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Neptunas vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 May 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 91-95
21-26 14-22 30-24 26-23
Position#7
Record16-18
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#2
Record28-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game83.2
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 73
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 73
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
96avg 73
H18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 73
A22/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
98avg 73
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 73
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
71avg 73
A02/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 73
H07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
no box
A12/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
17-22
17-14
20-19
18-25
29-26
19-19
20-20
18-19
28-15
26-25
17-28
15-27
27-24
34-18
21-22
18-20
27-19
21-13
21-26
26-18
24-32
22-16
22-18
20-19
22-28
18-18
31-21
19-13
18-25
21-22
25-25
24-31
17-19
16-25
18-29
20-25
25-16
14-27
29-20
177.2Avg total
87.4Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)80.983.2164.1-2.347%
Season at home (17)84.684.9169.5-0.353%
Season away (17)77.281.5158.8-4.341%
Last 10 (10)87.489.8177.2-2.450%
Last 5 (5)88.493.2181.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.686.9161.5-12.310%
vs Similar (10)81.979.9161.8+2.070%
vs Weaker (10)86.978.7165.6+8.270%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
W
103-101
103
101
+2
96avg 84
H01/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
A10/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
66avg 84
A17/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
109-84
109
84
+25
112avg 84
H20/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
106-81
106
81
+25
112avg 84
A23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
99-93
99
93
+6
92avg 84
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
102-98
102
98
+4
94avg 84
H01/05
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
100avg 84
A04/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
91-65
91
65
+26
90avg 84
H06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
107-99 OT
107
99
+8
no box
H12/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
24-25
23-22
29-23
25-18
26-29
19-19
20-20
25-20
22-20
13-20
15-21
23-21
31-19
29-20
26-24
23-17
31-23
21-21
31-20
27-24
18-15
31-21
23-33
18-27
26-28
29-16
29-27
25-25
19-23
22-17
31-21
23-19
21-15
20-21
27-10
25-20
16-25
27-14
20-29
185.3Avg total
97.9Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)93.483.2176.7+10.282%
Season at home (18)96.286.4182.6+9.778%
Season away (16)90.479.6170.0+10.888%
Last 10 (10)97.987.4185.3+10.590%
Last 5 (5)99.288.2187.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.890.2173.0-7.420%
vs Similar (5)90.289.0179.2+1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)96.379.8176.1+16.595%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A22/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/05
LKL
88.5Avg total
43.1Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.180.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.243.885.0-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)38.836.975.7+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.145.488.5-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.288.2-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.242.080.2-3.830%-
vs Similar (10)40.538.779.2+1.860%-
vs Weaker (10)41.039.780.7+1.340%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H01/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A10/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A17/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H20/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H01/05
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A04/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H06/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/05
LKL
91.9Avg total
47.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.841.787.5+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.243.289.4+3.150%-
Last 30 away (12)45.139.584.6+5.667%-
Last 10 (10)47.544.491.9+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.044.886.8-2.840%-
vs Similar (5)43.846.890.6-3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)47.239.686.8+7.665%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.4
54.7%
54.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.117.1
77.4%
74.2%17.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 98.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.924.7
65.2%
54.9%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.1
39.3%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.719.0
76.9%
74.2%19.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLWWWWWLL
Rytas
WWWWWWWLWW
#7
League position
#2
-1.4
Net rating
+20.4
116.6
Offensive rating
133.6
118.0
Defensive rating
113.2
53.6%
Effective FG%
62.7%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
41.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
34.6%
3-point %
39.3%
70.5%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.6 · 133.6Defence118.0 · 113.2Shooting53.6% · 62.7%3-point %34.6% · 39.3%Ball care14.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds31.5% · 41.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Neptunas wins
9
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
12/05/23Rytas v Neptunas107-99 OT
10/04/23Neptunas v Rytas86-90
28/01/23Neptunas v Rytas70-82
29/09/22Rytas v Neptunas93-67
28/04/22Neptunas v Rytas93-88
05/12/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
16/10/21Neptunas v Rytas81-89
04/05/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
13/03/21Neptunas v Rytas59-80
20/01/21Rytas v Neptunas95-83
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/23ARytas99-107 OT
07/05/23HBC Wolves75-104
02/05/23AJuventus83-85
29/04/23HGargzdai91-86
25/04/23APrienai94-84
22/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes87-78
18/04/23HNevezis97-91
15/04/23ASiauliai89-87
10/04/23HRytas86-90
03/04/23HLietkabelis73-86
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/23HNeptunas107-99 OT
06/05/23HGargzdai91-65
04/05/23APrienai97-86
01/05/23HBC Wolves102-98
26/04/23HNevezis99-93
23/04/23AJonava106-81
20/04/23HSiauliai109-84
17/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas75-81
10/04/23ANeptunas90-86
01/04/23HJuventus103-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL47%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayWWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %47%53%41%
Points / game80.984.677.2
Allowed / game83.284.981.5
Point differential-2.3-0.3-4.3
Avg total164.1169.5158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Rytas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWLWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %82%78%88%
Points / game93.496.290.4
Allowed / game83.286.479.6
Point differential+10.2+9.7+10.8
Avg total176.7182.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won91% (11)83% (6)100% (5)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3429585%87.272.9+14.4
2 Rytas3428682%93.483.2+10.2
3 Lietkabelis34241071%85.981.2+4.6
4 BC Wolves34231168%86.178.8+7.3
5 Jonava34191556%80.580.6-0.1
6 Juventus34181653%86.286.4-0.2
7 Neptunas34161847%80.983.2-2.3
8 Nevezis34142041%86.288.3-2.1
9 Siauliai33132039%83.286.4-3.3
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3382524%79.889.8-10.0
11 Gargzdai3362718%75.884.4-8.6
12 Prienai3342912%79.290.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2114302691
Rytas2622242395
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