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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 116-99
34-21 21-27 30-23 31-28
Position#24
Record10-22
FormWLLWL
Points / game103.8
Allowed / game105.8
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
vs
Milwaukee Bucks
USA
Position#14
Record15-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.4
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks
02 Nov 2026
MIN112
MIL100
21 Dec 2025
MIN103
MIL100
12 Feb 2025
MIN101
MIL103
23 Feb 2024
MIN107
MIL112
04 Nov 2022
MIN102
MIL115
19 Mar 2022
MIN138
MIL119
14 Apr 2021
MIN105
MIL130
04 Nov 2019
MIN106
MIL134
26 Oct 2018
MIN95
MIL125
01 Feb 2018
MIN108
MIL89
30 Dec 2016
MIN116
MIL99
02 Jan 2016
MIN85
MIL95
26 Nov 2014
MIN86
MIL103
11 Mar 2014
MIN112
MIL101
30 Nov 2012
MIN95
MIL85
17 Dec 2011
MIN117
MIL96
29 Oct 2010
MIN96
MIL85
06 Nov 2009
MIN72
MIL87
10 Jan 2009
MIN106
MIL104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
90-117
90
117
-27
79avg 96
H10/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
108-116
108
116
-8
100avg 96
H12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
99-94
99
94
+5
93avg 96
A14/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
106avg 96
H18/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
115-108
115
108
+7
110avg 96
H20/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
88avg 96
A22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
105-109
105
109
-4
96avg 96
H24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
100-112
100
112
-12
87avg 96
A26/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
104-90
104
90
+14
98avg 96
H27/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
103-105
103
105
-2
94avg 96
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-24
25-33
22-35
27-30
31-30
30-18
20-38
22-38
30-18
26-19
21-19
24-28
33-16
23-23
15-28
29-23
33-31
29-33
24-21
28-26
21-18
18-25
25-15
26-25
29-26
30-27
20-31
27-23
26-34
22-29
25-26
23-25
31-20
35-20
15-25
31-22
18-27
24-32
30-24
207.1Avg total
102.5Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)103.8105.8209.6-2.131%
Season at home (16)105.3104.6209.9+0.731%
Season away (16)102.2107.1209.3-4.831%
Last 10 (10)102.5104.6207.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)100.8100.0200.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)104.0114.6218.6-10.60%
vs Similar ◀ (17)100.6104.3204.9-3.629%
vs Weaker (6)113.5100.7214.2+12.883%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
110-114
110
114
-4
100avg 94
H10/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
105-110
105
110
-5
100avg 94
A11/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
100-122
100
122
-22
90avg 94
A13/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
108-97
108
97
+11
100avg 94
H16/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
95-69
95
69
+26
96avg 94
A17/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
101avg 94
H21/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
102-113
102
113
-11
96avg 94
A22/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
123-96
123
96
+27
125avg 94
H24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
102-107
102
107
-5
94avg 94
A27/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
119-94
119
94
+25
122avg 94
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
34-21
28-40
18-30
32-23
20-29
25-25
28-33
23-33
26-36
33-23
18-30
30-18
34-27
24-21
20-31
34-15
22-22
18-15
21-17
27-35
26-22
25-27
22-16
22-31
32-28
23-33
25-21
37-29
36-29
27-20
23-18
27-28
30-25
27-29
18-25
31-28
31-26
28-21
29-19
210.8Avg total
107.2Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)105.0102.4207.4+2.650%
Season at home (17)109.6104.0213.6+5.659%
Season away (13)98.9100.3199.2-1.438%
Last 10 (10)107.2103.6210.8+3.640%
Last 5 (5)110.8104.8215.6+6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)109.0109.8218.8-0.820%
vs Similar ◀ (20)103.7101.7205.4+2.045%
vs Weaker (5)106.097.8203.8+8.2100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.8-1.8
Minnesota TimberwolvesMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H10/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A14/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H18/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H20/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A26/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H27/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A29/12
NBA
104.1Avg total
53.2Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.150.9105.0+3.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.248.2103.4+6.969%-
Last 30 away (14)52.853.9106.7-1.114%-
Last 10 (10)53.250.9104.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)52.049.2101.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)52.053.1105.1-1.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)51.850.4102.2+1.441%-
vs Weaker (6)63.049.7112.7+13.367%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
64-44
64
44
+20
H10/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A11/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A13/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H16/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
56-37
56
37
+19
A17/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H21/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A22/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A27/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A29/12
