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
MAD93
BAY70
18 Apr 2025
MAD93
BAY71
03 Jan 2025
MAD88
BAY76
14 Dec 2023
MAD88
BAY73
06 Apr 2023
MAD79
BAY67
08 Apr 2022
MAD88
BAY97
29 Oct 2020
MAD100
BAY82
22 Feb 2019
MAD91
BAY78
05 Nov 2015
MAD101
BAY99
15 Jan 2014
MAD111
BAY87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 83
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 83
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 83
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
83-92
83
92
-9
78avg 83
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
106-69
106
69
+37
113avg 83
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
96-85
96
85
+11
94avg 83
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
94-72
94
72
+22
96avg 83
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
76avg 83
A22/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
80-69
80
69
+11
78avg 83
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 83
H29/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
17-21
23-8
12-21
20-12
11-25
16-23
23-22
18-13
21-21
21-18
30-25
19-24
19-30
22-18
23-20
19-8
24-21
27-19
36-21
26-17
26-31
18-19
26-18
29-22
24-13
24-12
17-25
9-17
21-23
29-16
25-29
28-15
17-19
16-17
19-18
21-15
15-16
21-20
16-20
163.6Avg total
85.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)84.481.9166.3+2.650%
Season at home (9)87.281.6168.8+5.767%
Season away (9)81.782.2163.9-0.633%
Last 10 (10)85.478.2163.6+7.260%
Last 5 (5)85.476.4161.8+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.782.9166.6+0.843%
vs Weaker (16)86.976.2163.2+10.775%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
90-101
90
101
-11
86avg 79
A03/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
94-80
94
80
+14
89avg 79
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
103-67
103
67
+36
100avg 79
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
96avg 79
H12/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
W
80-70
80
70
+10
73avg 79
A15/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
74-93
74
93
-19
69avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 79
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 79
H22/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
63avg 79
H27/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
91-84
91
84
+7
89avg 79
A29/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
26-29
25-18
17-27
23-23
21-21
25-17
25-19
31-16
25-19
20-17
27-15
22-30
21-20
24-22
31-21
14-19
24-21
28-15
14-15
24-18
16-28
20-31
14-16
26-14
14-25
25-20
14-19
24-21
18-15
25-11
22-28
16-13
20-19
17-23
16-25
25-25
27-22
22-21
17-16
168.8Avg total
86.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.186.9173.9+0.261%
Season at home (9)93.785.4179.1+8.289%
Season away (9)80.488.3168.8-7.933%
Last 10 (10)86.782.1168.8+4.670%
Last 5 (5)80.482.0162.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.789.2167.8-10.517%
vs Similar ◀ (11)89.185.5174.6+3.582%
vs Weaker (12)88.276.3164.6+11.983%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
Real MadridBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/12
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H12/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#13
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H15/12
ACB
Paris
#9
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A17/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H19/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A22/12
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A26/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H29/12
ACB
80.3Avg total
41.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.481.6+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.638.181.6+5.576%-
Last 30 away (13)40.541.281.6-0.738%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.380.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.680.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.141.781.9-1.636%-
vs Weaker (16)44.137.481.4+6.781%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H05/12
Euroleague
Vechta
#11
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H09/12
German Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H12/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A15/12
BBL
Monaco
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A17/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/12
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/12
BBL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#16
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A29/12
BBL
86.4Avg total
43.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.583.5+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.384.4+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.782.7-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)43.942.586.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.082.0+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.743.279.8-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.342.085.3+1.364%-
vs Weaker (12)43.739.883.5+3.858%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.5
53.9%
54.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.4
37.4%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.916.4
78.5%
78.0%16.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.419.3
57.8%
54.5%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.7
37.3%
36.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
78.0%12.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWWLWLL
Bayern
WLWWLWWWWL
#8
League position
#7
+9.8
Net rating
+6.2
115.6
Offensive rating
116.1
105.8
Defensive rating
109.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
56.9%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.4%
3-point %
37.3%
66.8%
Assist %
68.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 116.1Defence105.8 · 109.8Shooting54.9% · 56.9%3-point %37.4% · 37.3%Ball care16.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds31.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
03/10/24Bayern v Real Madrid97-89
09/01/24Bayern v Real Madrid71-92
14/12/23Real Madrid v Bayern88-73
06/04/23Real Madrid v Bayern79-67
13/12/22Bayern v Real Madrid64-68
08/04/22Real Madrid v Bayern88-97
05/11/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-80
15/01/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-81 OT
29/10/20Real Madrid v Bayern100-82
22/02/19Real Madrid v Bayern91-78
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HBarcelona73-71
26/12/24AAlba Berlin80-69
22/12/24AValencia84-85
19/12/24HMonaco94-72
17/12/24AParis96-85
15/12/24HBreogan106-69
12/12/24HZalgiris Kaunas83-92
08/12/24HUnicaja90-77
05/12/24HFenerbahce70-82
03/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne78-80
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AFrankfurt91-84
27/12/24HPanathinaikos69-80
22/12/24HOldenburg89-75
20/12/24AOlimpia Milano79-78
17/12/24AMonaco74-93
15/12/24ARostock80-70
12/12/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-93
09/12/24HVechta103-67
05/12/24HBaskonia94-80
03/12/24AAnadolu Efes90-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLWLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game84.487.281.7
Allowed / game81.981.682.2
Point differential+2.6+5.7-0.6
Avg total166.3168.8163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL61%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%89%33%
Points / game87.193.780.4
Allowed / game86.985.488.3
Point differential+0.2+8.2-7.9
Avg total173.9179.1168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1913668%87.781.4+6.3
2 Olympiacos1913668%85.681.5+4.1
3 Panathinaikos1912763%87.382.1+5.2
4 Paris1811761%86.184.6+1.5
5 Bayern1811761%87.186.9+0.2
6 Fenerbahce1811761%78.479.5-1.1
7 Crvena zvezda1911858%82.781.0+1.7
8 Anadolu Efes1910953%84.082.4+1.6
9 Barcelona1910953%85.684.3+1.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas1910953%77.476.9+0.5
11 Olimpia Milano1910953%86.185.8+0.2
12 Real Madrid189950%84.481.9+2.6
13 Partizan1991047%82.580.9+1.6
14 Baskonia1981142%78.781.1-2.4
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne1981142%80.783.9-3.2
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1951426%84.088.1-4.1
17 Virtus Bologna1951426%81.585.6-4.1
18 Alba Berlin1931616%79.991.5-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2324152688
Bayern1614202676
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