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Saga vs Utsunomiya Brex Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#25
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#17
Record5-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game85.2
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Saga v Utsunomiya Brex
31 Mar 2027
SAGA v UTSU
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
SAGA v UTSU
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SAGA82
UTSU87
07 Mar 2026
SAGA87
UTSU90
05 Jan 2025
SAGA51
UTSU81
04 Jan 2025
SAGA80
UTSU98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 74
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
57avg 74
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
84-77
84
77
+7
75avg 74
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#7
L
61-72
61
72
-11
52avg 74
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#11
L
90-109
90
109
-19
71avg 74
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#8
L
70-115
70
115
-45
58avg 74
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#15
L
66-84
66
84
-18
58avg 74
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
88-112
88
112
-24
72avg 74
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
72avg 74
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
A01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
20-25
31-20
19-22
15-29
19-15
22-22
18-24
27-20
17-12
15-26
25-19
15-16
12-16
17-17
17-23
24-28
21-26
19-23
26-32
18-29
21-33
16-24
15-29
20-24
15-24
17-17
14-19
13-33
17-28
30-21
28-30
16-37
31-21
11-24
25-18
13-21
28-15
16-21
21-27
171.9Avg total
78.3Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.394.0170.3-17.78%
Season at home (8)75.494.5169.9-19.10%
Season away (5)77.893.2171.0-15.420%
Last 10 (10)78.393.6171.9-15.310%
Last 5 (5)77.099.0176.0-22.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.091.7168.7-14.712%
vs Similar (4)76.077.2153.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (9)87.178.4165.6+8.778%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Toyama
#10
W
99-77
99
77
+22
94avg 81
A04/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#14
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 81
A09/10
B League
Akita
#23
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 81
H11/10
B League
Sendai
#6
L
81-85
81
85
-4
78avg 81
A17/10
B League
Gunma
#7
W
83-80
83
80
+3
79avg 81
H19/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
69-98
69
98
-29
62avg 81
H21/10
B League
Shinshu
#18
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 81
H24/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 81
H26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
83avg 81
A31/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
71-106
71
106
-35
no box
A01/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
26-16
37-18
19-21
22-20
22-23
18-19
28-17
18-21
16-18
15-17
22-26
23-14
22-20
13-27
23-24
16-27
21-14
19-19
27-20
19-24
26-24
15-31
9-19
22-12
28-28
10-21
27-19
26-17
20-24
25-22
18-29
20-25
26-19
18-31
26-25
15-26
10-25
31-24
15-31
170.9Avg total
83.0Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.285.2166.5-4.038%
Season at home (7)79.783.4163.1-3.743%
Season away (6)83.087.3170.3-4.333%
Last 10 (10)83.087.9170.9-4.940%
Last 5 (5)81.295.2176.4-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.588.0167.5-8.538%
vs Similar (15)81.482.2163.6-0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.974.1162.0+13.7100%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
SagaUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H04/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A10/10
B League
Gunma
#7
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H12/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#11
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
B League
Kyoto
#8
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A18/10
B League
Nagasaki
#15
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
30-61
30
61
-31
H26/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A31/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/11
B League
85.9Avg total
38.1Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.484.7-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.845.183.9-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)43.941.785.5+2.267%-
Last 10 (10)38.147.885.9-9.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.453.091.4-14.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.846.785.5-7.924%-
vs Similar (4)42.537.279.8+5.275%-
vs Weaker (9)45.739.885.4+5.967%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A04/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A09/10
B League
Akita
#23
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H11/10
B League
Sendai
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A17/10
B League
Gunma
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H21/10
B League
Shinshu
#18
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H24/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A31/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A01/11
B League
83.4Avg total
41.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.082.6+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.939.581.4+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)43.240.683.8+2.673%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.983.4-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.887.2-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.843.183.9-2.450%-
vs Similar (15)42.038.980.9+3.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.938.984.7+7.086%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.1
51.9%
53.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.48.9
29.3%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.211.5
75.7%
73.7%11.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.6
56.9%
53.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.210.8
32.5%
32.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
73.7%13.0
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLLLLWLL
Utsunomiya Brex
LLLWLWLLWW
#25
League position
#17
-21.3
Net rating
-2.8
88.1
Offensive rating
97.5
109.5
Defensive rating
100.3
48.3%
Effective FG%
52.8%
58.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.3%
3-point %
32.5%
59.6%
Assist %
66.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.1 · 97.5Defence109.5 · 100.3Shooting48.3% · 52.8%3-point %29.3% · 32.5%Ball care11.7% · 13.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Saga   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
6
Utsunomiya Brex wins
DateGameScore
08/03/26Saga v Utsunomiya Brex82-87
07/03/26Saga v Utsunomiya Brex87-90
05/01/25Saga v Utsunomiya Brex51-81
04/01/25Saga v Utsunomiya Brex80-98
28/01/24Utsunomiya Brex v Saga76-62
27/01/24Utsunomiya Brex v Saga83-70
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa78-84
31/10/26ASeaHorses Mikawa83-100
26/10/26HAlvark88-112
21/10/26HNagasaki66-84
18/10/26AKyoto70-115
16/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido90-109
12/10/26HGunma61-72
10/10/26AKobe84-77
08/10/26AAlvark74-90
04/10/26HNeoPhoenix89-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AAlvark71-106
31/10/26AAlvark90-100
26/10/26HBrave Thunders89-92
24/10/26HShinshu87-80
21/10/26HDiamond Dolphins69-98
19/10/26HGunma83-80
17/10/26ASendai81-85
11/10/26HAkita71-82
09/10/26AIbaraki Robots90-79
04/10/26AToyama99-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %8%0%20%
Points / game76.375.477.8
Allowed / game94.094.593.2
Point differential-17.7-19.1-15.4
Avg total170.3169.9171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%43%33%
Points / game81.279.783.0
Allowed / game85.283.487.3
Point differential-4.0-3.7-4.3
Avg total166.5163.1170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins10100100%92.573.6+18.9
2 Hiroshima D.1312192%91.279.6+11.5
3 SeaHorses Mikawa108280%90.578.2+12.3
4 Alvark1411379%95.483.1+12.3
5 NeoPhoenix97278%87.380.7+6.7
6 Sendai1410471%85.680.0+5.6
7 Gunma139469%81.872.8+8.9
8 Kyoto128467%84.676.8+7.8
9 Tokyo Sunrockers149564%89.479.3+10.1
10 Toyama138562%83.785.7-2.0
11 Levanga Hokkaido127558%95.294.0+1.2
12 Ryukyu137654%85.182.2+2.8
13 Yokohama147750%79.183.1-4.1
14 Ibaraki Robots146843%83.679.6+4.0
15 Nagasaki146843%77.080.3-3.3
16 Shiga125742%85.589.3-3.8
17 Utsunomiya Brex135838%81.285.2-4.0
18 Shinshu145936%83.285.9-2.7
19 Altiri Chiba145936%80.186.2-6.1
20 Shimane124833%81.282.8-1.6
21 Brave Thunders134931%79.384.2-4.8
22 Chiba134931%90.597.0-6.5
23 Akita134931%78.986.7-7.8
24 Kobe1331023%78.986.1-7.2
25 Saga131128%76.394.0-17.7
26 Osaka131128%67.890.2-22.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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