Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2015

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 87-99

20-20 23-25 20-32 24-22

Position#5

Record12-8

FormWLWWL

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game74.0

Valencia

Real Madrid 🏆

Position#1

Record16-4

FormLWWWW

Points / game85.0

Allowed / game76.5

ACBRound 21

Domestic2014-15

Meetings · Valencia v Real Madrid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

80-82

-2

A11/01

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

62-74

-12

A14/01

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#18

89-76

+13

H17/01

ACB

CSU Ploiesti

#27

87-92

-5

H21/01

Eurocup

Murcia

#10

81-63

+18

H24/01

ACB

CSU Ploiesti

#27

100-84

100

+16

A28/01

Eurocup

Real Betis

#15

72-79

-7

A01/02

ACB

Nancy

#23

75-73

A04/02

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

#12

73-62

+11

A07/02

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

89-90

-1

H11/02

Eurocup

27-29

17-17

20-19

16-17

16-19

10-22

19-20

17-13

28-27

29-14

18-18

14-17

21-22

20-25

21-20

25-25

19-22

16-13

25-11

21-17

42-30

19-19

24-20

15-15

15-24

23-15

18-19

16-21

19-19

22-19

19-19

15-16

17-20

27-19

15-15

14-8

29-24

25-22

14-22

21-22

158.3Avg total

80.8Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	78.8	74.0	152.8	+4.8	60%
Season at home (10)	86.2	72.6	158.8	+13.6	90%
Season away (10)	71.5	75.4	146.9	-3.9	30%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	77.5	158.3	+3.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	77.6	159.4	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	69.8	82.5	152.2	-12.8	0%
vs Similar (10)	78.5	76.5	155.0	+2.0	40%
vs Weaker (16)	82.1	73.2	155.3	+8.8	69%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

75-74

H11/01

ACB

Alba Berlin

#14

79-61

+18

A15/01

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

83-66

+17

A18/01

ACB

Panathinaikos

#11

83-65

+18

H22/01

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

88-80

A25/01

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

86-90

-4

A29/01

Euroleague

Gipuzkoa

#17

86-70

+16

H01/02

ACB

Barcelona

97-73

+24

H05/02

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#18

86-69

+17

H08/02

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#16

88-71

+17

A12/02

Euroleague

17-18

20-27

20-18

18-11

16-15

20-19

19-10

24-17

15-13

26-13

23-19

19-21

20-14

19-15

21-19

23-17

9-17

19-21

29-16

31-26

31-23

23-23

15-22

17-22

23-14

21-17

26-19

16-20

26-16

16-17

24-20

31-20

23-17

21-20

21-13

21-19

24-23

23-24

25-13

16-11

157.0Avg total

85.1Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	85.0	76.5	161.6	+8.5	80%
Season at home (9)	85.2	70.9	156.1	+14.3	100%
Season away (11)	84.8	81.2	166.0	+3.6	64%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	71.9	157.0	+13.2	90%
Last 5 (5)	88.6	74.6	163.2	+14.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	80.0	74.3	154.3	+5.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	86.2	76.3	162.5	+9.9	78%

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValenciaReal Madrid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.0	41.7	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.5	41.3	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	22.5	42.1	-3.0	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.6	46.9	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	23.4	47.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.5	21.8	40.2	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.8	20.7	42.4	+1.1	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.0	39.6	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.5	17.2	40.7	+6.4	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.0	18.7	38.7	+1.3	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.0	37.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	18.6	44.0	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.5	17.9	39.4	+3.6	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	17.9	39.3	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.8	42.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	14.8	23.0	37.8	-8.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.7	17.8	39.5	+3.9	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	21.4	42.2	-0.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.0	22.3	40.3	-4.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	56%	-

ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

44-46

-2

A11/01

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

26-41

-15

A14/01

Eurocup

Fuenlabrada

#18

57-41

+16

H17/01

ACB

CSU Ploiesti

#27

41-47

-6

H21/01

Eurocup

Murcia

#10

35-35

H24/01

ACB

CSU Ploiesti

#27

61-49

+12

A28/01

Eurocup

Real Betis

#15

38-39

-1

A01/02

ACB

Nancy

#23

41-38

A04/02

Eurocup

Obradoiro CAB

#12

44-39

A07/02

ACB

Lokomotiv Kuban

54-46

H11/02

Eurocup

86.2Avg total

44.1Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	39.7	80.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	37.4	80.5	+5.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	41.9	80.4	-3.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	42.1	86.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	42.2	89.8	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	33.2	44.8	78.0	-11.5	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	39.6	39.5	79.1	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (16)	43.4	38.5	81.9	+4.9	62%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Baskonia

