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Saga vs Shiga Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 02 May 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#25
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game95.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.9/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#16
Record7-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game88.8
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v Shiga
02 May 2027
SAGA v SHIG
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
SAGA77
SHIG83
05 Oct 2025
SAGA97
SHIG91
04 Oct 2025
SAGA92
SHIG68
19 Mar 2025
SAGA103
SHIG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Shiga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 65
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 65
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
70-115
70
115
-45
58avg 65
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 65
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
72avg 65
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
72avg 65
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
60avg 65
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
no box
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
70-107
70
107
-37
no box
A15/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
13-21
28-15
16-21
21-27
20-34
21-24
26-25
36-28
26-24
14-26
19-27
13-13
23-21
16-34
22-23
9-29
176.5Avg total
78.1Scored
98.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.395.6172.9-18.36%
Season at home (9)78.496.3174.8-17.90%
Season away (7)75.994.7170.6-18.914%
Last 10 (10)78.198.4176.5-20.30%
Last 5 (5)81.298.4179.6-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.793.3171.1-15.610%
vs Similar (3)75.776.3152.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (7)87.776.7164.4+11.086%
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#20
W
95-76
95
76
+19
98avg 78
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
67-99
67
99
-32
52avg 78
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 78
H21/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
89-85
89
85
+4
83avg 78
H23/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
69-104
69
104
-35
60avg 78
A30/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
64-87
64
87
-23
57avg 78
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H06/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
no box
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
87-90
87
90
-3
no box
H12/11
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
98-88
98
88
+10
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
28-20
19-17
20-24
22-28
17-31
21-19
7-21
18-26
22-17
23-14
29-23
21-14
16-29
27-9
25-33
20-31
18-29
13-24
18-20
10-28
21-23
19-17
14-19
25-17
13-20
15-16
28-22
30-23
21-20
19-30
21-23
23-11
20-30
26-21
18-28
23-21
21-27
31-19
23-21
171.3Avg total
83.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)86.488.8175.2-2.444%
Season at home (8)89.283.0172.2+6.262%
Season away (8)83.694.6178.2-11.025%
Last 10 (10)83.388.0171.3-4.750%
Last 5 (5)84.287.2171.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.091.5173.5-9.521%
vs Similar (10)84.678.6163.2+6.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -3.1-3.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.9-7.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -3.1-3.1
SagaShiga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H08/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/11
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A15/11
B League
89.8Avg total
38.4Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.985.8-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.247.085.2-8.814%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.186.3+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.451.489.8-13.010%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.493.0-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.047.986.8-8.920%-
vs Similar (3)41.336.377.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (7)46.140.386.4+5.971%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#20
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H12/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A19/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/10
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H23/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A30/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A01/11
B League
Brave Thunders
#22
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A08/11
B League
Chiba
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H12/11
B League
Yokohama
#18
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A14/11
B League
87.7Avg total
41.7Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.084.8-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.084.3+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.345.985.3-6.627%-
Last 10 (10)41.746.087.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.085.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.746.787.4-6.121%-
vs Similar (10)41.238.880.0+2.470%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)40.043.083.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.9
51.9%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.6
30.9%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws14.911.0
73.8%
73.8%11.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.5
52.6%
53.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.0
28.6%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.817.3
72.7%
73.8%17.3
They take 70.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLLLLLL
Shiga
WLLWLLWWLW
#25
League position
#16
-18.0
Net rating
-4.6
90.3
Offensive rating
87.7
108.3
Defensive rating
92.3
49.3%
Effective FG%
48.2%
58.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
11.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.9%
3-point %
28.6%
60.4%
Assist %
79.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 87.7Defence108.3 · 92.3Shooting49.3% · 48.2%3-point %30.9% · 28.6%Ball care11.1% · 15.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Saga   ■ Shiga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Saga wins
1
Shiga wins
DateGameScore
01/04/26Shiga v Saga77-83
05/11/25Saga v Shiga77-83
05/10/25Saga v Shiga97-91
04/10/25Saga v Shiga92-68
06/04/25Shiga v Saga77-82
05/04/25Shiga v Saga79-80
19/03/25Saga v Shiga103-65
06/11/24Shiga v Saga69-83
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ALevanga Hokkaido70-107
13/11/26ABrave Thunders72-90
08/11/26HChiba103-111
01/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa78-84
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AYokohama98-88
12/11/26HChiba87-90
08/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa91-96
06/11/26HBrave Thunders81-75
01/11/26ADiamond Dolphins64-87
30/10/26ADiamond Dolphins69-104
23/10/26HNagasaki89-85
21/10/26HKobe92-80
19/10/26ARyukyu67-99
12/10/26HShinshu95-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %6%0%14%
Points / game77.378.475.9
Allowed / game95.696.394.7
Point differential-18.3-17.9-18.9
Avg total172.9174.8170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shiga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game86.489.283.6
Allowed / game88.883.094.6
Point differential-2.4+6.2-11.0
Avg total175.2172.2178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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