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Rytas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 May 2023
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 107-99 (OT)
25-20 16-25 27-14 20-29 19-11
Position#2
Record27-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game82.8
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#7
Record16-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game82.5
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Rytas v Neptunas
11 Apr 2027
RYT v NEP
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
RYT86
NEP77
14 Feb 2026
RYT100
NEP95
18 Oct 2025
RYT97
NEP93
24 Apr 2025
RYT103
NEP85
18 Jan 2025
RYT77
NEP92
21 Sep 2024
RYT84
NEP90
16 Mar 2024
RYT83
NEP84
11 Nov 2023
RYT93
NEP75
12 May 2023
RYT107
NEP99
29 Sep 2022
RYT93
NEP67
05 Dec 2021
RYT97
NEP76
04 May 2021
RYT97
NEP76
20 Jan 2021
RYT95
NEP83
18 Jan 2020
RYT92
NEP69
28 Sep 2019
RYT85
NEP75
24 May 2019
RYT v NEP
upcoming
30 Mar 2019
RYT70
NEP52
03 Nov 2018
RYT66
NEP78
06 Jun 2018
RYT88
NEP82
02 Jun 2018
RYT74
NEP67
28 May 2018
RYT79
NEP84
18 Mar 2018
RYT86
NEP99
14 Oct 2017
RYT92
NEP79
10 Jun 2017
RYT75
NEP66
04 Jun 2017
RYT71
NEP54
29 May 2017
RYT79
NEP60
08 Apr 2017
RYT82
NEP62
30 Dec 2016
RYT78
NEP75
22 May 2016
RYT72
NEP73
17 May 2016
RYT66
NEP64
11 May 2016
RYT71
NEP83
09 Apr 2016
RYT95
NEP88
27 Dec 2015
RYT80
NEP76
20 May 2015
RYT96
NEP89
14 May 2015
RYT88
NEP79
13 Apr 2015
RYT84
NEP75
28 Dec 2014
RYT90
NEP94
28 Sep 2013
RYT87
NEP78
03 Nov 2011
RYT90
NEP65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
118-73
118
73
+45
118avg 84
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
103-101
103
101
+2
96avg 84
H01/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
A10/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
66avg 84
A17/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
109-84
109
84
+25
112avg 84
H20/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
106-81
106
81
+25
112avg 84
A23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
99-93
99
93
+6
92avg 84
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
102-98
102
98
+4
94avg 84
H01/05
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
97-86
97
86
+11
100avg 84
A04/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
91-65
91
65
+26
90avg 84
H06/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
33-21
35-17
23-16
27-31
24-25
23-22
29-23
25-18
26-29
19-19
20-20
25-20
22-20
13-20
15-21
23-21
31-19
29-20
26-24
23-17
31-23
21-21
31-20
27-24
18-15
31-21
23-33
18-27
26-28
29-16
29-27
25-25
19-23
22-17
31-21
23-19
21-15
20-21
27-10
183.8Avg total
99.0Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)93.082.8175.8+10.382%
Season at home (17)95.585.7181.2+9.876%
Season away (16)90.479.6170.0+10.888%
Last 10 (10)99.084.8183.8+14.290%
Last 5 (5)99.084.6183.6+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.890.2173.0-7.420%
vs Similar (5)90.289.0179.2+1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)94.878.8173.7+16.090%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 73
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 73
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 73
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
96avg 73
H18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 73
A22/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
98avg 73
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 73
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
71avg 73
A02/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 73
H07/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-11
24-22
18-19
19-31
17-22
17-14
20-19
18-25
29-26
19-19
20-20
18-19
28-15
26-25
17-28
15-27
27-24
34-18
21-22
18-20
27-19
21-13
21-26
26-18
24-32
22-16
22-18
20-19
22-28
18-18
31-21
19-13
18-25
21-22
25-25
24-31
17-19
16-25
18-29
171.2Avg total
85.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.482.5162.8-2.148%
Season at home (17)84.684.9169.5-0.353%
Season away (16)75.979.9155.8-4.144%
Last 10 (10)85.186.1171.2-1.060%
Last 5 (5)86.087.4173.4-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.984.7156.6-12.811%
vs Similar (10)81.979.9161.8+2.070%
vs Weaker (11)87.279.2166.4+8.073%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
RytasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
60-40
60
40
+20
H29/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H01/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A10/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A17/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H20/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
54-40
54
40
+14
