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Romania vs Bulgaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-103
32-34 16-23 18-20 20-26
Position#9
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Sala Polivalenta
Other2029
Meetings · Romania v Bulgaria
30 Aug 2026
ROMA86
BULG103
23 Feb 2023
ROMA61
BULG62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Romania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bulgaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#38
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
66-86
66
86
-20
A16/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
64-91
64
91
-27
A27/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H30/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
82-99
82
99
-17
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
101-96
101
96
+5
H02/03
World Cup
Greece
#39
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H02/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
64-65
64
65
-1
A05/07
World Cup
Denmark
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A27/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
19-11
22-16
22-16
26-19
19-15
14-15
20-17
18-19
20-21
5-26
23-20
12-26
17-19
15-23
20-23
17-26
17-23
22-16
19-15
12-25
34-29
15-21
21-24
27-22
23-31
26-20
25-23
16-18
19-20
16-20
22-8
14-17
15-11
21-27
14-10
22-10
16-23
27-20
24-25
156.0Avg total
76.9Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.979.1156.0-2.250%
Last 5 (5)81.880.8162.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)62.387.0149.3-24.70%
vs Similar (10)71.880.0151.8-8.230%
vs Weaker (16)77.869.6147.4+8.281%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#26
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H16/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A20/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A27/02
EuroBasket
Armenia
#16
W
100-80
100
80
+20
A02/03
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H05/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
9-17
24-15
12-16
21-28
14-34
22-13
28-19
14-24
14-24
25-28
23-12
15-22
17-22
21-18
17-19
23-17
15-20
24-22
25-19
29-25
12-26
14-16
15-30
25-21
26-20
27-26
20-21
16-29
17-17
14-16
20-14
22-17
17-18
21-21
40-24
27-10
25-17
22-12
14-18
163.8Avg total
82.2Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.275.2163.5+13.075%
Season at home (2)93.072.5165.5+20.5100%
Season away (2)83.578.0161.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)82.281.6163.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)84.679.6164.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.288.6168.8-8.527%
vs Similar (7)76.479.1155.6-2.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.873.3157.2+10.575%
This opponent (Romania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
RomaniaBulgaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RomaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#38
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H13/08
World Cup
Hungary
#38
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/08
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H30/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A27/02
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H02/03
World Cup
Greece
#39
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/07
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A05/07
World Cup
Denmark
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A27/08
EuroBasket
78.2Avg total
37.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.276.4-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.139.175.2-2.920%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.377.6-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.678.2-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.280.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.348.780.0-17.30%-
vs Similar (10)34.940.375.2-5.40%-
vs Weaker (16)39.837.176.8+2.762%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#26
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H16/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A20/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A27/02
EuroBasket
Armenia
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/03
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H05/07
EuroBasket
81.3Avg total
38.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.279.9-0.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.837.178.9+4.780%-
Last 30 away (15)37.643.280.8-5.640%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.081.3-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.083.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.745.582.2-8.745%-
vs Similar (7)39.738.378.0+1.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.436.478.8+6.067%-
This opponent (Romania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Romaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Romania: 67.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.2
49.4%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.2
28.8%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws15.512.0
77.4%
-12.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.8
52.5%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
-12.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Romania
WLWWLLLLWW
Bulgaria
WWLWLWLLLW
#9
League position
#5
-6.7
Net rating
-0.1
94.2
Offensive rating
107.9
100.9
Defensive rating
108.0
46.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
21.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.8%
3-point %
34.0%
76.1%
Assist %
62.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Romania   ■ Bulgaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Romania wins
2
Bulgaria wins
DateGameScore
23/02/23Romania v Bulgaria61-62
28/08/22Bulgaria v Romania84-72
Romanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/26ADenmark89-78
05/07/26AMontenegro64-65
02/07/26HGreece73-66
02/03/26HPortugal101-96
27/02/26APortugal82-99
30/11/25HMontenegro75-80
27/11/25AGreece64-91
16/08/25AHungary66-86
13/08/25HNorth Macedonia79-66
06/08/25HHungary76-64
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/26HNorway88-57
02/03/26AArmenia100-80
27/02/26ANorway67-76
27/11/25HArmenia98-88
20/08/25ANetherlands70-97
16/08/25HAustria87-78
09/08/25HNetherlands70-81
06/08/25AAustria76-88
23/02/25AGermany85-94
20/02/25HSweden81-77 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Romania
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game78.0-78.0
Point differential+11.0-+11.0
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Bulgaria
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game88.293.083.5
Allowed / game75.272.578.0
Point differential+13.0+20.5+5.5
Avg total163.5165.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Great Britain110100%110.075.0+35.0
2 North Macedonia770100%82.963.7+19.1
3 Slovakia440100%85.573.0+12.5
4 Belgium110100%92.081.0+11.0
5 Romania110100%89.078.0+11.0
6 Cyprus110100%77.072.0+5.0
7 Bulgaria43175%88.275.2+13.0
8 Norway43175%80.880.0+0.8
9 Luxembourg62433%79.882.2-2.3
10 Ireland62433%75.280.8-5.7
11 Azerbaijan62433%71.880.8-9.0
12 Kosovo41325%85.587.0-1.5
13 Albania41325%76.087.0-11.0
14 Czech Republic1010%81.092.0-11.0
15 Denmark1010%78.089.0-11.0
16 Armenia4040%83.297.0-13.8
17 Austria2020%65.584.0-18.5
18 Switzerland1010%75.0110.0-35.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Romania3216182086
Bulgaria34232026103
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