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Saga vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 82-87
23-29 24-18 22-25 13-15
Position#12
Record21-19
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#2
Record30-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game79.5
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Utsunomiya Brex
31 Mar 2027
SAGA v UTSU
upcoming
24 Jan 2027
SAGA v UTSU
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SAGA82
UTSU87
07 Mar 2026
SAGA87
UTSU90
05 Jan 2025
SAGA51
UTSU81
04 Jan 2025
SAGA80
UTSU98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
85-73
85
73
+12
72avg 75
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
79-73
79
73
+6
65avg 75
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
95-88
95
88
+7
98avg 75
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
75avg 75
H31/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 75
H01/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
92-67
92
67
+25
94avg 75
A07/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-69
91
69
+22
86avg 75
A08/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 75
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 75
A15/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
87-90
87
90
-3
85avg 75
H07/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
19-16
27-10
19-24
24-23
24-17
13-17
18-16
24-21
26-21
23-29
22-17
15-20
11-22
27-18
30-19
19-23
15-18
22-32
20-22
18-18
33-25
20-16
21-8
24-22
26-22
18-11
23-14
15-13
20-25
27-19
9-21
15-23
23-22
13-22
32-29
25-25
19-16
19-30
24-19
165.0Avg total
84.2Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)81.681.9163.5-0.352%
Season at home (21)81.082.6163.6-1.552%
Season away (19)82.281.2163.4+1.053%
Last 10 (10)84.280.8165.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)84.880.0164.8+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.786.0160.7-11.327%
vs Similar (10)86.080.1166.1+5.960%
vs Weaker (9)84.076.2160.2+7.878%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrex
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
70avg 79
A28/01
B League
Gunma
#5
W
71-67
71
67
+4
64avg 79
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
70-81
70
81
-11
61avg 79
H01/02
B League
Hong Kong Eastern
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
89avg 79
A04/02
EASL
Nagasaki
#1
W
89-74
89
74
+15
89avg 79
H06/02
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
62avg 79
H07/02
B League
Fubon Braves
#10
W
105-88
105
88
+17
104avg 79
H11/02
EASL
Brave Thunders
#25
W
93-86
93
86
+7
96avg 79
H14/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
104-88
104
88
+16
107avg 79
H15/02
B League
Saga
#12
W
90-87
90
87
+3
89avg 79
A07/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
13-22
16-23
23-17
20-19
7-15
25-15
19-18
20-20
18-23
22-18
10-20
26-18
21-15
23-27
19-26
24-19
22-15
11-18
32-22
16-21
21-23
19-29
19-32
31-21
23-26
29-21
22-20
27-28
19-10
29-23
18-25
26-24
20-22
23-19
35-23
25-25
16-19
30-19
19-24
169.9Avg total
85.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)85.279.5164.8+5.775%
Season at home (23)87.382.3169.6+5.074%
Season away (17)82.575.8158.3+6.676%
Last 10 (10)85.884.1169.9+1.770%
Last 5 (5)93.490.8184.2+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.281.8158.0-5.550%
vs Similar (11)83.083.9166.9-0.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.879.9169.7+9.993%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
SagaUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A24/01
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A25/01
B League
Shimane
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H28/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H31/01
B League
Chiba
#6
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H01/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/02
B League
Toyama
#24
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A08/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A14/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H07/03
B League
83.0Avg total
41.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.382.2-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.242.981.1-4.829%-
Last 30 away (13)42.141.583.6+0.562%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.583.0+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.285.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.942.579.5-5.627%-
vs Similar (10)40.941.982.8-1.040%-
vs Weaker (9)42.342.684.9-0.267%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H31/01
B League
Gunma
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H01/02
