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Real Madrid vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 93-71
33-17 19-16 21-22 20-16
Position#8
Record20-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#7
Record20-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game87.9
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final· Movistar Arena
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bayern
15 Dec 2026
MAD v BAY
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
MAD93
BAY70
18 Apr 2025
MAD93
BAY71
03 Jan 2025
MAD88
BAY76
14 Dec 2023
MAD88
BAY73
06 Apr 2023
MAD79
BAY67
08 Apr 2022
MAD88
BAY97
29 Oct 2020
MAD100
BAY82
22 Feb 2019
MAD91
BAY78
05 Nov 2015
MAD101
BAY99
15 Jan 2014
MAD111
BAY87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 82
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
107-105
107
105
+2
102avg 82
A23/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
96-89
96
89
+7
96avg 82
H25/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 82
A28/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
W
88-70
88
70
+18
88avg 82
H30/03
ACB
Paris
#9
W
105-104
105
104
+1
99avg 82
H03/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
91-89
91
89
+2
85avg 82
A06/04
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
91-89
91
89
+2
84avg 82
A10/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 82
A13/04
ACB
Paris
#9
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 82
H15/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-10
20-24
16-19
13-17
25-21
21-27
22-30
39-27
31-16
23-25
24-22
18-26
22-9
20-18
13-18
23-27
22-17
12-17
29-18
25-18
23-28
30-25
21-27
31-24
20-24
22-15
26-22
23-28
22-24
26-22
17-28
26-15
23-15
22-19
21-15
13-19
22-27
14-19
22-16
15-19
172.6Avg total
88.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)84.782.7167.4+2.157%
Season at home (18)89.885.7175.5+4.172%
Season away (17)79.479.5158.9-0.141%
Last 10 (10)88.983.7172.6+5.290%
Last 5 (5)87.886.2174.0+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.886.4169.2-3.546%
vs Weaker (16)88.878.3167.1+10.5100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
W
91-66
91
66
+25
89avg 80
H22/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
102-101
102
101
+1
90avg 80
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
85avg 80
H27/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
80avg 80
A29/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
90-93
90
93
-3
82avg 80
A03/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
94-72
94
72
+22
91avg 80
H06/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
92avg 80
A08/04
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
69avg 80
H10/04
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
94-83
94
83
+11
85avg 80
A13/04
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
93avg 80
H15/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-13
27-14
18-13
17-26
30-28
26-27
20-22
26-24
21-23
21-21
23-19
24-11
28-19
23-10
14-19
16-27
22-17
22-31
30-13
16-32
18-19
31-18
22-16
23-19
16-28
35-29
24-28
19-24
13-28
18-18
21-22
25-21
16-20
38-22
21-21
19-20
21-23
18-23
32-15
13-23
176.4Avg total
90.9Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)87.587.9175.4-0.457%
Season at home (18)90.484.3174.7+6.278%
Season away (17)84.491.8176.1-7.435%
Last 10 (10)90.985.5176.4+5.470%
Last 5 (5)91.289.2180.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.093.3181.3-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.586.7176.3+2.860%
vs Weaker (12)84.572.9157.4+11.683%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -2.9-2.9
Real MadridBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/03
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A23/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H25/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#10
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A28/03
Euroleague
Bilbao
#15
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H30/03
ACB
Paris
#9
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H03/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/04
ACB
Partizan
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A10/04
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A13/04
ACB
Paris
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H15/04
Euroleague
85.4Avg total
45.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.281.4+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.742.085.7+1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.736.577.1+4.260%-
Last 10 (10)45.240.285.4+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.688.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.541.682.2-1.131%-
vs Weaker (16)43.537.981.4+5.662%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
W
56-27
56
27
+29
H22/03
BBL
Barcelona
#6
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A25/03
Euroleague
Partizan
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H27/03
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A29/03
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H06/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A08/04
BBL
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H10/04
Euroleague
Oldenburg
#9
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A13/04
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H15/04
Euroleague
90.4Avg total
47.3Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.483.7+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.238.980.1+2.247%-
Last 30 away (13)46.242.388.5+3.854%-
Last 10 (10)47.343.190.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.845.690.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.345.786.0-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.142.384.4-0.333%-
vs Weaker (12)45.736.782.3+9.075%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.7
58.8%
54.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.9
34.5%
36.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.016.0
72.7%
78.0%16.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.118.8
60.5%
54.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.5
40.1%
36.2%37.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.8
79.1%
78.0%14.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWWWWWW
Bayern
WWLLWLWWWW
#8
League position
#7
+6.7
Net rating
+7.2
117.2
Offensive rating
119.7
110.5
Defensive rating
112.5
56.0%
Effective FG%
60.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.5%
3-point %
40.1%
56.3%
Assist %
58.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 119.7Defence110.5 · 112.5Shooting56.0% · 60.3%3-point %34.5% · 40.1%Ball care17.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds35.1% · 31.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
03/01/25Real Madrid v Bayern88-76
03/10/24Bayern v Real Madrid97-89
09/01/24Bayern v Real Madrid71-92
14/12/23Real Madrid v Bayern88-73
06/04/23Real Madrid v Bayern79-67
13/12/22Bayern v Real Madrid64-68
08/04/22Real Madrid v Bayern88-97
05/11/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-80
15/01/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-81 OT
29/10/20Real Madrid v Bayern100-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/25HParis73-81
13/04/25ATenerife79-68
10/04/25APartizan91-89
06/04/25ABarcelona91-89
03/04/25HParis105-104
30/03/25HBilbao88-70
28/03/25ACrvena zvezda78-72
25/03/25HOlimpia Milano96-89
23/03/25AUnicaja107-105
20/03/25HLyon-Villeurbanne81-70
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/25HCrvena zvezda97-93 OT
13/04/25AOldenburg94-83
10/04/25HFenerbahce77-89
08/04/25AUlm94-109
06/04/25HBasketball Braunschweig94-72
03/04/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-93
29/03/25AWurzburg81-75
27/03/25HPartizan89-74
25/03/25ABarcelona102-101
22/03/25HRostock91-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeWWWWL72%
AwayLLWWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %57%72%41%
Points / game84.789.879.4
Allowed / game82.785.779.5
Point differential+2.1+4.1-0.1
Avg total167.4175.5158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)100% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Bayern
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayWLLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %57%78%35%
Points / game87.590.484.4
Allowed / game87.984.391.8
Point differential-0.4+6.2-7.4
Avg total175.4174.7176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)86% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos34241071%86.981.8+5.1
2 Fenerbahce34231168%83.281.2+2.0
3 Panathinaikos34221265%88.483.9+4.5
4 Monaco34211362%86.382.9+3.4
5 Anadolu Efes34201459%86.882.2+4.5
6 Barcelona34201459%88.184.4+3.7
7 Real Madrid35201557%84.782.7+2.1
8 Paris35201557%86.385.2+1.1
9 Bayern35201557%87.587.9-0.4
10 Crvena zvezda35181751%83.181.6+1.5
11 Olimpia Milano34171750%85.486.7-1.2
12 Partizan34161847%81.880.1+1.6
13 Zalgiris Kaunas34151944%77.479.0-1.6
14 Baskonia34142041%82.683.6-1.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne34132138%80.985.3-4.4
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv34112332%85.989.8-3.9
17 Virtus Bologna3492526%79.283.7-4.5
18 Alba Berlin3452915%78.791.3-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid3319212093
Bayern1716221671
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