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Saga vs Shiga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 77-83
20-27 17-25 24-15 16-16
Position#12
Record5-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Shiga 🏆
Japan
Position#18
Record7-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game79.1
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Shiga
02 May 2027
SAGA v SHIG
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
SAGA77
SHIG83
05 Oct 2025
SAGA97
SHIG91
04 Oct 2025
SAGA92
SHIG68
19 Mar 2025
SAGA103
SHIG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shiga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 70
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 70
A11/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
88avg 70
A15/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
92-114
92
114
-22
91avg 70
A18/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
65avg 70
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
78-94
78
94
-16
70avg 70
H25/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
76-73
76
73
+3
76avg 70
H26/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
85-73
85
73
+12
87avg 70
A29/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
67-92
67
92
-25
60avg 70
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
65avg 70
H02/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
16-28
15-19
15-14
16-22
20-19
17-20
20-24
19-24
27-13
26-28
15-14
20-38
27-22
20-29
25-25
19-15
18-31
22-23
20-22
17-25
23-26
20-20
18-23
20-19
22-29
23-16
11-9
20-15
25-20
27-27
13-11
21-26
18-24
15-21
13-21
27-18
17-16
18-23
10-24
163.4Avg total
77.6Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.484.8165.2-4.342%
Season at home (6)80.383.2163.5-2.850%
Season away (6)80.586.3166.8-5.833%
Last 10 (10)77.685.8163.4-8.230%
Last 5 (5)75.682.6158.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.180.6154.7-6.525%
vs Similar (12)85.684.2169.8+1.358%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.280.3164.5+3.883%
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
92-71
92
71
+21
91avg 70
H12/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
72-64
72
64
+8
66avg 70
H13/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
88avg 70
H15/10
B League
Osaka
#17
W
71-70
71
70
+1
54avg 70
H18/10
B League
Osaka
#17
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 70
H19/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
87avg 70
A25/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
74avg 70
A26/10
B League
Sendai
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
73avg 70
A29/10
B League
Akita
#26
L
65-66
65
66
-1
63avg 70
H01/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
89-73
89
73
+16
92avg 70
H02/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
15-17
22-19
31-18
11-14
21-18
18-17
22-15
26-15
21-26
16-16
29-29
15-26
21-19
20-16
15-9
11-24
17-21
25-14
19-21
16-19
18-20
22-24
28-14
19-25
25-27
22-18
13-27
26-26
21-21
16-18
16-11
21-17
15-20
19-8
10-21
28-17
30-19
19-18
12-19
155.5Avg total
79.5Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.579.1158.6+0.458%
Season at home (7)79.072.9151.9+6.171%
Season away (5)80.287.8168.0-7.640%
Last 10 (10)79.576.0155.5+3.570%
Last 5 (5)79.277.8157.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)80.386.2166.6-5.929%
vs Similar (4)76.871.2148.0+5.575%
vs Weaker (2)77.069.5146.5+7.550%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
SagaShiga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H25/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H26/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A29/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H01/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H02/11
B League
85.8Avg total
41.3Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.384.3-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.641.484.9+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)40.143.483.5-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.585.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.685.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.539.879.3-0.342%-
vs Similar (12)43.743.987.6-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.344.287.5-0.833%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H12/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H13/10
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H15/10
B League
Osaka
#17
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H18/10
B League
Osaka
#17
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H19/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A26/10
B League
Sendai
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/10
B League
Akita
#26
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H01/11
B League
Akita
#26
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H02/11
B League
80.9Avg total
40.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.284.0-2.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.840.881.6+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)40.846.086.8-5.27%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.880.9-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.286.0+1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)41.544.585.9-3.029%-
vs Similar (4)33.839.072.8-5.225%-
vs Weaker (2)47.036.583.5+10.550%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.5
55.6%
53.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.79.7
29.7%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.012.7
79.4%
73.1%12.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.8
55.9%
53.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.5
30.7%
33.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.511.6
70.3%
73.1%11.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLWWLLLWLL
Shiga
WLWLWLWWWW
#12
League position
#18
-11.5
Net rating
+5.4
104.1
Offensive rating
104.1
115.6
Defensive rating
98.6
49.9%
Effective FG%
51.7%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
18.0%
Turnover %
21.1%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.7%
3-point %
30.7%
81.2%
Assist %
69.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 104.1Defence115.6 · 98.6Shooting49.9% · 51.7%3-point %29.7% · 30.7%Ball care18.0% · 21.1%Off. rebounds28.5% · 34.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Saga   ■ Shiga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Saga wins
0
Shiga wins
DateGameScore
05/10/25Saga v Shiga97-91
04/10/25Saga v Shiga92-68
06/04/25Shiga v Saga77-82
05/04/25Shiga v Saga79-80
19/03/25Saga v Shiga103-65
06/11/24Shiga v Saga69-83
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HSeaHorses Mikawa72-81
01/11/25HSeaHorses Mikawa67-92
29/10/25ANeoPhoenix85-73
26/10/25HKoshigaya Alphas76-73
25/10/25HKoshigaya Alphas78-94
19/10/25AHiroshima D.79-91
18/10/25AHiroshima D.92-114
15/10/25AShimane87-79
11/10/25ANagasaki73-85
10/10/25ANagasaki67-76
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HAkita89-73
01/11/25HAkita65-66
29/10/25ASendai79-76
26/10/25AUtsunomiya Brex79-97
25/10/25AUtsunomiya Brex84-77
19/10/25HOsaka72-80
18/10/25HOsaka71-70
15/10/25HRyukyu92-86
13/10/25HKyoto72-64
12/10/25HKyoto92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL42%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game80.480.380.5
Allowed / game84.883.286.3
Point differential-4.3-2.8-5.8
Avg total165.2163.5166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shiga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game79.579.080.2
Allowed / game79.172.987.8
Point differential+0.4+6.1-7.6
Avg total158.6151.9168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki1211192%92.274.4+17.8
2 Diamond Dolphins1211192%84.969.9+15.0
3 Chiba1211192%83.871.6+12.2
4 Utsunomiya Brex1210283%85.876.6+9.2
5 Shimane129375%83.178.2+4.8
6 Hokkaido128467%83.781.9+1.8
7 Ryukyu127558%81.775.5+6.2
8 SeaHorses Mikawa127558%84.080.0+4.0
9 Hiroshima D.127558%88.785.4+3.2
10 Alvark127558%78.577.3+1.2
11 Sendai127558%80.379.3+1.0
12 Shiga127558%79.579.1+0.4
13 NeoPhoenix126650%80.577.4+3.1
14 Gunma126650%81.278.8+2.3
15 Osaka125742%80.681.7-1.1
16 Saga125742%80.484.8-4.3
17 Yokohama124833%77.983.2-5.3
18 Koshigaya Alphas124833%69.575.2-5.7
19 Altiri Chiba124833%78.585.3-6.8
20 Toyama124833%80.888.3-7.6
21 Sun Rockers Shibuya124833%73.382.8-9.4
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles123925%79.885.7-5.9
23 Kyoto123925%72.880.2-7.4
24 Ibaraki Robots1221017%74.781.5-6.8
25 Brave Thunders1221017%76.886.2-9.5
26 Akita1221017%72.084.3-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2017241677
Shiga2725151683
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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