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Rostock vs Oldenburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 122-118 (OT)
28-26 24-21 13-27 23-14 34-30
Position#12
Record7-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game78.1
Rostock 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#9
Record7-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game85.3
GermanyBBLRound 17· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Rostock v Oldenburg
17 Jan 2027
ROS v OLD
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
ROS94
OLD77
18 Jan 2025
ROS122
OLD118
31 Mar 2024
ROS64
OLD99
05 Feb 2023
ROS73
OLD80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#7
L
60-68
60
68
-8
49avg 68
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
74avg 68
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
64-69
64
69
-5
56avg 68
H10/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
62avg 68
A30/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
70-80
70
80
-10
63avg 68
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
63-80
63
80
-17
53avg 68
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
81avg 68
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
96-85
96
85
+11
85avg 68
A31/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 68
H04/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 68
A11/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
20-19
12-12
11-21
23-16
22-25
18-16
20-9
13-12
22-15
9-25
20-17
18-14
21-21
24-23
18-28
19-14
21-24
15-28
15-14
22-12
12-19
7-26
22-23
30-20
20-23
21-15
21-20
22-15
21-32
24-17
29-21
24-21
13-19
25-19
25-24
12-25
16-23
19-14
25-20
154.5Avg total
76.8Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.378.1156.5+0.247%
Season at home (8)77.976.2154.1+1.650%
Season away (7)78.980.3159.1-1.443%
Last 10 (10)76.877.7154.5-0.940%
Last 5 (5)82.081.6163.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.190.9171.0-10.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.080.6157.6-3.633%
vs Weaker (5)86.677.6164.2+9.060%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOldenburg
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 79
A03/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
78-87
78
87
-9
71avg 79
A10/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
102-92 OT
102
92
+10
96avg 79
H16/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
L
91-96
91
96
-5
83avg 79
H06/12
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
111-94
111
94
+17
113avg 79
H15/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
72avg 79
A22/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 79
A27/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
91-98
91
98
-7
83avg 79
A29/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
70-64
70
64
+6
64avg 79
H05/01
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
82avg 79
H11/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
18-24
25-27
18-20
20-22
19-24
23-20
16-21
16-23
28-16
17-17
23-28
26-20
25-24
22-16
18-36
24-33
30-20
26-22
31-19
21-24
15-18
11-25
28-22
19-27
19-21
19-20
25-15
20-36
21-23
27-21
23-18
12-17
19-9
24-19
15-19
19-18
19-22
20-19
38-26
175.3Avg total
87.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.785.3171.0+0.547%
Season at home (8)91.979.8171.6+12.188%
Season away (7)78.791.6170.3-12.90%
Last 10 (10)87.388.0175.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)82.883.8166.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.087.8165.8-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (16)86.286.2172.4-0.144%
vs Weaker (9)92.779.6172.2+13.178%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.1+1.1
RostockOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/11
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A30/11
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A11/01
BBL
77.3Avg total
38.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.780.5-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.738.977.6-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.742.483.1-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.577.3+0.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.880.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.444.183.5-4.725%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.738.377.0+0.367%-
vs Weaker (5)43.437.480.8+6.080%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A03/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A10/11
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H16/11
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H06/12
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H15/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A22/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A27/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A29/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H05/01
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/01
BBL
84.8Avg total
40.6Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.883.5-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.639.884.3+4.881%-
Last 30 away (14)38.444.282.6-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.284.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.079.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.239.576.8-2.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.244.686.8-2.450%-
vs Weaker (9)42.438.480.9+4.078%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.317.9
49.3%
52.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.1
33.0%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.113.1
68.6%
73.5%13.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.9
53.2%
52.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.2
31.7%
33.6%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.717.1
78.8%
73.5%17.1
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LWWWLLLLWL
Oldenburg
WWLLLWLWLL
#12
League position
#9
-0.4
Net rating
-0.9
103.2
Offensive rating
112.3
103.6
Defensive rating
113.2
49.4%
Effective FG%
50.8%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.0%
3-point %
31.7%
43.7%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 112.3Defence103.6 · 113.2Shooting49.4% · 50.8%3-point %33.0% · 31.7%Ball care18.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds32.2% · 33.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Rostock   ■ Oldenburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rostock wins
4
Oldenburg wins
DateGameScore
31/03/24Rostock v Oldenburg64-99
20/10/23Oldenburg v Rostock94-89
05/02/23Rostock v Oldenburg73-80
11/12/22Oldenburg v Rostock99-90
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AUlm72-82
04/01/25HVechta87-83
31/12/24AAlba Berlin96-85
26/12/24HHamburg92-78
21/12/24ABasketball Braunschweig63-80
15/12/24HBayern70-80
30/11/24AHeidelberg81-86
10/11/24HBonn64-69
01/11/24HFrankfurt83-66
27/10/24HChemnitz60-68
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HWurzburg96-85
05/01/25HLudwigsburg70-64
29/12/24AVechta91-98
27/12/24ABasketball Braunschweig82-83
22/12/24ABayern75-89
15/12/24HGottingen111-94
06/12/24HBonn91-96
16/11/24HFrankfurt102-92 OT
10/11/24AChemnitz78-87
03/11/24ASyntainics MBC77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL47%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%50%43%
Points / game78.377.978.9
Allowed / game78.176.280.3
Point differential+0.2+1.6-1.4
Avg total156.5154.1159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Oldenburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW47%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%88%0%
Points / game85.791.978.7
Allowed / game85.379.891.6
Point differential+0.5+12.1-12.9
Avg total171.0171.6170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1410471%82.374.6+7.6
2 Ulm1410471%84.878.6+6.2
3 Wurzburg149564%81.276.5+4.7
4 Basketball Braunschweig149564%80.277.9+2.3
5 Heidelberg149564%78.478.1+0.2
6 Chemnitz159660%79.378.3+1.0
7 Ludwigsburg169756%75.471.1+4.4
8 Vechta137654%82.783.8-1.1
9 Bonn158753%85.584.0+1.5
10 Syntainics MBC157847%83.983.3+0.6
11 Oldenburg157847%85.785.3+0.5
12 Rostock157847%78.378.1+0.2
13 Alba Berlin146843%84.282.9+1.4
14 Hamburg156940%79.981.1-1.3
15 Bamberg156940%80.583.5-3.0
16 Frankfurt1531220%75.784.1-8.4
17 Gottingen131128%78.897.1-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rostock2824132334122
Oldenburg2621271430118
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