37-45

-8

H11/01

ACB

Alba Berlin

#14

36-34

A15/01

Euroleague

Manresa

#16

41-26

+15

A18/01

ACB

Panathinaikos

#11

39-29

+10

H22/01

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

28-38

-10

A25/01

ACB

Maccabi Tel Aviv

54-46

A29/01

Euroleague

Gipuzkoa

#17

44-31

+13

H01/02

ACB

Barcelona

42-33

H05/02

Euroleague

Fuenlabrada

#18

44-37

H08/02

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

#16

47-47

A12/02

Euroleague

77.8Avg total

41.2Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	38.6	81.7	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.9	36.8	82.7	+9.2	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.9	40.1	80.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	36.6	77.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	38.8	85.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	39.7	41.7	81.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.4	38.3	81.7	+5.1	74%	-

This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.8	18.8	37.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	18.8	40.6	+2.9	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	17.4	38.2	+3.4	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	16.9	39.2	+5.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.7	16.3	36.0	+3.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.1	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	17.8	36.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	17.7	35.1	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	17.1	34.5	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	16.4	32.6	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	25%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.1	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	19.2	39.5	+1.0	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	18.4	40.0	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.7	16.3	37.0	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	35.9	74.3	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	35.7	76.7	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	36.1	71.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	35.4	72.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	35.4	69.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.5	37.8	74.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.9	37.0	75.9	+1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (16)	38.6	34.8	73.4	+3.9	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	36.8	78.8	+5.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.3	36.9	80.2	+6.4	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.0	36.6	77.6	+4.4	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	35.3	79.2	+8.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	35.8	78.2	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	40.3	32.7	73.0	+7.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	42.2	37.2	79.4	+5.0	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valencia wins

Real Madrid wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/14	Real Madrid v Valencia	90-71
26/09/14	Real Madrid v Valencia	89-76
27/04/14	Real Madrid v Valencia	105-110
22/12/13	Valencia v Real Madrid	75-82
07/04/13	Valencia v Real Madrid	88-79
20/12/12	Real Madrid v Valencia	87-84
11/03/12	Valencia v Real Madrid	83-66
04/12/11	Real Madrid v Valencia	81-64
07/04/11	Real Madrid v Valencia	66-58
31/03/11	Valencia v Real Madrid	81-72

Valencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/15	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	89-90
07/02/15	A	Obradoiro CAB	73-62
04/02/15	A	Nancy	75-73
01/02/15	A	Real Betis	72-79
28/01/15	A	CSU Ploiesti	100-84
24/01/15	H	Murcia	81-63
21/01/15	H	CSU Ploiesti	87-92
17/01/15	H	Fuenlabrada	89-76
14/01/15	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	62-74
11/01/15	A	Bilbao	80-82

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/15	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	88-71
08/02/15	H	Fuenlabrada	86-69
05/02/15	H	Barcelona	97-73
01/02/15	H	Gipuzkoa	86-70
29/01/15	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	86-90
25/01/15	A	Gran Canaria	88-80
22/01/15	H	Panathinaikos	83-65
18/01/15	A	Manresa	83-66
15/01/15	A	Alba Berlin	79-61
11/01/15	H	Baskonia	75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia

ACB 2014-15

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	60%
Home	WWWWW	90%
Away	LLLLW	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	60%	90%	30%
Points / game	78.8	86.2	71.5
Allowed / game	74.0	72.6	75.4
Point differential	+4.8	+13.6	-3.9
Avg total	152.8	158.8	146.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	80%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	-	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Real Madrid

ACB 2014-15

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLWWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	80%	100%	64%
Points / game	85.0	85.2	84.8
Allowed / game	76.5	70.9	81.2
Point differential	+8.4	+14.3	+3.6
Avg total	161.6	156.1	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	78%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Unicaja	21	18	3	86%	81.4	74.7	+6.8
2	Real Madrid	20	16	4	80%	85.0	76.5	+8.4
3	Barcelona	21	15	6	71%	83.6	72.1	+11.5
4	Bilbao	21	15	6	71%	77.4	73.7	+3.7
5	Joventut Badalona	21	14	7	67%	77.4	77.0	+0.5
6	Valencia	20	12	8	60%	78.8	74.0	+4.8
7	Gran Canaria	21	11	10	52%	77.9	78.0	-0.2
8	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	21	11	10	52%	76.3	76.8	-0.5
9	Baskonia	20	10	10	50%	84.6	79.0	+5.6
10	Tenerife	21	10	11	48%	76.2	75.6	+0.6
11	Murcia	21	9	12	43%	75.5	78.1	-2.6
12	Obradoiro CAB	21	9	12	43%	70.7	73.9	-3.2
13	Estudiantes	21	9	12	43%	73.3	77.0	-3.8
14	Gipuzkoa	21	7	14	33%	69.9	74.1	-4.2
15	Real Betis	21	6	15	29%	72.8	81.5	-8.7
16	Manresa	20	5	15	25%	71.2	80.0	-8.8
17	Fuenlabrada	21	5	16	24%	73.9	78.2	-4.3
18	MoraBanc Andorra	21	5	16	24%	71.9	77.0	-5.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valencia	20	23	20	24	87
Real Madrid	20	25	32	22	99

← all games of the day

Valencia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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