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Saga vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 87-90
25-25 19-16 19-30 24-19
Position#12
Record21-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#2
Record29-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game79.4
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Utsunomiya Brex
31 Mar 2027
SAGA v UTSU
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
SAGA v UTSU
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SAGA82
UTSU87
07 Mar 2026
SAGA87
UTSU90
05 Jan 2025
SAGA51
UTSU81
04 Jan 2025
SAGA80
UTSU98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
51-81
51
81
-30
36avg 75
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
85-73
85
73
+12
72avg 75
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
79-73
79
73
+6
65avg 75
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
95-88
95
88
+7
98avg 75
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 75
H31/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 75
H01/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-67
92
67
+25
94avg 75
A07/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-69
91
69
+22
86avg 75
A08/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 75
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 75
A15/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
10-17
13-25
14-20
20-23
19-16
27-10
19-24
24-23
24-17
13-17
18-16
24-21
26-21
23-29
22-17
15-20
11-22
27-18
30-19
19-23
15-18
22-32
20-22
18-18
33-25
20-16
21-8
24-22
26-22
18-11
23-14
15-13
20-25
27-19
9-21
15-23
23-22
13-22
32-29
160.5Avg total
80.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)81.581.7163.2-0.354%
Season at home (20)80.882.2162.9-1.555%
Season away (19)82.281.2163.4+1.053%
Last 10 (10)80.679.9160.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)82.681.0163.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)73.585.6159.1-12.130%
vs Similar (11)85.979.5165.4+6.564%
vs Weaker (9)84.076.2160.2+7.878%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#9
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
96avg 79
H25/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
70avg 79
A28/01
B League
Gunma
#5
W
71-67
71
67
+4
64avg 79
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
61avg 79
H01/02
B League
Hong Kong Eastern
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
89avg 79
A04/02
EASL
Nagasaki
#1
W
89-74
89
74
+15
89avg 79
H06/02
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
62avg 79
H07/02
B League
Fubon Braves
#10
W
105-88
105
88
+17
104avg 79
H11/02
EASL
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-86
93
86
+7
96avg 79
H14/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
104-88
104
88
+16
107avg 79
H15/02
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
18-30
26-14
23-28
20-17
13-22
16-23
23-17
20-19
7-15
25-15
19-18
20-20
18-23
22-18
10-20
26-18
21-15
23-27
19-26
24-19
22-15
11-18
32-22
16-21
21-23
19-29
19-32
31-21
23-26
29-21
22-20
27-28
19-10
29-23
18-25
26-24
20-22
23-19
35-23
173.6Avg total
87.6Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)85.179.4164.5+5.874%
Season at home (23)87.382.3169.6+5.074%
Season away (16)82.075.1157.1+6.975%
Last 10 (10)87.686.0173.6+1.670%
Last 5 (5)93.288.2181.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.281.8158.0-5.550%
vs Similar (12)83.182.8165.8+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.879.4169.2+10.493%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
SagaUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H04/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H31/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H01/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A08/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/02
B League
80.5Avg total
39.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.182.0-2.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.843.180.9-5.225%-
Last 30 away (14)42.341.183.4+1.264%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.080.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.283.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.242.778.9-6.520%-
vs Similar (11)41.341.382.5+0.045%-
vs Weaker (9)42.342.684.9-0.267%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H25/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H01/02
B League
Hong Kong Eastern
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A04/02
EASL
Nagasaki
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H06/02
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H07/02
B League
Fubon Braves
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H11/02
EASL
Brave Thunders
#25
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H15/02
B League
83.7Avg total
42.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.440.183.5+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.742.486.1+1.453%-
Last 30 away (13)43.037.180.1+5.977%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.483.7+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.887.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.038.875.8-1.825%-
vs Similar (12)44.243.087.2+1.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.637.982.5+6.679%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.8
53.9%
53.1%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.4
27.7%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.217.8
84.0%
73.1%17.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.919.0
57.8%
53.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.911.9
36.2%
33.7%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.113.6
67.7%
73.1%13.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLWWLWWWWL
Utsunomiya Brex
WWWLWWLWLW
#12
League position
#2
+1.3
Net rating
+1.5
97.7
Offensive rating
100.6
96.3
Defensive rating
99.1
48.2%
Effective FG%
56.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
10.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.7%
3-point %
36.2%
69.9%
Assist %
71.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 100.6Defence96.3 · 99.1Shooting48.2% · 56.0%3-point %27.7% · 36.2%Ball care10.0% · 13.8%Off. rebounds27.5% · -Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Saga   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
4
Utsunomiya Brex wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Saga v Utsunomiya Brex51-81
04/01/25Saga v Utsunomiya Brex80-98
28/01/24Utsunomiya Brex v Saga76-62
27/01/24Utsunomiya Brex v Saga83-70
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AAlvark83-96
14/02/26AAlvark71-78
08/02/26AToyama91-69
07/02/26AToyama92-67
01/02/26HChiba76-95
31/01/26HChiba83-79
28/01/26HShimane95-88
25/01/26AAltiri Chiba79-73
24/01/26AAltiri Chiba85-73
04/01/26HGunma51-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HBrave Thunders104-88
14/02/26HBrave Thunders93-86
11/02/26HFubon Braves105-88
07/02/26HNagasaki75-105
06/02/26HNagasaki89-74
04/02/26AHong Kong Eastern89-86
01/02/26HGunma70-81
31/01/26HGunma71-67
28/01/26AChiba72-79
25/01/26HHokkaido108-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL54%
HomeWLWWL55%
AwayWWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %54%55%53%
Points / game81.580.882.2
Allowed / game81.782.281.2
Point differential-0.3-1.4+1.0
Avg total163.2162.9163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)75% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW74%
HomeLWLWW74%
AwayWWLWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392316
Win %74%74%75%
Points / game85.187.382.0
Allowed / game79.482.375.1
Point differential+5.8+5.0+6.9
Avg total164.5169.6157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%48%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki3933685%93.077.7+15.3
2 Diamond Dolphins3930977%83.472.8+10.6
3 Utsunomiya Brex39291074%85.179.4+5.8
4 Chiba40281270%82.475.9+6.5
5 Alvark39271269%80.376.8+3.5
6 Hokkaido39271269%88.184.9+3.2
7 Ryukyu39261367%81.574.9+6.7
8 SeaHorses Mikawa39261367%84.078.5+5.5
9 Gunma39241562%82.574.9+7.6
10 Hiroshima D.39231659%86.083.0+2.9
11 Sendai39231659%80.178.7+1.4
12 Shimane39211854%81.980.5+1.4
13 Saga39211854%81.581.7-0.3
14 NeoPhoenix39201951%83.282.2+1.0
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya39162341%75.880.5-4.6
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles39152438%80.882.8-2.0
17 Yokohama39152438%78.281.8-3.6
18 Koshigaya Alphas39152438%73.179.4-6.3
19 Osaka40152538%79.781.9-2.1
20 Shiga39132633%80.486.7-6.3
21 Ibaraki Robots39122731%75.279.8-4.6
22 Altiri Chiba39122731%78.883.6-4.7
23 Kyoto39112828%71.580.6-9.1
24 Toyama39102926%82.289.8-7.6
25 Brave Thunders3993023%75.884.4-8.6
26 Akita3973218%73.184.7-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2519192487
Utsunomiya Brex2516301990
← all games of the day
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