Saga vs Shiga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 05:05

Final 92-68

17-24 32-14 26-14 17-16

Position#12

Record-

FormWWWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Saga 🏆

Shiga

Position#18

Record-

FormLLWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

B League· Saga Arena

Other2025-26

Meetings · Saga v Shiga

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Shiga winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Saga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSaga

Date

Competition

Hokkaido

#19

78-98

-20

70avg 69

H12/04

B League

Hokkaido

#19

89-73

+16

88avg 69

H13/04

B League

Kyoto

#10

74-85

-11

68avg 69

A16/04

B League

Shimane

80-61

+19

81avg 69

H18/04

B League

Shimane

66-82

-16

55avg 69

H19/04

B League

Nagasaki

#16

78-68

+10

69avg 69

A23/04

B League

Osaka

#13

90-79

+11

92avg 69

H26/04

B League

Osaka

#13

106-82

106

+24

109avg 69

H27/04

B League

Ryukyu

71-87

-16

56avg 69

A03/05

B League

Ryukyu

76-85

-9

67avg 69

A04/05

B League

22-24

16-28

27-31

13-15

22-19

24-18

19-20

24-16

18-21

15-22

15-19

26-23

18-10

25-21

17-15

20-15

22-17

22-19

11-20

11-26

13-16

21-24

20-14

24-14

15-14

30-15

30-23

15-27

28-26

25-28

19-9

34-19

21-27

20-25

14-13

16-22

23-14

18-21

20-18

15-32

160.8Avg total

80.8Scored

80.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.8	80.0	160.8	+0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	80.2	164.4	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	73.9	82.7	156.6	-8.8	19%
vs Similar (11)	83.5	83.5	167.0	+0.1	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	88.3	73.7	162.0	+14.7	100%

This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Shiga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormShiga

Date

Competition

Hiroshima D.

#15

74-83

-9

70avg 69

A12/04

B League

Hiroshima D.

#15

74-88

-14

70avg 69

A13/04

B League

Nagasaki

#16

67-69 OT

-2

50avg 69

A16/04

B League

Alvark

56-86

-30

38avg 69

H19/04

B League

Alvark

64-68

-4

54avg 69

H20/04

B League

Osaka

#13

91-95

-4

86avg 69

A23/04

B League

Hiroshima D.

#15

97-101

101

-4

98avg 69

H26/04

B League

Hiroshima D.

#15

95-80

+15

92avg 69

H27/04

B League

Kyoto

#10

82-88

-6

80avg 69

A03/05

B League

Kyoto

#10

71-76

-5

70avg 69

A04/05

B League

15-21

18-19

21-17

20-26

11-25

21-21

21-16

21-26

20-18

16-22

15-5

10-16

9-22

16-20

14-24

17-20

16-18

20-18

12-17

16-15

21-34

27-25

21-23

22-13

23-17

22-30

23-27

29-27

22-18

25-17

25-26

23-19

25-26

20-23

19-17

18-22

23-12

16-28

11-18

21-18

160.5Avg total

77.1Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	77.1	83.4	160.5	-6.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	87.2	88.0	175.2	-0.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	80.0	90.9	170.9	-10.9	18%
vs Similar (2)	85.0	88.0	173.0	-3.0	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SagaShiga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	21.3	42.6	+0.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	21.1	39.8	-2.3	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.3	21.8	43.1	-0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	18.7	23.0	41.7	-4.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	23.2	43.1	-3.3	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	24.5	45.6	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.8	23.1	42.8	-3.3	32%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.0	24.5	46.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.7	41.8	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.9	20.9	43.8	+2.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.1	43.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	22.6	45.4	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.2	19.8	39.0	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.2	23.0	45.2	-0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	27.7	17.0	44.7	+10.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	23.3	43.7	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	24.5	43.3	-5.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	22.3	42.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.6	46.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	24.0	40.5	-7.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hokkaido

#19

38-52

-14

H12/04

B League

Hokkaido

#19

46-37

H13/04

B League

Kyoto

#10

33-43

-10

A16/04

B League

Shimane

43-31

+12

H18/04

B League

Shimane

44-36

H19/04

B League

Nagasaki

#16

34-40

-6

A23/04

B League

Osaka

#13

45-29

+16

H26/04

B League

Osaka

#13

53-54

-1

H27/04

B League

Ryukyu

41-52

-11

A03/05

B League

Ryukyu

41-35

A04/05

B League

82.7Avg total

41.8Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	41.9	83.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.2	42.2	86.4	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.6	41.5	79.2	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	40.9	82.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	42.0	84.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	44%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.5	44.8	88.3	-1.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	46.3	40.0	86.3	+6.3	33%	-

This opponent (Shiga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ShigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hiroshima D.

#15

33-40

-7

A12/04

B League

Hiroshima D.