B League
Hong Kong Eastern
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A04/02
EASL
Nagasaki
#1
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H06/02
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H07/02
B League
Fubon Braves
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H11/02
EASL
Brave Thunders
#25
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/02
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H15/02
B League
Saga
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A07/03
B League
81.7Avg total
41.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.383.5+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.742.486.1+1.453%-
Last 30 away (13)42.737.580.2+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.281.7+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.843.888.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.038.875.8-1.825%-
vs Similar (11)44.143.587.5+0.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.338.382.7+6.073%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.7
55.3%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.8
29.8%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.018.4
83.6%
73.1%18.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.619.5
59.8%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.0
35.1%
33.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.713.5
68.5%
73.1%13.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLWWLWWWW
Utsunomiya Brex
WWWWLWWLWL
#12
League position
#2
+4.2
Net rating
+1.7
99.2
Offensive rating
101.0
95.0
Defensive rating
99.3
50.5%
Effective FG%
56.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
10.4%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.8%
3-point %
35.1%
69.8%
Assist %
73.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 101.0Defence95.0 · 99.3Shooting50.5% · 56.3%3-point %29.8% · 35.1%Ball care10.4% · 14.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Saga   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
5
Utsunomiya Brex wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Saga v Utsunomiya Brex87-90
05/01/25Saga v Utsunomiya Brex51-81
04/01/25Saga v Utsunomiya Brex80-98
28/01/24Utsunomiya Brex v Saga76-62
27/01/24Utsunomiya Brex v Saga83-70
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HUtsunomiya Brex87-90
15/02/26AAlvark83-96
14/02/26AAlvark71-78
08/02/26AToyama91-69
07/02/26AToyama92-67
01/02/26HChiba76-95
31/01/26HChiba83-79
28/01/26HShimane95-88
25/01/26AAltiri Chiba79-73
24/01/26AAltiri Chiba85-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26ASaga90-87
15/02/26HBrave Thunders104-88
14/02/26HBrave Thunders93-86
11/02/26HFubon Braves105-88
07/02/26HNagasaki75-105
06/02/26HNagasaki89-74
04/02/26AHong Kong Eastern89-86
01/02/26HGunma70-81
31/01/26HGunma71-67
28/01/26AChiba72-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeLWWLL52%
AwayWWWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %52%52%53%
Points / game81.681.082.2
Allowed / game81.982.681.2
Point differential-0.3-1.5+1.0
Avg total163.5163.6163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%24%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeLWLWW74%
AwayWLWLW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402317
Win %75%74%76%
Points / game85.287.382.5
Allowed / game79.582.375.8
Point differential+5.7+5.0+6.6
Avg total164.8169.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%48%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4033782%92.678.1+14.5
2 Diamond Dolphins4031978%83.772.7+11.1
3 Utsunomiya Brex40301075%85.279.5+5.7
4 Chiba41291271%82.776.0+6.7
5 Alvark40281270%80.676.8+3.8
6 Hokkaido40281270%88.485.2+3.2
7 Ryukyu40271368%81.575.0+6.6
8 SeaHorses Mikawa40271368%84.078.3+5.7
9 Gunma40241660%82.174.8+7.3
10 Hiroshima D.40241660%86.183.2+3.0
11 Sendai39231659%80.178.7+1.4
12 Shimane40211952%81.880.5+1.3
13 NeoPhoenix40211952%83.582.4+1.1
14 Saga40211952%81.681.9-0.3
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya39162341%75.880.5-4.6
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles40152538%81.083.1-2.0
17 Yokohama40152538%78.782.3-3.6
18 Koshigaya Alphas40152538%73.579.8-6.2
19 Osaka41152637%79.782.2-2.5
20 Altiri Chiba40132732%79.483.9-4.5
21 Shiga40132732%80.286.6-6.4
22 Ibaraki Robots40122830%75.180.2-5.2
23 Kyoto40122830%71.480.2-8.8
24 Toyama40103025%81.989.7-7.8
25 Brave Thunders40103025%76.084.1-8.1
26 Akita4073318%73.885.1-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2324221382
Utsunomiya Brex2918251587
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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