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Real Madrid vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 89-77
19-29 28-24 17-16 25-8
Position#2
Record0-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game74.0
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Olympiacos
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game96.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 2· Movistar Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Olympiacos
07 Jan 2027
MAD v OLY
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
MAD89
OLY77
01 May 2025
MAD84
OLY86
29 Apr 2025
MAD80
OLY72
16 Jan 2025
MAD86
OLY96
24 May 2024
MAD87
OLY76
25 Jan 2024
MAD90
OLY85
19 Oct 2022
MAD87
OLY89
02 Feb 2022
MAD75
OLY67
02 Apr 2021
MAD72
OLY63
10 Jan 2019
MAD94
OLY78
09 Feb 2018
MAD79
OLY80
12 Oct 2016
MAD83
OLY65
28 Jan 2016
MAD84
OLY72
17 May 2015
MAD78
OLY59
25 Apr 2014
MAD83
OLY69
17 Apr 2014
MAD82
OLY77
15 Apr 2014
MAD88
OLY71
25 Nov 2010
MAD82
OLY68
02 Apr 2009
MAD75
OLY78
31 Mar 2009
MAD71
OLY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
W
99-81
99
81
+18
94avg 81
H11/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 81
H13/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 81
A15/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 81
A17/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
89-75
89
75
+14
69avg 81
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
89avg 81
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 81
A25/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
W
72-71
72
71
+1
61avg 81
H27/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#1
L
94-98
94
98
-4
86avg 81
H28/09
Supercopa ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 81
A30/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
22-17
24-22
24-28
23-19
23-22
21-17
23-17
13-23
21-25
26-22
24-16
16-22
23-21
22-20
25-16
19-15
16-17
29-28
25-15
22-25
26-20
21-23
20-21
23-19
16-21
21-9
21-21
18-17
17-28
20-15
17-11
27-24
17-27
25-18
25-29
19-14
16-24
15-17
18-19
167.0Avg total
86.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.074.0142.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)86.580.5167.0+6.070%
Last 5 (5)83.481.8165.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.482.8169.2+3.667%
vs Weaker (16)86.678.7165.2+7.988%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
W
90-64
90
64
+26
95avg 85
A15/05
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
68-78
68
78
-10
55avg 85
H23/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
97-93
97
93
+4
102avg 85
H25/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
62avg 85
A30/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
91-83
91
83
+8
89avg 85
H01/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
99-88
99
88
+11
95avg 85
A06/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
85-71
85
71
+14
79avg 85
H08/06
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
89-56
89
56
+33
97avg 85
H26/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#2
W
92-83
92
83
+9
94avg 85
H27/09
Super Cup
Baskonia
#18
W
102-96
102
96
+6
97avg 85
A30/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
15-20
21-11
27-14
17-17
15-18
19-22
17-21
33-20
24-26
18-18
22-29
19-20
15-22
16-16
18-22
23-18
18-13
25-24
25-28
30-28
14-17
34-22
21-21
19-15
23-23
22-14
21-19
28-20
19-5
18-13
24-18
26-17
23-19
21-17
22-30
27-20
22-28
24-22
29-26
167.3Avg total
88.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)102.096.0198.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)102.096.0198.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.179.2167.3+8.980%
Last 5 (5)93.478.8172.2+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.079.0154.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.178.9160.0+2.164%
vs Weaker (14)93.279.5172.7+13.793%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
Real MadridOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H11/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A15/06
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H20/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/06
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A25/06
ACB
Tenerife
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H27/09
Supercopa ACB
Valencia
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/09
Supercopa ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/09
Euroleague
82.0Avg total
40.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.081.8+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.840.683.4+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.739.480.1+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.641.482.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.243.884.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.442.584.9-0.150%-
vs Weaker (16)41.637.278.8+4.462%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A15/05
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H23/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#3
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H25/05
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A30/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A06/06
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/06
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#4
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H26/09
Super Cup
Promitheas
#2
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H27/09
Super Cup
Baskonia
#18
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A30/09
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
43.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.838.081.8+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.136.179.2+7.076%-
Last 30 away (13)44.840.585.2+4.369%-
Last 10 (10)43.738.582.2+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.484.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.030.064.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.637.678.2+3.157%-
vs Weaker (14)47.539.987.4+7.686%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.8
56.9%
60.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.8
32.4%
35.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
78.2%16.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.2
57.3%
60.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.1
33.0%
35.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.117.9
81.0%
78.2%17.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LLWWWWWLWW
Olympiacos
WWWWWWLWLW
#2
League position
#1
+9.1
Net rating
+11.2
114.9
Offensive rating
118.0
105.9
Defensive rating
106.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
14.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.4%
3-point %
33.0%
47.1%
Assist %
68.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.9 · 118.0Defence105.9 · 106.8Shooting53.4% · 53.9%3-point %32.4% · 33.0%Ball care14.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 31.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Real Madrid wins
5
Olympiacos wins
DateGameScore
01/05/25Real Madrid v Olympiacos84-86
29/04/25Real Madrid v Olympiacos80-72
25/04/25Olympiacos v Real Madrid77-71
23/04/25Olympiacos v Real Madrid84-72
16/01/25Real Madrid v Olympiacos86-96
29/10/24Olympiacos v Real Madrid79-69
24/05/24Real Madrid v Olympiacos87-76
25/01/24Real Madrid v Olympiacos90-85
05/12/23Olympiacos v Real Madrid71-77
21/05/23Olympiacos v Real Madrid78-79
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25AVirtus Bologna68-74
28/09/25HValencia94-98
27/09/25HTenerife72-71
25/06/25AValencia81-70
22/06/25HValencia102-96 OT
20/06/25HValencia89-75
17/06/25AUnicaja86-79
15/06/25AUnicaja84-86
13/06/25HUnicaja90-75
11/06/25HUnicaja99-81
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/25ABaskonia102-96
27/09/25HPromitheas92-83
26/09/25HAS Karditsas89-56
08/06/25HPanathinaikos85-71
06/06/25APanathinaikos99-88
01/06/25HPanathinaikos91-83
30/05/25APanathinaikos68-80
25/05/25HPanathinaikos97-93
23/05/25HMonaco68-78
15/05/25AAEK Athens90-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total142.0-142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game102.0-102.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total198.0-198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce110100%96.077.0+19.0
2 Hapoel Tel-Aviv110100%103.087.0+16.0
3 Dubai110100%89.076.0+13.0
4 Panathinaikos110100%87.079.0+8.0
5 Anadolu Efes110100%85.078.0+7.0
6 Olympiacos110100%102.096.0+6.0
7 Virtus Bologna110100%74.068.0+6.0
8 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%89.084.0+5.0
9 Valencia110100%80.077.0+3.0
10 Olimpia Milano21150%85.081.0+4.0
11 Bayern21150%88.087.5+0.5
12 Partizan21150%78.083.5-5.5
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne1010%77.080.0-3.0
14 Monaco1010%84.089.0-5.0
15 Baskonia1010%96.0102.0-6.0
16 Real Madrid1010%68.074.0-6.0
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv1010%78.085.0-7.0
18 Crvena zvezda2020%85.094.5-9.5
19 Barcelona1010%87.0103.0-16.0
20 Paris1010%77.096.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1928172589
Olympiacos292416877
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