Real Madrid vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 85-61

16-18 24-11 20-17 25-15

Position#2

Record14-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game75.6

Real Madrid 🏆

Crvena zvezda

Position#15

Record7-10

FormLWWWW

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game74.4

EuroleagueRound 8

European cup2014

Meetings · Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

88-80

A25/01

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

86-90

-4

A29/01

Euroleague

Gipuzkoa

#17

86-70

+16

H01/02

ACB

Barcelona

97-73

+24

H05/02

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#18

86-69

+17

H08/02

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#16

88-71

+17

A12/02

Euroleague

Valencia

99-87

+12

A15/02

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

85-73

+12

H20/02

Spanish Cup

Joventut Badalona

100-83

100

+17

H21/02

Spanish Cup

Barcelona

77-71

A22/02

Spanish Cup

9-17

19-21

29-16

31-26

31-23

23-23

15-22

17-22

23-14

21-17

26-19

16-20

26-16

16-17

24-20

31-20

23-17

21-20

21-13

21-19

24-23

23-24

25-13

16-11

20-20

25-23

32-20

22-24

21-21

16-20

30-15

18-17

24-26

22-26

25-8

29-23

18-21

23-21

23-15

13-14

165.9Avg total

89.2Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	86.9	75.6	162.5	+11.4	82%
Season at home (8)	93.1	77.4	170.5	+15.8	88%
Season away (9)	81.4	74.0	155.4	+7.4	78%
Last 10 (10)	89.2	76.7	165.9	+12.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	77.0	166.8	+12.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	80.0	74.3	154.3	+5.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	85.7	75.7	161.4	+10.0	81%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buducnost

77-76

A26/01

ABA League

Alba Berlin

#14

86-69

+17

H29/01

Euroleague

Szolnoki Olaj

90-47

+43

H01/02

ABA League

Zalgiris Kaunas

#16

68-70

-2

H05/02

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

67-77

-10

A08/02

ABA League

Panathinaikos

#11

69-74

-5

A13/02

Euroleague

Cedevita

78-63

+15

H16/02

ABA League

Konstantin

81-65

+16

H20/02

Korac cup

Partizan

76-67

A21/02

Korac cup

Mega Bemax

80-74

A22/02

Korac cup

23-24

11-17

28-13

15-22

22-12

25-17

17-18

22-22

15-14

21-8

22-8

32-17

13-20

21-19

15-14

19-17

13-25

19-16

20-16

15-20

6-26

23-11

22-15

18-22

16-22

27-11

16-25

19-5

32-16

22-14

19-15

8-20

26-18

17-16

13-16

20-17

16-21

19-21

24-15

21-17

145.4Avg total

77.2Scored

68.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	75.8	74.4	150.1	+1.4	41%
Season at home (9)	74.3	69.9	144.2	+4.4	56%
Season away (8)	77.4	79.4	156.8	-2.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	68.2	145.4	+9.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	68.6	145.4	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	74.5	85.5	160.0	-11.0	0%
vs Similar (8)	73.2	72.1	145.4	+1.1	50%
vs Weaker (19)	82.7	72.4	155.1	+10.3	84%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.0	18.5	41.5	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.2	18.6	39.7	+2.6	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	15.6	35.4	+4.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	16.6	19.1	35.8	-2.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (19)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.8	20.5	42.3	+1.2	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	17.8	38.7	+3.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	15.0	35.5	+5.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	14.6	36.2	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	18.1	37.8	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.3	17.7	38.9	+3.6	68%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gran Canaria

28-38

-10

A25/01

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

54-46

A29/01

Euroleague

Gipuzkoa

#17

44-31

+13

H01/02

ACB

Barcelona

42-33

H05/02

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#18

44-37

H08/02

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#16

47-47

A12/02

Euroleague

Valencia

45-43

A15/02

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

37-41

-4

H20/02

Spanish Cup

Joventut Badalona

46-52

-6

H21/02

Spanish Cup

Barcelona

41-42

-1

A22/02

Spanish Cup

83.8Avg total

42.8Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	39.4	81.8	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.0	38.5	82.5	+5.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.2	40.1	81.3	+1.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	41.0	83.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	45.0	88.2	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	39.7	41.7	81.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.9	39.1	82.0	+3.8	73%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Buducnost

