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Real Madrid vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 77-79
21-23 19-22 18-21 19-13
Position#7
Record13-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#17
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 19
European cup2020
Meetings · Real Madrid v Crvena zvezda
12 Nov 2026
MAD v CZV
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
MAD103
CZV82
24 Oct 2024
MAD95
CZV72
29 Mar 2024
MAD101
CZV94
21 Oct 2022
MAD72
CZV56
18 Nov 2021
MAD79
CZV67
18 Jan 2021
MAD77
CZV79
01 Dec 2017
MAD83
CZV87
10 Mar 2017
MAD98
CZV68
22 Oct 2015
MAD98
CZV71
26 Feb 2015
MAD85
CZV61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 80
H13/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
97-93 OT
97
93
+4
no box
A15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
no box
A18/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
91-62
91
62
+29
100avg 80
H22/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
82-87
82
87
-5
70avg 80
H27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 80
A29/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
W
92-85
92
85
+7
91avg 80
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
75-69
75
69
+6
72avg 80
A04/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 80
H08/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
no box
A15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
17-17
30-25
24-26
14-15
19-14
23-19
12-20
12-12
19-18
18-21
20-18
19-18
26-12
27-14
19-18
22-23
24-23
19-18
17-23
13-20
18-17
21-14
21-14
25-26
19-19
26-27
22-13
23-17
14-15
14-15
24-22
18-17
21-22
10-22
27-19
23-15
16-19
12-16
21-22
162.7Avg total
84.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.277.6159.8+4.668%
Season at home (9)86.877.2164.0+9.678%
Season away (10)78.178.0156.1+0.160%
Last 10 (10)84.478.3162.7+6.180%
Last 5 (5)79.475.0154.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.777.0152.7-1.333%
vs Similar (11)83.977.8161.7+6.173%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.875.8162.6+11.0100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
67avg 71
H10/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
111-75
111
75
+36
118avg 71
A12/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#15
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
no box
H15/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
76-73
76
73
+3
72avg 71
H18/12
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
69-98
69
98
-29
61avg 71
A22/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
39avg 71
A27/12
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
74-71
74
71
+3
64avg 71
H30/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
75avg 71
H02/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#9
L
71-73
71
73
-2
68avg 71
H07/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
71-91
71
91
-20
62avg 71
A15/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
15-21
16-25
18-19
30-19
31-19
28-25
22-12
16-15
21-19
20-14
19-28
20-22
25-14
12-21
19-16
12-30
25-18
17-21
15-29
16-25
12-25
15-21
22-14
22-15
26-22
9-9
17-25
22-16
21-12
25-22
13-16
22-18
17-20
14-15
18-20
15-27
27-22
15-19
14-23
158.4Avg total
78.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.578.7153.2-4.232%
Season at home (10)76.076.8152.8-0.840%
Season away (9)72.980.8153.7-7.922%
Last 10 (10)78.180.3158.4-2.240%
Last 5 (5)72.477.2149.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.779.5153.2-5.831%
vs Similar (4)79.575.5155.0+4.050%
vs Weaker (13)79.966.5146.4+13.577%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.5-2.5
Real MadridCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A15/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#12
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A18/12
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H22/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H27/12
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A29/12
Euroleague
Tenerife
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A02/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A04/01
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/01
Euroleague
73.7Avg total
38.2Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.277.3+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.981.5+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.735.473.1+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.573.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.475.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.743.778.3-9.00%-
vs Similar (11)41.837.579.3+4.473%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.035.875.8+4.262%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H10/12
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#8
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A12/12
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#15
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H18/12
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A22/12
Euroleague
Igokea
#4
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A27/12
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H30/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#10
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H02/01
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H07/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A15/01
Euroleague
82.0Avg total
42.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.338.279.5+3.159%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.777.1+3.767%-
Last 30 away (14)42.239.982.1+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.582.0+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.480.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.739.777.4-2.038%-
vs Similar (4)42.036.878.8+5.2100%-
vs Weaker (12)44.937.182.0+7.867%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.0
56.5%
52.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.2
37.4%
38.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.713.0
82.8%
79.3%13.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.6
50.6%
52.7%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.2
36.8%
38.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.8
78.3%
79.3%14.8
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWLWWWW
Crvena zvezda
LLWWLLWLWL
#7
League position
#17
+11.1
Net rating
-1.7
113.5
Offensive rating
107.8
102.3
Defensive rating
109.5
56.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.4%
3-point %
36.8%
54.8%
Assist %
62.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 107.8Defence102.3 · 109.5Shooting56.3% · 52.6%3-point %37.4% · 36.8%Ball care17.3% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.4% · 32.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
3
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21ABayern81-76 OT
08/01/21HOlimpia Milano76-80
04/01/21AMoraBanc Andorra75-69
02/01/21ATenerife92-85
29/12/20AAnadolu Efes73-65
27/12/20HBarcelona82-87
22/12/20HAlba Berlin91-62
18/12/20AOlympiacos86-82 OT
15/12/20APanathinaikos97-93 OT
13/12/20HUnicaja91-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/21AValencia71-91
07/01/21HFenerbahce71-73
02/01/21HZadar81-66
30/12/20HPanathinaikos74-71
27/12/20AIgokea65-85
22/12/20AZenit Petersburg69-98
18/12/20HValencia76-73
15/12/20HAlba Berlin84-90 OT
12/12/20AFMP Beograd111-75
10/12/20HOlympiacos79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLWWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%78%60%
Points / game82.286.878.1
Allowed / game77.677.278.0
Point differential+4.6+9.6+0.1
Avg total159.8164.0156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %16%0%30%
Crvena zvezda
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL32%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game74.576.072.9
Allowed / game78.776.880.8
Point differential-4.2-0.8-7.9
Avg total153.2152.8153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%10%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2015575%84.679.0+5.7
2 Barcelona2014670%81.573.7+7.8
3 Real Madrid1913668%82.277.6+4.6
4 Zenit Petersburg1812667%76.872.9+3.9
5 Olimpia Milano1912763%82.479.7+2.7
6 Bayern2012860%79.576.8+2.8
7 Anadolu Efes2011955%79.376.8+2.6
8 Zalgiris Kaunas2011955%79.877.5+2.3
9 Valencia2011955%81.881.2+0.5
10 Olympiacos1910953%79.680.0-0.4
11 Fenerbahce20101050%75.878.0-2.2
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv2091145%79.778.5+1.2
13 Baskonia2091145%79.378.7+0.6
14 Alba Berlin2071335%77.083.6-6.6
15 Crvena zvezda1961332%74.578.7-4.2
16 Panathinaikos1961332%79.884.0-4.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1961332%74.579.9-5.4
18 Khimki M.2021810%78.690.3-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2119181977
Crvena zvezda2322211379
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