NBA
111.2Avg total
58.4Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.051.0104.1+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (17)54.550.2104.7+4.465%-
Last 30 away (13)51.152.2103.2-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)58.452.8111.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)59.856.2116.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.854.8110.6+1.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)52.951.5104.3+1.450%-
vs Weaker (5)51.045.696.6+5.4100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 102.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.430.4
49.5%
50.2%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.9
34.3%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.818.0
78.9%
77.0%18.0
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 107.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.632.6
52.9%
50.2%65.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.2
38.7%
35.7%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.614.4
73.5%
77.0%14.4
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLWWLWLL
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWLLWWLLL
#24
League position
#14
-2.2
Net rating
+3.7
106.5
Offensive rating
110.6
108.7
Defensive rating
106.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
12.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.3%
3-point %
38.7%
59.5%
Assist %
64.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 110.6Defence108.7 · 106.9Shooting50.1% · 54.3%3-point %34.3% · 38.7%Ball care14.9% · 12.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 22.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateGameScore
05/03/16Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves116-101
03/01/16Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks85-95
10/01/15Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves98-84
27/11/14Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks86-103
12/03/14Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks112-101
29/12/13Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves95-117
04/04/13Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves98-107
01/12/12Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks95-85
28/12/11Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves98-95
22/12/11Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves84-85
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/16ADenver Nuggets103-105
27/12/16HAtlanta Hawks104-90
26/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder100-112
24/12/16HSacramento Kings105-109
22/12/16AAtlanta Hawks92-84
20/12/16HPhoenix Suns115-108
18/12/16HHouston Rockets109-111 OT
14/12/16AChicago Bulls99-94
12/12/16HGolden State Warriors108-116
10/12/16HDetroit Pistons90-117
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/16ADetroit Pistons119-94
27/12/16AWashington Wizards102-107
24/12/16HWashington Wizards123-96
22/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers102-113
21/12/16HCleveland Cavaliers108-114 OT
17/12/16AChicago Bulls95-69
16/12/16HChicago Bulls108-97
13/12/16AToronto Raptors100-122
11/12/16AWashington Wizards105-110
10/12/16HAtlanta Hawks110-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL31%
HomeLLWLW31%
AwayLWWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %31%31%31%
Points / game103.8105.3102.2
Allowed / game105.8104.6107.1
Point differential-2.1+0.7-4.8
Avg total209.6209.9209.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)0% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLWLW59%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %50%59%38%
Points / game105.0109.698.9
Allowed / game102.4104.0100.3
Point differential+2.6+5.6-1.4
Avg total207.4213.6199.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%35%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3328585%117.3104.5+12.8
2 San Antonio Spurs3226681%105.097.9+7.1
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3124777%110.6103.5+7.1
4 Houston Rockets3324973%113.8106.4+7.3
5 Toronto Raptors32221069%110.8102.9+7.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers34221265%108.4101.6+6.7
7 Utah Jazz33201361%99.295.0+4.2
8 Oklahoma City Thunder33201361%106.2105.1+1.1
9 Memphis Grizzlies35211460%98.297.6+0.5
10 Boston Celtics34201459%106.1104.3+1.9
11 Charlotte Hornets33191458%104.8102.0+2.8
12 New York Knicks31161552%105.4107.7-2.4
13 Milwaukee Bucks30151550%105.0102.4+2.6
14 Washington Wizards32161650%105.7106.1-0.5
15 Atlanta Hawks32161650%101.8103.9-2.0
16 Chicago Bulls33161748%100.7100.2+0.5
17 Indiana Pacers34161847%104.1105.8-1.7
18 Detroit Pistons34151944%98.598.5+0.0
19 Orlando Magic34151944%98.8103.0-4.2
20 Denver Nuggets32141844%107.4109.2-1.8
21 Sacramento Kings32141844%101.9104.0-2.2
22 Portland Trail Blazers34142041%108.0111.5-3.5
23 New Orleans Pelicans34132138%102.8106.4-3.5
24 Los Angeles Lakers36122433%103.9110.1-6.1
25 Minnesota Timberwolves32102231%103.8105.8-2.1
26 Dallas Mavericks33102330%95.0100.4-5.4
27 Phoenix Suns33102330%106.8113.6-6.8
28 Miami Heat34102429%98.4101.7-3.3
29 Brooklyn Nets3282425%106.0114.4-8.4
30 Philadelphia 76ers3172423%98.2106.0-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves34213031116
Milwaukee Bucks2127232899
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