34-41

-7

A26/01

ABA League

Alba Berlin

#14

47-29

+18

H29/01

Euroleague

Szolnoki Olaj

36-22

+14

H01/02

ABA League

Zalgiris Kaunas

#16

34-39

-5

H05/02

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

32-41

-9

A08/02

ABA League

Panathinaikos

#11

29-37

-8

A13/02

Euroleague

Cedevita

43-33

+10

H16/02

ABA League

Konstantin

54-30

+24

H20/02

Korac cup

Partizan

43-34

A21/02

Korac cup

Mega Bemax

35-42

-7

A22/02

Korac cup

73.5Avg total

38.7Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	35.7	75.3	+4.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	33.4	74.1	+7.3	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	37.6	76.4	+1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	34.8	73.5	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	35.2	76.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	34.5	41.5	76.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	36.2	37.2	73.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	40.9	34.7	75.6	+6.2	63%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	17.2	38.7	+4.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.4	16.8	39.2	+5.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	17.5	38.2	+3.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	16.1	41.1	+8.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	14.2	41.2	+12.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.7	16.3	36.0	+3.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.3	17.4	38.7	+4.0	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.1	36.8	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	16.9	35.8	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	17.3	37.8	+3.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	15.5	35.1	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	17.5	22.5	40.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.2	15.9	35.1	+3.4	75%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.2	17.2	37.4	+3.1	47%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.1	38.9	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	17.6	38.9	+3.7	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	18.5	38.8	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.7	16.3	37.0	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.9	18.3	39.2	+2.5	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.2	33.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	20.5	19.1	39.5	+1.4	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	35.3	77.5	+6.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.7	34.5	78.2	+9.2	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.1	35.9	77.1	+5.2	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	35.7	82.1	+10.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	32.0	78.6	+14.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	40.3	32.7	73.0	+7.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.2	35.7	78.0	+6.5	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	36.3	75.5	+2.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.2	34.9	74.1	+4.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.2	37.6	76.8	+1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	33.4	71.9	+5.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	33.4	69.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	40.0	44.0	84.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.0	34.9	71.9	+2.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (19)	40.7	36.2	76.9	+4.5	63%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Crvena zvezda wins

Date	Game	Score
02/01/15	Crvena zvezda v Real Madrid	72-79

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/02/15	A	Barcelona	77-71
21/02/15	H	Joventut Badalona	100-83
20/02/15	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	85-73
15/02/15	A	Valencia	99-87
12/02/15	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	88-71
08/02/15	H	Fuenlabrada	86-69
05/02/15	H	Barcelona	97-73
01/02/15	H	Gipuzkoa	86-70
29/01/15	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	86-90
25/01/15	A	Gran Canaria	88-80

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/02/15	A	Mega Bemax	80-74
21/02/15	A	Partizan	76-67
20/02/15	H	Konstantin	81-65
16/02/15	H	Cedevita	78-63
13/02/15	A	Panathinaikos	69-74
08/02/15	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	67-77
05/02/15	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	68-70
01/02/15	H	Szolnoki Olaj	90-47
29/01/15	H	Alba Berlin	86-69
26/01/15	A	Buducnost	77-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

Euroleague 2014

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	82%
Home	LWWWW	88%
Away	WWWLW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	82%	88%	78%
Points / game	86.9	93.1	81.4
Allowed / game	75.6	77.4	74.0
Point differential	+11.4	+15.8	+7.4
Avg total	162.5	170.5	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	75%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	-	60% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2014

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	41%
Home	WLLWL	56%
Away	WLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	41%	56%	25%
Points / game	75.8	74.3	77.4
Allowed / game	74.4	69.9	79.4
Point differential	+1.4	+4.4	-2.0
Avg total	150.1	144.2	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	33%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (5)	0% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	CSKA Moscow	17	16	1	94%	89.3	75.6	+13.6
2	Real Madrid	17	14	3	82%	86.9	75.6	+11.4
3	Olympiacos	17	14	3	82%	76.1	70.8	+5.2
4	Barcelona	17	13	4	76%	83.2	75.3	+7.9
5	Fenerbahce	17	13	4	76%	81.6	76.3	+5.4
6	Maccabi Tel Aviv	17	12	5	71%	78.8	77.2	+1.6
7	Lyon-Villeurbanne	3	2	1	67%	79.7	76.7	+3.0
8	Unics Kazan	13	8	5	62%	77.8	73.6	+4.2
9	Panathinaikos	17	10	7	59%	76.1	73.2	+2.9
10	Anadolu Efes	17	10	7	59%	73.9	72.8	+1.1
11	Strasbourg	2	1	1	50%	73.5	63.5	+10.0
12	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	2	1	1	50%	82.5	83.0	-0.5
13	Baskonia	17	8	9	47%	80.9	80.4	+0.5
14	Zalgiris Kaunas	18	8	10	44%	70.4	72.4	-2.0
15	Crvena zvezda	17	7	10	41%	75.8	74.4	+1.4
16	Alba Berlin	17	7	10	41%	72.6	75.9	-3.3
17	Neptunas	10	4	6	40%	76.3	85.7	-9.4
18	Nizhny Novgorod	18	7	11	39%	78.6	83.1	-4.4
19	Olimpia Milano	18	7	11	39%	75.6	81.2	-5.6
20	Galatasaray	18	6	12	33%	77.7	80.9	-3.3
21	Valencia	10	3	7	30%	77.5	76.4	+1.1
22	Cedevita	10	3	7	30%	74.0	78.9	-4.9
23	Unicaja	17	5	12	29%	74.4	76.9	-2.6
24	Bayern	10	2	8	20%	80.6	86.6	-6.0
25	Limoges	10	2	8	20%	70.2	80.6	-10.4
26	Sassari	10	1	9	10%	75.8	85.9	-10.1
27	Turow Zgorzelec	10	1	9	10%	77.3	89.7	-12.4
28	Zielona Gora	1	0	1	0%	86.0	90.0	-4.0
29	Oostende	1	0	1	0%	77.0	86.0	-9.0
30	Nymburk	1	0	1	0%	84.0	94.0	-10.0
31	VEF Riga	1	0	1	0%	53.0	82.0	-29.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	16	24	20	25	85
Crvena zvezda	18	11	17	15	61

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature