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Saga vs Shiga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 97-91
28-20 23-25 19-23 27-23
Position#12
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game68.0
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#18
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game92.0
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Shiga
02 May 2027
SAGA v SHIG
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
SAGA77
SHIG83
05 Oct 2025
SAGA97
SHIG91
04 Oct 2025
SAGA92
SHIG68
19 Mar 2025
SAGA103
SHIG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shiga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
W
89-73
89
73
+16
88avg 69
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
68avg 69
A16/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
81avg 69
H18/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
55avg 69
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
78-68
78
68
+10
69avg 69
A23/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
92avg 69
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
106-82
106
82
+24
109avg 69
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 69
A03/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 69
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
92-68
92
68
+24
88avg 69
H04/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
24-18
19-20
24-16
18-21
15-22
15-19
26-23
18-10
25-21
17-15
20-15
22-17
22-19
11-20
11-26
13-16
21-24
20-14
24-14
15-14
30-15
30-23
15-27
28-26
25-28
19-9
34-19
21-27
20-25
14-13
16-22
23-14
18-21
20-18
15-32
17-24
32-14
26-14
17-16
159.2Avg total
82.2Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)92.068.0160.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)92.068.0160.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.277.0159.2+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.080.2167.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.982.7156.6-8.819%
vs Similar (10)84.583.6168.1+0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.272.2161.5+17.0100%
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShiga
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
74-88
74
88
-14
70avg 69
A13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
67-69 OT
67
69
-2
50avg 69
A16/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
56-86
56
86
-30
38avg 69
H19/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
64-68
64
68
-4
54avg 69
H20/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
91-95
91
95
-4
86avg 69
A23/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
97-101
97
101
-4
98avg 69
H26/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
95-80
95
80
+15
92avg 69
H27/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
82-88
82
88
-6
80avg 69
A03/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
71-76
71
76
-5
70avg 69
A04/05
B League
Saga
#12
L
68-92
68
92
-24
56avg 69
A04/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
21-21
21-16
21-26
20-18
16-22
15-5
10-16
9-22
16-20
14-24
17-20
16-18
20-18
12-17
16-15
21-34
27-25
21-23
22-13
23-17
22-30
23-27
29-27
22-18
25-17
25-26
23-19
25-26
20-23
19-17
18-22
23-12
16-28
11-18
21-18
24-17
14-32
14-26
16-17
160.8Avg total
76.5Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.092.0160.0-24.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.092.0160.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)76.584.3160.8-7.810%
Last 5 (5)82.687.4170.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)79.691.0170.6-11.417%
vs Similar (1)80.076.0156.0+4.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
SagaShiga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A16/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H18/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A23/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H26/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H27/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H04/10
B League
82.4Avg total
42.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.883.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.641.986.6+2.753%-
Last 30 away (13)37.641.579.2-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.582.4+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.687.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.040.279.2-1.244%-
vs Similar (10)43.645.188.7-1.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)47.039.586.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A13/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A16/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H19/04
B League
Alvark
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H20/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A23/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H26/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H27/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A03/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/05
B League
Saga
#12
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A04/10
B League
83.4Avg total
39.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.546.186.6-5.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.943.884.7-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)40.148.388.4-8.313%-
Last 10 (10)39.144.383.4-5.210%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.086.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)40.446.486.8-6.021%-
vs Similar (1)43.037.080.0+6.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.4
54.3%
53.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.3
33.1%
33.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws15.611.7
75.0%
73.1%11.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.4
51.5%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.9
29.8%
33.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws14.610.8
74.0%
73.1%10.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLLWWWLWLW
Shiga
LLLWLLLLLL
#12
League position
#18
+7.6
Net rating
-11.3
111.2
Offensive rating
101.5
103.5
Defensive rating
112.8
52.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.1%
3-point %
29.8%
71.0%
Assist %
65.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 101.5Defence103.5 · 112.8Shooting52.2% · 48.8%3-point %33.1% · 29.8%Ball care14.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds27.7% · 29.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Saga   ■ Shiga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Saga wins
0
Shiga wins
DateGameScore
04/10/25Saga v Shiga92-68
06/04/25Shiga v Saga77-82
05/04/25Shiga v Saga79-80
19/03/25Saga v Shiga103-65
06/11/24Shiga v Saga69-83
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HShiga92-68
04/05/25ARyukyu76-85
03/05/25ARyukyu71-87
27/04/25HOsaka106-82
26/04/25HOsaka90-79
23/04/25ANagasaki78-68
19/04/25HShimane66-82
18/04/25HShimane80-61
16/04/25AKyoto74-85
13/04/25HHokkaido89-73
Shigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25ASaga68-92
04/05/25AKyoto71-76
03/05/25AKyoto82-88
27/04/25HHiroshima D.95-80
26/04/25HHiroshima D.97-101
23/04/25AOsaka91-95
20/04/25HAlvark64-68
19/04/25HAlvark56-86
16/04/25ANagasaki67-69 OT
13/04/25AHiroshima D.74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game92.092.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total160.0160.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Shiga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game92.0-92.0
Point differential-24.0--24.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utsunomiya Brex110100%81.056.0+25.0
2 Saga110100%92.068.0+24.0
3 Gunma110100%75.058.0+17.0
4 Diamond Dolphins110100%68.056.0+12.0
5 Shimane110100%86.074.0+12.0
6 NeoPhoenix110100%95.085.0+10.0
7 Sendai110100%86.076.0+10.0
8 Kyoto110100%94.085.0+9.0
9 Hiroshima D.110100%91.083.0+8.0
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya110100%76.069.0+7.0
11 Altiri Chiba110100%97.094.0+3.0
12 Chiba110100%82.079.0+3.0
13 Yokohama110100%77.075.0+2.0
14 Ryukyu1010%75.077.0-2.0
15 Nagasaki1010%94.097.0-3.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles1010%79.082.0-3.0
17 Akita1010%69.076.0-7.0
18 Brave Thunders1010%83.091.0-8.0
19 Toyama1010%85.094.0-9.0
20 Ibaraki Robots1010%76.086.0-10.0
21 Osaka1010%85.095.0-10.0
22 Hokkaido1010%56.068.0-12.0
23 Koshigaya Alphas1010%74.086.0-12.0
24 SeaHorses Mikawa1010%58.075.0-17.0
25 Shiga1010%68.092.0-24.0
26 Alvark1010%56.081.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2823192797
Shiga2025232391
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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