A23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H26/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H01/05
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A04/05
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H06/05
LKL
93.3Avg total
49.4Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.541.787.3+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.543.189.6+3.553%-
Last 30 away (13)44.240.084.2+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)49.443.993.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.289.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)42.044.886.8-2.840%-
vs Similar (5)43.846.890.6-3.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.939.786.6+7.165%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A22/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H07/05
LKL
86.2Avg total
42.0Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.280.1-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.243.885.0-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)38.837.175.8+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.044.286.2-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.442.179.6-4.722%-
vs Similar (10)40.538.779.2+1.860%-
vs Weaker (11)41.440.081.4+1.445%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 98.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.924.7
65.2%
54.9%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.1
39.3%
35.0%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.719.0
76.9%
74.2%19.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.4
54.7%
54.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
35.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.117.1
77.4%
74.2%17.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WWWWWWLWWW
Neptunas
LLWWWWWLLW
#2
League position
#7
+20.4
Net rating
-1.4
133.6
Offensive rating
116.6
113.2
Defensive rating
118.0
62.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.2%
Turnover %
14.7%
41.1%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.3%
3-point %
34.6%
59.2%
Assist %
70.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence133.6 · 116.6Defence113.2 · 118.0Shooting62.7% · 53.6%3-point %39.3% · 34.6%Ball care16.2% · 14.7%Off. rebounds41.1% · 31.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Rytas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Rytas wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
10/04/23Neptunas v Rytas86-90
28/01/23Neptunas v Rytas70-82
29/09/22Rytas v Neptunas93-67
28/04/22Neptunas v Rytas93-88
05/12/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
16/10/21Neptunas v Rytas81-89
04/05/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
13/03/21Neptunas v Rytas59-80
20/01/21Rytas v Neptunas95-83
17/10/20Neptunas v Rytas60-98
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/23HGargzdai91-65
04/05/23APrienai97-86
01/05/23HBC Wolves102-98
26/04/23HNevezis99-93
23/04/23AJonava106-81
20/04/23HSiauliai109-84
17/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas75-81
10/04/23ANeptunas90-86
01/04/23HJuventus103-101
29/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes118-73
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23HBC Wolves75-104
02/05/23AJuventus83-85
29/04/23HGargzdai91-86
25/04/23APrienai94-84
22/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes87-78
18/04/23HNevezis97-91
15/04/23ASiauliai89-87
10/04/23HRytas86-90
03/04/23HLietkabelis73-86
26/03/23HJonava76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWWLWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %82%76%88%
Points / game93.095.590.4
Allowed / game82.885.779.6
Point differential+10.3+9.8+10.8
Avg total175.8181.2170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%35%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won91% (11)83% (6)100% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeLLWWL53%
AwayWWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %48%53%44%
Points / game80.484.675.9
Allowed / game82.584.979.9
Point differential-2.1-0.3-4.1
Avg total162.8169.5155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3328585%87.172.9+14.2
2 Rytas3327682%93.082.8+10.3
3 Lietkabelis34241071%85.981.2+4.6
4 BC Wolves34231168%86.178.8+7.3
5 Jonava34191556%80.580.6-0.1
6 Juventus34181653%86.286.4-0.2
7 Neptunas33161748%80.482.5-2.1
8 Nevezis33141942%86.788.2-1.6
9 Siauliai33132039%83.286.4-3.3
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3382524%79.889.8-10.0
11 Gargzdai3362718%75.884.4-8.6
12 Prienai3342912%79.290.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rytas2516272019107
Neptunas202514291199
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