PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Sam Houston St. vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 86-81
0-0 43-34 0-0 43-47
Position#69
Record20-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#223
Record13-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sam Houston St. v Missouri State
31 Dec 2026
SAM v MISS
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
SAM 86
MISS81
17 Nov 2021
SAM 55
MISS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#113
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H24/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-39
0-0
50-48
0-0
38-21
0-0
35-37
0-0
38-33
0-0
42-38
0-0
34-32
0-0
49-35
0-0
36-33
0-0
34-33
0-0
38-37
0-0
40-50
0-0
45-42
0-0
38-37
0-0
44-32
0-0
34-38
0-0
36-26
0-0
46-52
0-0
50-31
0-0
50-36
155.0Avg total
82.0Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.473.7157.1+9.671%
Season at home (13)86.267.3153.5+18.892%
Season away (15)80.979.3160.2+1.753%
Last 10 (10)82.073.0155.0+9.090%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%
vs Similar (11)80.477.9158.3+2.564%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)82.273.3155.5+8.969%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H29/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H31/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A07/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
78-79 OT
78
79
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-31
0-0
51-44
0-0
21-31
0-0
41-26
0-0
33-38
0-0
38-42
0-0
39-31
0-0
35-36
0-0
38-42
0-0
38-37
0-0
32-36
0-0
36-32
0-0
25-35
0-0
42-41
0-0
34-44
0-0
53-47
0-0
22-29
0-0
45-41
0-0
38-37
0-0
32-35
148.2Avg total
73.6Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.173.5148.5+1.646%
Season at home (16)78.972.1151.1+6.862%
Season away (12)69.975.2145.2-5.325%
Last 10 (10)73.674.6148.2-1.030%
Last 5 (5)73.877.6151.4-3.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.481.0154.4-7.611%
vs Similar (13)72.175.0147.1-2.938%
vs Weaker (5)66.458.6125.0+7.880%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +3.0+3.0
Sam Houston St.Missouri State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#113
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H24/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H01/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A14/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H27/02
NCAA
72.8Avg total
40.2Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.433.773.1+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.230.171.3+11.193%-
Last 30 away (16)37.836.974.7+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.232.672.8+7.6100%-
Last 5 (5)42.633.676.2+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (11)36.735.271.9+1.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.433.373.7+7.175%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A24/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A07/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H13/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H19/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A27/02
NCAA
66.9Avg total
31.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.668.7+1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.632.472.0+7.162%-
Last 30 away (14)30.134.965.0-4.721%-
Last 10 (10)31.535.466.9-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.236.266.4-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.238.271.4-5.011%-
vs Similar (13)34.533.568.1+1.054%-
vs Weaker (5)30.426.056.4+4.460%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sam Houston St. wins
2
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HFlorida International100-67
21/02/26HJacksonville State82-78
19/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.78-70
14/02/26AKennesaw State83-79
07/02/26ALouisiana Tech78-87
05/02/26HUTEP70-66
01/02/26HLouisiana Tech83-67
29/01/26AMissouri State80-71
24/01/26HWestern Kentucky73-58
22/01/26HKennesaw State93-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ALouisiana Tech70-72
21/02/26AFlorida International67-70
19/02/26HKennesaw State87-91
14/02/26HDelaware67-76
13/02/26HLouisiana Tech78-79 OT
07/02/26ALiberty76-79
31/01/26HJacksonville State74-67
29/01/26HSam Houston St.71-80
24/01/26AUTEP62-57
23/01/26ANew Mexico State84-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %71%92%53%
Points / game83.486.280.9
Allowed / game73.767.379.3
Point differential+9.6+18.8+1.7
Avg total157.1153.5160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%54%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL46%
HomeLWLLL62%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %46%62%25%
Points / game75.178.969.9
Allowed / game73.572.175.2
Point differential+1.6+6.8-5.3
Avg total148.5151.1145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)40% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2823582%78.669.6+9.0
2 Sam Houston St.2820871%83.473.7+9.6
3 Kennesaw State29181162%84.276.2+8.0
4 Western Kentucky29181162%79.674.5+5.1
5 Louisiana Tech29161355%69.365.3+3.9
6 Middle Tenn. St.29151452%75.873.1+2.7
7 Jacksonville State28141450%73.067.9+5.1
8 New Mexico State28141450%75.772.1+3.6
9 Florida International29141548%81.078.5+2.5
10 Missouri State28131546%75.173.5+1.6
11 UTEP29101934%69.372.7-3.4
12 Delaware2992031%68.273.5-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sam Houston St.04304386
Missouri State03404781
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.