#15

32-46

-14

A13/04

B League

Nagasaki

#16

36-40

-4

A16/04

B League

Alvark

25-42

-17

H19/04

B League

Alvark

36-36

H20/04

B League

Osaka

#13

48-59

-11

A23/04

B League

Hiroshima D.

#15

45-47

-2

H26/04

B League

Hiroshima D.

#15

47-35

+12

H27/04

B League

Kyoto

#10

45-49

-4

A03/05

B League

Kyoto

#10

39-40

-1

A04/05

B League

82.0Avg total

38.6Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	46.4	86.8	-6.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	43.8	84.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	49.1	88.9	-9.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	43.4	82.0	-4.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	46.0	90.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	40.5	46.3	86.8	-5.8	21%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.5	48.5	87.0	-10.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	19.9	38.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	20.2	39.8	-0.7	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.7	19.5	36.2	-2.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	16.4	20.9	37.3	-4.4	19%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	22.2	41.2	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	24.4	43.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	18.8	22.5	41.3	-3.7	36%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	19.9	39.4	-0.5	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.1	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	19.5	39.0	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.3	15.7	38.0	+6.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.6	41.8	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.1	42.7	-1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.6	46%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.0	21.5	46.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	40.2	77.7	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.9	40.2	79.1	-1.2	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.6	40.2	75.8	-4.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	39.1	78.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	38.2	79.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	34.9	42.4	77.3	-7.6	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.1	38.6	78.7	+1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	42.0	33.7	75.7	+8.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	43.8	83.0	-4.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	46.5	85.7	-7.4	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	41.0	80.3	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	39.2	77.1	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	42.0	84.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)	38.7	44.1	82.8	-5.4	21%	-
vs Similar (2)	46.5	39.5	86.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game

49%

35%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	19.3	53.0%	53.1%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.6	9.7	33.9%	33.7%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	16.6	12.3	74.1%	73.1%	12.3

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shiga: 75.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀54%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀13%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game

49%

35%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	20.4	51.4%	53.1%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.3	31.2%	33.7%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	13.7	10.2	74.5%	73.1%	10.2

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	19.4	52.7%	53.1%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.9	9.9	32.0%	33.7%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	14.3	10.3	72.0%	73.1%	10.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	19.7	58.8%	53.1%	39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.4	34.2%	33.7%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	22.6	15.2	67.3%	73.1%	15.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.6	19.6	49.5%	53.1%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.0	32.6%	33.7%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	17.1	11.8	69.1%	73.1%	11.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.5	21.1	49.6%	53.1%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.1	35.1%	33.7%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	13.4	9.9	73.9%	73.1%	9.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.5	18.5	52.2%	53.1%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.6	11.1	35.1%	33.7%	33.2
🏀 Free throws	14.9	10.8	72.5%	73.1%	10.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	21.0	60.0%	53.1%	42.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.8	35.8%	33.7%	32.5
🏀 Free throws	21.8	15.3	70.3%	73.1%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Saga

LLWWWLWLWL

Shiga

LLWLLLLLLL

#12

League position

#18

+1.6

Net rating

-9.3

109.2

Offensive rating

102.8

107.6

Defensive rating

112.1

52.1%

Effective FG%

49.5%

50.6%

Opp. effective FG%

55.4%

14.6%

Turnover %

18.7%

25.7%

Off. rebound %

32.8%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.21

33.9%

3-point %

31.2%

70.3%

Assist %

64.8%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Saga ■ Shiga

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Saga wins

Shiga wins

Date	Game	Score
06/04/25	Shiga v Saga	77-82
05/04/25	Shiga v Saga	79-80
19/03/25	Saga v Shiga	103-65
06/11/24	Shiga v Saga	69-83

Sagalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/25	A	Ryukyu	76-85
03/05/25	A	Ryukyu	71-87
27/04/25	H	Osaka	106-82
26/04/25	H	Osaka	90-79
23/04/25	A	Nagasaki	78-68
19/04/25	H	Shimane	66-82
18/04/25	H	Shimane	80-61
16/04/25	A	Kyoto	74-85
13/04/25	H	Hokkaido	89-73
12/04/25	H	Hokkaido	78-98

Shigalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/05/25	A	Kyoto	71-76
03/05/25	A	Kyoto	82-88
27/04/25	H	Hiroshima D.	95-80
26/04/25	H	Hiroshima D.	97-101
23/04/25	A	Osaka	91-95
20/04/25	H	Alvark	64-68
19/04/25	H	Alvark	56-86
16/04/25	A	Nagasaki	67-69 OT
13/04/25	A	Hiroshima D.	74-88
12/04/25	A	Hiroshima D.	74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga

B League 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Shiga

B League 2025-26

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Utsunomiya Brex	1	1	0	100%	81.0	56.0	+25.0
2	Alvark	1	0	1	0%	56.0	81.0	-25.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Saga	17	32	26	17	92
Shiga	24	14	14	16	68

← all games of the day

Saga vs Shiga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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